La escuela de los momios

Caty McNally v Xinyu Wang

Inicio: 2026-03-20 23:57 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Caty McNally (Local)

Predicción 62.08%1.61momio equitativo
EV +21.68%
Ventaja +11.06%
Kelly +22.58%
Crecimiento +4.90%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.48%60.75%62.03%67.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.661.531.9671.43%60.18%65.36%51.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Xinyu Wang (Visitante)

Predicción 37.92%2.64momio equitativo
EV +9.21%
Ventaja +3.20%
Kelly +4.90%
Crecimiento +0.451%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.71%39.25%37.97%50.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.242.402.8854.05%44.65%41.67%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV +21.68%E +11.06%K +22.58%G +4.90%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -27.20%E -14.16%K -29.56%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 23:51
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +18.57%E +9.73%K +20.41%G +3.79%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -27.57%E -14.44%K -30.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 23:35
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +18.57%E +9.73%K +20.41%G +3.79%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -27.57%E -14.44%K -30.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 23:34
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV +17.95%E +9.45%K +19.95%G +3.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -29.09%E -15.56%K -33.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 23:45
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV +17.33%E +9.17%K +19.48%G +3.38%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -28.33%E -14.99%K -31.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 23:35
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV +17.33%E +9.17%K +19.48%G +3.38%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -28.33%E -14.99%K -31.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 23:35
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV +17.33%E +9.17%K +19.48%G +3.38%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -28.33%E -14.99%K -31.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 23:35
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV +17.33%E +9.17%K +19.48%G +3.38%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -28.33%E -14.99%K -31.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 23:35
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +16.09%E +8.61%K +18.50%G +2.98%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -26.06%E -13.36%K -27.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:44
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +16.09%E +8.61%K +18.50%G +2.98%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -26.06%E -13.36%K -27.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 23:45
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV +16.09%E +8.61%K +18.50%G +2.98%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -26.44%E -13.63%K -28.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 23:35
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +16.09%E +8.61%K +18.50%G +2.98%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -26.82%E -13.89%K -28.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:35
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +16.09%E +8.61%K +18.50%G +2.98%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -29.09%E -15.56%K -33.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 23:35
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV +15.47%E +8.32%K +17.99%G +2.78%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -26.44%E -13.63%K -28.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:35
ReBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV +14.85%E +8.03%K +17.47%G +2.59%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -25.68%E -13.10%K -26.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:34
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV +14.85%E +8.03%K +17.47%G +2.59%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -26.82%E -13.89%K -28.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 23:35
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV +14.85%E +8.03%K +17.47%G +2.59%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -27.20%E -14.16%K -29.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 23:42
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +14.85%E +8.03%K +17.47%G +2.59%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -29.85%E -16.14%K -35.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 23:34
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +14.85%E +8.03%K +17.47%G +2.59%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -29.85%E -16.14%K -35.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 23:45
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +14.85%E +8.03%K +17.47%G +2.59%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -29.85%E -16.14%K -35.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 23:45
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +13.61%E +7.44%K +16.40%G +2.23%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -27.57%E -14.44%K -30.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 23:35
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +13.61%E +7.44%K +16.40%G +2.23%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -27.57%E -14.44%K -30.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 23:35
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV +13.61%E +7.44%K +16.40%G +2.23%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -28.71%E -15.27%K -32.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV +13.61%E +7.44%K +16.40%G +2.23%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -28.71%E -15.27%K -32.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 23:35
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +11.75%E +6.53%K +14.68%G +1.72%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -24.16%E -12.08%K -24.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 23:35
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.77%E -2.44%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 23:55
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 23:55
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 23:55
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 23:55
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 23:55
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.75%E -4.10%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 23:55
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 23:55
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 23:55
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 23:55
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -5.96%E -2.40%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 23:55
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -6.26%E -4.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -5.96%E -2.40%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 23:55
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.882%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:55
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.41%E -0.543%K -0.882%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 23:55
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 23:55
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 23:55
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 23:55
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 23:55
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 23:55
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.50%E -5.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 23:55
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.50%E -5.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 23:55
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -7.50%E -5.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -7.86%E -3.23%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 23:55
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.50%E -5.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 23:55
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -8.12%E -5.49%K -16.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +2.38%E +0.882%K +1.40%G +0.033%4.6%2026-03-20 23:55
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.12%E -5.49%K -16.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.12%E -5.49%K -16.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -8.12%E -5.49%K -16.92%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -7.86%E -3.23%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 23:55
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.12%E -5.49%K -16.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-20 23:55
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.74%E -5.95%K -18.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 23:55
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 64.73%EV -9.36%E -6.41%K -20.35%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.27%EV +1.62%E +0.605%K +0.966%G +0.016%5.8%2026-03-20 23:55
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -13.09%E -9.35%K -32.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +9.21%E +3.20%K +4.90%G +0.451%6.2%2026-03-20 23:54
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -13.09%E -9.35%K -32.72%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -0.653%E -0.249%K -0.403%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-20 23:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-03-20 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-03-20 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-20 23:55
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-03-20 23:55
ProphetX1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%1.5%2026-03-20 23:45
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.7%2026-03-20 23:54
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%6.0%2026-03-20 23:45