La escuela de los momios

Dayana Yastremska v Ashlyn Krueger

Inicio: 2026-03-19 22:20 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dayana Yastremska (Local)

Predicción 40.62%2.46momio equitativo
EV +1.56%
Ventaja +0.623%
Kelly +1.04%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.50%41.17%40.87%45.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.262.282.5050.00%44.20%43.86%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ashlyn Krueger (Visitante)

Predicción 59.38%1.68momio equitativo
EV +6.28%
Ventaja +3.51%
Kelly +7.95%
Crecimiento +0.500%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.05%58.83%59.13%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.621.611.7966.67%61.90%62.11%55.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -13.47%E -6.32%K -11.92%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV +6.28%E +3.51%K +7.95%G +0.500%2.8%2026-03-19 22:15
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -13.88%E -6.55%K -12.39%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV +3.32%E +1.91%K +4.48%G +0.149%4.6%2026-03-19 22:00
Unibet (UK)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -13.47%E -6.32%K -11.92%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV +2.72%E +1.57%K +3.73%G +0.101%4.8%2026-03-19 22:00
ReBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -13.88%E -6.55%K -12.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV +2.72%E +1.57%K +3.73%G +0.101%5.0%2026-03-19 22:00
Bet Right2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -14.28%E -6.77%K -12.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV +2.72%E +1.57%K +3.73%G +0.101%5.2%2026-03-19 22:04
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -14.69%E -7.00%K -13.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +2.72%E +1.57%K +3.73%G +0.101%5.4%2026-03-19 22:00
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -14.28%E -6.77%K -12.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV +2.13%E +1.24%K +2.96%G +0.063%5.5%2026-03-19 21:59
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -14.69%E -7.00%K -13.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +2.13%E +1.24%K +2.96%G +0.063%5.8%2026-03-19 22:08
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -14.69%E -7.00%K -13.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +2.13%E +1.24%K +2.96%G +0.063%5.8%2026-03-19 22:00
Unibet (FR)2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -14.28%E -6.77%K -12.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV +1.53%E +0.897%K +2.16%G +0.033%5.9%2026-03-19 22:14
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -13.88%E -6.55%K -12.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV +0.940%E +0.553%K +1.34%G +0.013%6.0%2026-03-19 22:10
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -18.75%E -9.38%K -18.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV +0.940%E +0.553%K +1.34%G +0.013%8.8%2026-03-19 22:00
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -8.60%E -3.82%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV +0.346%E +0.205%K +0.502%G +0.002%3.6%2026-03-19 22:09
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -8.60%E -3.82%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV +0.346%E +0.205%K +0.502%G +0.002%3.6%2026-03-19 22:10
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -12.66%E -5.89%K -11.01%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +0.346%E +0.205%K +0.502%G +0.002%5.7%2026-03-19 22:00
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -15.91%E -7.69%K -14.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -0.247%E -0.147%K -0.364%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 22:05
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -16.72%E -8.16%K -15.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -0.841%E -0.504%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-19 22:00
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.57%E -2.85%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.03%E -1.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 22:14
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.60%E -3.82%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.03%E -1.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -14.69%E -7.00%K -13.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -2.03%E -1.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 22:00
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -14.69%E -7.00%K -13.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -2.03%E -1.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 22:00
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.38%E -3.24%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.22%E -1.97%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 22:14
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.38%E -3.24%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.22%E -1.97%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 22:14
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.38%E -3.24%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.22%E -1.97%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 22:14
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.38%E -3.24%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.22%E -1.97%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 22:14
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.57%E -2.85%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.81%E -2.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 22:15
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.57%E -2.85%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.81%E -2.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 22:15
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.57%E -2.85%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.81%E -2.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 22:15
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -9.41%E -4.22%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -3.81%E -2.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 22:14
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.60%E -3.82%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.40%E -2.74%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 22:15
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -9.41%E -4.22%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -4.40%E -2.74%K -7.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 22:14
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.60%E -3.82%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.00%E -3.12%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 22:15
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.60%E -3.82%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.00%E -3.12%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 22:14
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.57%E -2.85%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.59%E -3.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 22:14
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.57%E -2.85%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.59%E -3.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 22:15
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.50%E -1.04%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.78%E -4.32%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 22:14
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.50%E -1.04%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.78%E -4.32%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 22:15
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.50%E -1.04%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.78%E -4.32%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 22:15
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -9.41%E -4.22%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -6.78%E -4.32%K -11.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -10.63%E -4.83%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.78%E -4.32%K -11.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 22:15
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -10.63%E -4.83%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.78%E -4.32%K -11.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 22:14
DraftKings2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -1.69%E -0.699%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -7.97%E -5.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 22:15
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.50%E -1.04%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.97%E -5.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 22:15
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.53%E -1.93%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.97%E -5.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 22:15
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.53%E -1.93%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.97%E -5.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 22:14
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +1.56%E +0.623%K +1.04%G +0.016%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -8.56%E -5.56%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 22:15
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.50%E -1.04%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 22:15
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.50%E -1.04%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 22:15
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.50%E -1.04%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 22:14
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.32%E -1.39%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 22:14
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.32%E -1.39%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 22:15
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.32%E -1.39%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 22:15
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.32%E -1.39%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 22:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -3.72%E -1.57%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 22:15
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -4.53%E -1.93%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 22:15
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -2.50%E -1.04%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -9.75%E -6.41%K -18.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 22:15
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -2.50%E -1.04%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -9.75%E -6.41%K -18.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 22:15
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.56%E +0.623%K +1.04%G +0.016%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.94%E -7.29%K -21.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 22:14
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.57%E -2.85%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -10.94%E -7.29%K -21.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-19 22:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-03-19 22:15
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%1.2%2026-03-19 22:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%1.4%2026-03-19 22:14
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%1.5%2026-03-19 22:15
Novig2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%3.3%2026-03-19 22:15
ProphetX2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%4.8%2026-03-19 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%6.5%2026-03-19 22:14