La escuela de los momios

Amanda Anisimova v Ajla Tomljanovic

Inicio: 2026-03-20 17:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Amanda Anisimova (Local)

Predicción 86.54%1.16momio equitativo
EV +2.12%
Ventaja +1.80%
Kelly +11.79%
Crecimiento +0.250%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.91%86.41%86.62%91.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.041.101.101.1896.15%90.54%90.91%84.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ajla Tomljanovic (Visitante)

Predicción 13.46%7.43momio equitativo
EV +45.33%
Ventaja +4.20%
Kelly +4.63%
Crecimiento +2.10%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.94%13.59%13.38%19.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.006.636.5010.8020.00%15.08%15.38%9.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
DraftKings1.06I 94.34%NM 91.06%EV -8.26%E -7.80%K -137.73%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.94%EV +45.33%E +4.20%K +4.63%G +2.10%3.6%2026-03-20 16:45
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -6.53%E -6.05%K -81.66%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +21.11%E +2.35%K +2.64%G +0.557%3.7%2026-03-20 16:45
theScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -8.26%E -7.80%K -137.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +21.11%E +2.35%K +2.64%G +0.557%5.5%2026-03-20 16:45
Winamax (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -6.53%E -6.05%K -81.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +14.38%E +1.69%K +1.92%G +0.276%4.4%2026-03-20 16:45
Betway1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -7.40%E -6.91%K -105.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +14.38%E +1.69%K +1.92%G +0.276%5.2%2026-03-20 16:45
Winamax (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -9.13%E -8.69%K -182.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +14.38%E +1.69%K +1.92%G +0.276%7.0%2026-03-20 16:45
Coral1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.53%E -6.05%K -81.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +7.65%E +0.956%K +1.09%G +0.084%5.1%2026-03-20 16:45
NordicBet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -7.40%E -6.91%K -105.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +7.65%E +0.956%K +1.09%G +0.084%6.0%2026-03-20 16:45
Betsson1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -7.40%E -6.91%K -105.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +7.65%E +0.956%K +1.09%G +0.084%6.0%2026-03-20 16:45
PointsBet (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -9.99%E -9.61%K -249.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +7.65%E +0.956%K +1.09%G +0.084%8.7%2026-03-20 16:45
Coolbet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.67%E -5.20%K -62.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +0.921%E +0.123%K +0.142%G +0.001%5.1%2026-03-20 16:44
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.26%E -7.80%K -137.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +0.921%E +0.123%K +0.142%G +0.001%7.7%2026-03-20 16:45
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.26%E -7.80%K -137.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +0.921%E +0.123%K +0.142%G +0.001%7.7%2026-03-20 16:45
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.26%E -7.80%K -137.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +0.921%E +0.123%K +0.142%G +0.001%7.7%2026-03-20 16:45
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.26%E -7.80%K -137.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +0.921%E +0.123%K +0.142%G +0.001%7.7%2026-03-20 16:45
BetMGM1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -7.40%E -6.91%K -105.69%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -2.44%E -0.337%K -0.391%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 16:45
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.80%E -4.37%K -48.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.81%E -0.830%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 16:45
Casumo1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.80%E -4.37%K -48.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.81%E -0.830%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 16:45
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.80%E -4.37%K -48.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.81%E -0.830%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 16:45
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.80%E -4.37%K -48.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.81%E -0.830%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 16:45
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.80%E -4.37%K -48.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.81%E -0.830%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 16:45
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.80%E -4.37%K -48.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.81%E -0.830%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 16:45
ATG (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.80%E -4.37%K -48.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.81%E -0.830%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 16:45
BetRivers1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.67%E -5.20%K -62.97%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -9.17%E -1.36%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 16:45
TABtouch1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.67%E -5.20%K -62.97%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -9.17%E -1.36%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 16:45
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -3.07%E -2.74%K -25.59%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -11.32%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 07:45
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -3.07%E -2.74%K -25.59%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -11.32%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 07:45
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.53%E -1.93%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.80%E -4.37%K -48.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.53%E -1.93%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.67%E -5.20%K -62.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -12.53%E -1.93%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 16:45
Grosvenor1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.67%E -5.20%K -62.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -12.53%E -1.93%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 16:45
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.67%E -5.20%K -62.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -12.53%E -1.93%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 16:45
Bally Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.67%E -5.20%K -62.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -12.53%E -1.93%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 16:45
Fanatics1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.53%E -6.05%K -81.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -12.53%E -1.93%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 16:44
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.53%E -6.05%K -81.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -12.53%E -1.93%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 85.68%EV -7.40%E -6.91%K -105.69%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.32%EV -13.88%E -2.17%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 16:45
Fliff1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -6.53%E -6.05%K -81.66%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -15.90%E -2.54%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 16:45
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 83.89%EV +0.391%E +0.337%K +2.44%G +0.010%6.04I 16.56%NM 16.11%EV -18.72%E -3.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-20 14:30
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -19.26%E -3.21%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 06:09
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -19.26%E -3.21%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 07:45
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -2.21%E -1.95%K -16.97%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -21.28%E -3.64%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 16:35
ReBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -1.34%E -1.18%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -21.95%E -3.79%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 16:29
Parions Sport (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -2.21%E -1.95%K -16.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -21.95%E -3.79%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 14:50
NetBet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -3.94%E -3.55%K -35.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -21.95%E -3.79%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 16:24
Marathon Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.34%E -1.18%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -22.63%E -3.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 16:40
Unibet (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -2.21%E -1.95%K -16.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -22.63%E -3.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 07:54
SportsBet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -3.07%E -2.74%K -25.59%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -23.30%E -4.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 06:10
GTbets1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -0.475%E -0.413%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV -23.97%E -4.24%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 16:10
1xBet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -0.475%E -0.413%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -25.32%E -4.56%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 16:37
Bet Right1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -0.475%E -0.413%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -25.99%E -4.73%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 16:30
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -1.34%E -1.18%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -25.99%E -4.73%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 15:05
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -1.34%E -1.18%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -25.99%E -4.73%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 07:04
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.07%E -2.74%K -25.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -25.99%E -4.73%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 16:39
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.07%E -2.74%K -25.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -25.99%E -4.73%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 07:45
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV +1.26%E +1.07%K +7.39%G +0.093%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -29.36%E -5.59%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 16:40
BetUS1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -0.475%E -0.413%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -29.36%E -5.59%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 16:00
Neds1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -2.21%E -1.95%K -16.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -29.36%E -5.59%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 08:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -2.21%E -1.95%K -16.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -29.36%E -5.59%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 08:04
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV +2.12%E +1.80%K +11.79%G +0.250%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -32.72%E -6.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 16:43
PlayUp1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV +0.391%E +0.337%K +2.44%G +0.010%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -32.72%E -6.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 07:45
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -1.34%E -1.18%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -32.72%E -6.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 11:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17%0.3%2026-03-20 16:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17%0.3%2026-03-20 16:45
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17%0.3%2026-03-20 16:45
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 89.13%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.87%1.1%2026-03-20 16:45
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 89.38%9.26I 10.80%NM 10.62%1.7%2026-03-20 16:45
Matchbook1.10I 90.91%NM 89.32%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.68%1.8%2026-03-20 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%4.7%2026-03-20 16:45