L’École des cotes

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro v Diana Shnaider

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-23 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local)

Prévision 31.87%3.14cote équitable
EV +12.17%
Avantage +3.46%
Kelly +4.83%
Croissance +0.588%

avec la cote maximale 3.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.93%31.66%32.03%35.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.603.012.933.5238.46%33.21%34.13%28.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Diana Shnaider (Visiteur)

Prévision 68.13%1.47cote équitable
EV -1.21%
Avantage -0.833%
Kelly -2.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.37%68.34%67.97%73.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.261.371.371.4579.37%73.07%72.99%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
SportsBet3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV +12.17%E +3.46%K +4.83%G +0.588%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -11.43%E -8.79%K -38.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:34
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +11.54%E +3.30%K +4.61%G +0.532%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -12.11%E -9.39%K -41.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 10:54
LowVig.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV +11.22%E +3.21%K +4.50%G +0.505%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -10.06%E -7.62%K -31.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 10:29
BetOnline.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV +11.22%E +3.21%K +4.50%G +0.505%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -10.06%E -7.62%K -31.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV +8.35%E +2.46%K +3.48%G +0.290%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -12.79%E -9.99%K -45.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 10:55
1xBet3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV +8.03%E +2.37%K +3.36%G +0.270%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -9.38%E -7.06%K -28.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 10:35
ReBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +6.76%E +2.02%K +2.87%G +0.194%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -9.38%E -7.06%K -28.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 10:34
Fliff3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV +6.76%E +2.02%K +2.87%G +0.194%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -14.15%E -11.23%K -54.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 10:55
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +5.16%E +1.56%K +2.24%G +0.116%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -9.38%E -7.06%K -28.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 10:30
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +5.16%E +1.56%K +2.24%G +0.116%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -10.06%E -7.62%K -31.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 10:34
GTbets3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV +5.16%E +1.56%K +2.24%G +0.116%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -12.11%E -9.39%K -41.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 10:39
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV +5.16%E +1.56%K +2.24%G +0.116%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -12.79%E -9.99%K -45.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 10:34
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.57%E +1.10%K +1.59%G +0.057%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.38%E -7.06%K -28.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 10:35
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +1.98%E +0.617%K +0.898%G +0.018%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -8.02%E -5.94%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:47
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +1.98%E +0.617%K +0.898%G +0.018%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -8.02%E -5.94%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:55
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +1.98%E +0.617%K +0.898%G +0.018%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -8.70%E -6.49%K -25.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 10:35
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +1.98%E +0.617%K +0.898%G +0.018%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -9.38%E -7.06%K -28.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 10:54
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.382%E +0.121%K +0.178%G +0.001%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:00
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.382%E +0.121%K +0.178%G +0.001%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:55
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.382%E +0.121%K +0.178%G +0.001%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:55
PointsBet (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV +0.382%E +0.121%K +0.178%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -9.38%E -7.06%K -28.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 10:55
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV +0.382%E +0.121%K +0.178%G +0.001%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -10.06%E -7.62%K -31.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 10:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV +0.382%E +0.121%K +0.178%G +0.001%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -10.06%E -7.62%K -31.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 10:35
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.21%E -0.391%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 11:00
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.21%E -0.391%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:34
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -1.21%E -0.391%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -10.06%E -7.62%K -31.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 10:54
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 10:58
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.02%E -5.94%K -22.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 11:00
DraftKings2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -5.04%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.30%E -3.81%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 10:59
Fanatics2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -9.38%E -7.06%K -28.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 11:00
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13%NM 32.95%EV -6.63%E -2.26%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.05%EV -1.89%E -1.31%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 11:00
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.58%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 11:00
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.58%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 11:00
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.58%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 10:55
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.58%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 11:00
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.58%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.66%E -4.86%K -17.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 11:00
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -8.22%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:00
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -8.22%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:00
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -8.22%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:00
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -8.22%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:00
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -8.22%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:00
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.22%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.22%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 11:00
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.22%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 11:00
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.18%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 10:55
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -10.77%E -3.85%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:00
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -10.77%E -3.85%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:00
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -10.77%E -3.85%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:00
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -10.77%E -3.85%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:00
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -10.77%E -3.85%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:00
Betsson2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.77%E -3.85%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -12.37%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 11:00
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -12.37%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 11:00
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -13.96%E -5.17%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.57%E -1.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:00
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -13.96%E -5.17%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 11:00
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -13.96%E -5.17%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.67%EV -8.02%E -5.94%K -22.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 11:00
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -16.51%E -6.30%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -1.21%E -0.833%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 10:59
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -16.51%E -6.30%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -1.89%E -1.31%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:00
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -16.51%E -6.30%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -1.89%E -1.31%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:00
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -16.51%E -6.30%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -1.89%E -1.31%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:00
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.34%EV -17.15%E -6.59%K -10.72%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.66%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 11:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-04-23 11:00
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-04-23 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%1.7%2026-04-23 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%1.8%2026-04-23 10:55
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%1.9%2026-04-23 10:55
Novig2.84I 35.21%NM 32.54%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.46%8.2%2026-04-23 10:55