L’École des cotes

Leolia Jeanjean v Coco Gauff

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Leolia Jeanjean (Local)

Prévision 7.65%13.08cote équitable
EV +41.44%
Avantage +2.24%
Kelly +2.37%
Croissance +0.982%

avec la cote maximale 18.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.27%7.73%7.58%10.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
9.0012.4312.5018.5011.11%8.04%8.00%5.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Coco Gauff (Visiteur)

Prévision 92.35%1.08cote équitable
EV -3.03%
Avantage -2.88%
Kelly -60.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
89.73%92.27%92.42%94.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.011.031.031.0599.01%97.20%97.09%95.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle18.50I 5.41%NM 5.27%EV +41.44%E +2.24%K +2.37%G +0.982%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.73%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-23 16:35
1xBet16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +22.33%E +1.40%K +1.49%G +0.332%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 00:19
Winamax (DE)16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +22.33%E +1.40%K +1.49%G +0.332%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 15:35
BoyleSports15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +14.68%E +0.979%K +1.05%G +0.154%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 14:54
Unibet (FR)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +14.68%E +0.979%K +1.05%G +0.154%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.80%E -5.68%K -289.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 17:55
Coolbet14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +10.86%E +0.749%K +0.805%G +0.087%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -3.95%E -3.80%K -98.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 17:50
Winamax (FR)14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV +10.86%E +0.749%K +0.805%G +0.087%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -5.80%E -5.68%K -289.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:49
DraftKings13.80I 7.25%NM 6.95%EV +5.51%E +0.399%K +0.430%G +0.024%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 17:44
GTbets13.29I 7.52%NM 7.26%EV +1.61%E +0.121%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.74%EV -3.95%E -3.80%K -98.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 15:40
Fliff13.05I 7.66%NM 7.18%EV -0.224%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.82%EV -6.72%E -6.66%K -672.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -0.607%E -0.047%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.95%E -3.80%K -98.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 10:55
Bet Right13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.607%E -0.047%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 11:10
Bovada13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.607%E -0.047%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 15:26
Hard Rock Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.607%E -0.047%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 12:00
Unibet (UK)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -0.607%E -0.047%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.80%E -5.68%K -289.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 03:00
Betway13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -0.607%E -0.047%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.80%E -5.68%K -289.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 02:10
Fanatics13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -0.607%E -0.047%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.80%E -5.68%K -289.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 15:14
NordicBet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -0.607%E -0.047%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.80%E -5.68%K -289.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 17:44
Betsson13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -0.607%E -0.047%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.80%E -5.68%K -289.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 17:44
FanDuel12.80I 7.81%NM 7.58%EV -2.14%E -0.167%K -0.181%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.42%EV -3.03%E -2.88%K -60.56%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 15:35
Grosvenor12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -4.43%E -0.354%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:45
TABtouch12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -4.43%E -0.354%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -4.43%E -0.354%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:45
BetRivers12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -4.43%E -0.354%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:45
Unibet (NL)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -4.43%E -0.354%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:45
Unibet (SE)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -4.43%E -0.354%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:45
Casumo12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -4.43%E -0.354%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:45
LeoVegas12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -4.43%E -0.354%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:45
Unibet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -4.43%E -0.354%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:45
Bally Bet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -4.43%E -0.354%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:45
Svenska Spel12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -4.43%E -0.354%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:45
betPARX12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -4.43%E -0.354%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:45
ATG (SE)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -4.43%E -0.354%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:45
Betr (AU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -4.43%E -0.354%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.80%E -5.68%K -289.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:20
Ladbrokes (AU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -4.43%E -0.354%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.72%E -6.66%K -672.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:55
Neds12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -4.43%E -0.354%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.72%E -6.66%K -672.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:55
BetOnline.ag12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -7.33%E -0.605%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:05
LowVig.ag12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -7.33%E -0.605%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:05
Paddy Power12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -8.25%E -0.688%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.95%E -3.80%K -98.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 15:34
PointsBet (AU)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -8.25%E -0.688%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 17:44
Coral12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -8.25%E -0.688%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 10:54
SportsBet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.08%E -1.05%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.95%E -3.80%K -98.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 15:34
888sport11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -15.90%E -1.45%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.95%E -3.80%K -98.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 10:54
Mr Green (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -15.90%E -1.45%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.95%E -3.80%K -98.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 10:54
888sport (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -15.90%E -1.45%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.95%E -3.80%K -98.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 10:54
William Hill11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -15.90%E -1.45%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.95%E -3.80%K -98.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 12:19
PlayUp11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -15.90%E -1.45%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 15:35
theScore Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -15.90%E -1.45%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 11:15
BetMGM11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -15.90%E -1.45%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 10:55
Caesars11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -15.90%E -1.45%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 11:24
PMU (FR)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -15.90%E -1.45%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 11:44
ReBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -15.90%E -1.45%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.80%E -5.68%K -289.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 01:05
Virgin Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -15.90%E -1.45%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.80%E -5.68%K -289.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:45
LiveScore Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -15.90%E -1.45%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.80%E -5.68%K -289.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:45
TAB10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -23.54%E -2.35%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:25
Everygame10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -23.54%E -2.35%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -5.80%E -5.68%K -289.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 12:35
Bet Victor9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -31.19%E -3.47%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 00:15
Tipico (DE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -31.19%E -3.47%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 14:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%0.8%2026-04-24 00:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%1.0%2026-04-23 17:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%1.0%2026-04-23 17:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%1.0%2026-04-23 17:45
Novig14.49I 6.90%NM 6.70%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.30%3.1%2026-04-24 03:20
Smarkets11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%6.2%2026-04-24 03:20