La escuela de los momios

Magda Linette v Iva Jović

Inicio: 2026-04-23 15:48 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Magda Linette (Local)

Predicción 38.89%2.57momio equitativo
EV +3.45%
Ventaja +1.30%
Kelly +2.08%
Crecimiento +0.072%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.93%38.89%39.02%44.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.422.402.6647.62%41.40%41.67%37.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Iva Jović (Visitante)

Predicción 61.11%1.64momio equitativo
EV +3.27%
Ventaja +1.94%
Kelly +4.74%
Crecimiento +0.155%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.70%61.11%60.98%64.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.541.541.6969.93%65.00%64.94%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -14.44%E -6.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +3.27%E +1.94%K +4.74%G +0.155%4.6%2026-04-23 15:44
Unibet (UK)2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -14.05%E -6.36%K -11.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV +2.05%E +1.23%K +3.06%G +0.063%5.1%2026-04-23 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -18.33%E -8.73%K -16.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +2.05%E +1.23%K +3.06%G +0.063%7.5%2026-04-23 15:45
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -12.49%E -5.55%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +0.828%E +0.502%K +1.27%G +0.011%5.1%2026-04-23 15:44
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.66%E -2.77%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.06%E -2.59%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:45
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.44%E -3.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.06%E -2.59%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 15:45
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.44%E -3.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.06%E -2.59%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 15:45
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.44%E -3.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.06%E -2.59%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 15:45
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.44%E -3.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.06%E -2.59%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 15:45
LowVig.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -1.60%E -0.634%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.67%E -2.99%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 15:40
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -1.60%E -0.634%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.67%E -2.99%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 15:40
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.71%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.67%E -2.99%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 15:45
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.49%E -2.26%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.67%E -2.99%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:44
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.49%E -2.26%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.67%E -2.99%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:45
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.49%E -2.26%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.67%E -2.99%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:44
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.60%E -3.66%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.67%E -2.99%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 15:45
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.60%E -3.66%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.67%E -2.99%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 15:45
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.60%E -3.66%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.67%E -2.99%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 15:45
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -9.38%E -4.03%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -4.67%E -2.99%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:45
Bally Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -9.38%E -4.03%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -4.67%E -2.99%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:45
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.60%E -3.66%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.28%E -3.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 15:45
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.55%E -4.59%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.28%E -3.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 15:45
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.826%E -0.324%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.89%E -3.83%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 15:34
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.826%E -0.324%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.89%E -3.83%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 15:35
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -2.38%E -0.949%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.89%E -3.83%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 15:35
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.66%E -2.77%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.89%E -3.83%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:45
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -7.44%E -3.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -5.89%E -3.83%K -10.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:45
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -7.44%E -3.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -5.89%E -3.83%K -10.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:44
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.60%E -3.66%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.89%E -3.83%K -10.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 15:45
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -9.77%E -4.21%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -5.89%E -3.83%K -10.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 15:45
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV +3.45%E +1.30%K +2.08%G +0.072%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 15:35
ReBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.77%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:29
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.66%E -2.77%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:40
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.44%E -3.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 15:45
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.44%E -3.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 15:43
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.44%E -3.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.50%E -4.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 15:45
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -0.826%E -0.324%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -7.12%E -4.68%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 15:34
SportsBet2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -1.60%E -0.634%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -7.12%E -4.68%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:40
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.77%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.12%E -4.68%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:35
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -12.49%E -5.55%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.12%E -4.68%K -13.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 15:45
DraftKings2.53I 39.53%NM 37.38%EV -1.60%E -0.634%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.62%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:45
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -2.77%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 15:36
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.60%E -3.66%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 15:45
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +1.12%E +0.430%K +0.699%G +0.008%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.34%E -5.56%K -16.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 15:34
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.77%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.34%E -5.56%K -16.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 15:40
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.77%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.34%E -5.56%K -16.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.77%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.34%E -5.56%K -16.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 15:35
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.77%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.34%E -5.56%K -16.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 15:35
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.77%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.34%E -5.56%K -16.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 15:45
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.77%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.34%E -5.56%K -16.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 15:45
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.66%E -2.77%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.34%E -5.56%K -16.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 15:36
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.60%E -3.66%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.34%E -5.56%K -16.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 15:45
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -8.60%E -3.66%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -8.95%E -6.01%K -18.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 15:45
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -12.49%E -5.55%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -8.95%E -6.01%K -18.26%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 15:45
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.55%E -4.59%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -9.56%E -6.46%K -19.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 15:44
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -0.826%E -0.324%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -10.17%E -6.92%K -21.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:44
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -0.826%E -0.324%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -10.17%E -6.92%K -21.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:44
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -0.826%E -0.324%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -12.62%E -8.82%K -29.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 15:43
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-04-23 15:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-04-23 15:45
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.6%2026-04-23 15:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%5.6%2026-04-23 15:45
Novig2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%6.5%2026-04-23 15:45
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 39.38%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.62%8.5%2026-04-23 15:45