La escuela de los momios

Hailey Baptiste v Kaitlin Quevedo

Inicio: 2026-04-23 17:12 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Hailey Baptiste (Local)

Predicción 66.07%1.51momio equitativo
EV -4.20%
Ventaja -2.90%
Kelly -9.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.20%66.02%66.19%68.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.431.431.4572.46%69.95%69.93%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kaitlin Quevedo (Visitante)

Predicción 33.93%2.95momio equitativo
EV +1.80%
Ventaja +0.601%
Kelly +0.901%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.51%33.98%33.81%35.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.782.803.0038.46%35.93%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -4.86%E -3.38%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV +1.80%E +0.601%K +0.901%G +0.016%2.8%2026-04-23 17:10
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.83%E -6.40%K -23.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +1.80%E +0.601%K +0.901%G +0.016%5.8%2026-04-23 17:10
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%EV -4.86%E -3.38%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV +0.444%E +0.150%K +0.227%G +0.001%3.2%2026-04-23 17:07
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.20%E -2.90%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -1.59%E -0.549%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.86%E -3.38%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.59%E -0.549%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 17:06
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.53%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.59%E -0.549%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 17:02
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.53%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.59%E -0.549%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 17:08
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.86%E -3.38%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.27%E -0.788%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 17:10
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.53%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.29%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 17:07
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.53%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.29%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 17:09
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.19%E -4.36%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.29%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 17:09
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.20%E -2.90%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.63%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 17:09
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.20%E -2.90%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.63%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 17:09
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.53%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -3.63%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 17:10
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -5.53%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -4.31%E -1.53%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.53%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.99%E -1.78%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:09
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.53%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.99%E -1.78%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:09
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.53%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.99%E -1.78%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:09
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.53%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.99%E -1.78%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:10
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.53%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.99%E -1.78%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:10
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.53%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.99%E -1.78%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:09
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.53%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.99%E -1.78%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:09
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.53%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.99%E -1.78%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:10
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.53%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.99%E -1.78%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:10
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.53%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.99%E -1.78%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:10
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.53%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.99%E -1.78%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:09
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.53%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.99%E -1.78%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:10
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.53%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.99%E -1.78%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:10
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.53%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.99%E -1.78%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:09
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.19%E -4.36%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.99%E -1.78%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 17:07
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.19%E -4.36%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.99%E -1.78%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 17:09
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.51%E -5.36%K -18.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.99%E -1.78%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:09
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.80%EV -4.86%E -3.38%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.20%EV -6.00%E -2.17%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 17:09
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.86%E -3.38%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.68%E -2.43%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 17:06
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.53%E -3.86%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.68%E -2.43%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 17:09
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.19%E -4.36%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.68%E -2.43%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 17:09
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.85%E -4.86%K -16.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.68%E -2.43%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 17:10
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.85%E -4.86%K -16.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.68%E -2.43%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 17:10
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.51%E -5.36%K -18.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.68%E -2.43%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.51%E -5.36%K -18.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.68%E -2.43%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 17:09
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.51%E -5.36%K -18.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.68%E -2.43%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 17:00
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -4.20%E -2.90%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -7.36%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 16:59
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.20%E -2.90%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.38%E -3.10%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 17:10
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.20%E -2.90%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.38%E -3.10%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 17:10
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.20%E -2.90%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.38%E -3.10%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 17:09
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.20%E -2.90%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.38%E -3.10%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 17:10
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.19%E -4.36%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.38%E -3.10%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:09
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.19%E -4.36%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.38%E -3.10%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:06
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.19%E -4.36%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.38%E -3.10%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:06
Fliff1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.51%E -5.36%K -18.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -10.08%E -3.80%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 17:09
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -4.20%E -2.90%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -11.09%E -4.23%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:08
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.86%E -3.38%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.09%E -4.23%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 17:09
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.86%E -3.38%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.09%E -4.23%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 17:09
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.86%E -3.38%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.09%E -4.23%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 17:09
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.20%E -2.90%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.77%E -4.53%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 17:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.2%2026-04-23 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.2%2026-04-23 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-04-23 17:10
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-04-23 17:10
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 66.99%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.01%9.0%2026-04-23 17:04