La escuela de los momios

Belinda Bencic v Coco Gauff

Inicio: 2026-03-24 23:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Belinda Bencic (Local)

Predicción 51.76%1.93momio equitativo
EV +0.932%
Ventaja +0.478%
Kelly +0.982%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.68%51.65%51.70%53.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.841.851.9557.80%54.33%54.05%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Coco Gauff (Visitante)

Predicción 48.24%2.07momio equitativo
EV -0.144%
Ventaja -0.069%
Kelly -0.134%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.05%48.35%48.30%51.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.851.951.932.0754.05%51.25%51.81%48.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +0.932%E +0.478%K +0.982%G +0.009%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -10.76%E -5.81%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 23:25
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -1.14%E -0.596%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -5.93%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-24 23:24
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.14%E -0.596%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.86%E -4.12%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 23:23
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.66%E -0.871%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.34%E -4.39%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 23:24
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.66%E -0.871%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.34%E -4.39%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 23:25
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -2.17%E -1.15%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -6.41%E -3.31%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-24 23:25
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.69%E -1.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.52%E -1.76%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-24 23:24
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.69%E -1.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.90%E -3.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 23:14
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.69%E -1.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.90%E -3.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 23:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.69%E -1.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.90%E -3.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 23:24
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.69%E -1.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.90%E -3.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 23:24
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.69%E -1.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.90%E -3.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 23:24
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.69%E -1.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.90%E -3.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 23:25
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.69%E -1.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.90%E -3.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 23:25
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.69%E -1.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.90%E -3.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 23:25
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.69%E -1.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.90%E -3.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 23:24
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.69%E -1.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.90%E -3.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 23:25
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.69%E -1.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.90%E -3.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 23:24
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.69%E -1.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.90%E -3.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 23:24
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.69%E -1.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.90%E -3.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 23:24
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.21%E -1.72%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.93%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 23:25
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -3.73%E -2.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.52%E -1.76%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 23:25
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -4.24%E -2.29%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.144%E -0.069%K -0.134%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-24 23:25
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.24%E -2.29%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.49%E -2.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 23:24
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.24%E -2.29%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.93%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 23:24
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.24%E -2.29%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.34%E -4.39%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 23:24
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.24%E -2.29%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.34%E -4.39%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 23:25
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.29%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.76%E -5.81%K -12.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-24 23:25
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.29%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.76%E -5.81%K -12.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-24 23:24
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.29%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.76%E -5.81%K -12.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-24 23:24
PointsBet (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.76%E -2.59%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.45%E -2.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 23:25
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.28%E -2.88%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.52%E -1.76%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 23:24
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.28%E -2.88%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.41%E -3.31%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-24 23:24
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.80%E -3.18%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.52%E -1.76%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 23:25
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.80%E -3.18%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.49%E -2.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 23:24
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.83%E -3.80%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.11%E -0.541%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 23:23
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.83%E -3.80%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.11%E -0.541%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 23:25
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.83%E -3.80%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.11%E -0.541%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 23:24
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.83%E -3.80%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.11%E -0.541%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 23:24
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.83%E -3.80%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.49%E -2.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 23:25
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.83%E -3.80%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.93%E -3.04%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-24 23:24
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.83%E -3.80%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.38%E -3.84%K -8.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-24 23:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.83%E -3.80%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.38%E -3.84%K -8.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-24 23:24
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.83%E -3.80%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.86%E -4.12%K -8.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 23:24
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.83%E -3.80%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.86%E -4.12%K -8.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 23:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.83%E -3.80%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.86%E -4.12%K -8.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 23:25
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -6.83%E -3.80%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -9.79%E -5.24%K -11.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 23:25
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -7.35%E -4.11%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -1.59%E -0.780%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 23:24
PlayUp1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.87%E -4.42%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -3.52%E -1.76%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-24 23:24
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.38%E -4.74%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.52%E -1.76%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-24 23:24
NetBet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -8.38%E -4.74%K -10.89%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -4.97%E -2.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-24 23:14
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.90%E -5.06%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -2.56%E -1.27%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 23:25
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.42%E -5.38%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.11%E -0.541%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 23:24
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.45%E -6.04%K -14.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.52%E -1.76%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-24 23:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-03-24 23:25
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-03-24 23:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-03-24 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-03-24 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-03-24 23:25
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-03-24 23:25
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%2.9%2026-03-24 23:25