L’École des cotes

Elena Gabriela Ruse v Elena Rybakina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 10:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local)

Prévision 8.94%11.19cote équitable
EV +20.65%
Avantage +1.53%
Kelly +1.65%
Croissance +0.341%

avec la cote maximale 13.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.15%8.91%8.79%11.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.0010.2610.0013.5012.50%9.75%10.00%7.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elena Rybakina (Visiteur)

Prévision 91.06%1.10cote équitable
EV -3.47%
Avantage -3.28%
Kelly -57.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
88.40%91.09%91.21%92.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.011.051.051.0699.01%95.50%95.24%94.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV +20.65%E +1.53%K +1.65%G +0.341%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.85%EV -5.29%E -5.09%K -132.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 22:25
FanDuel13.40I 7.46%NM 7.27%EV +19.75%E +1.47%K +1.59%G +0.315%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.73%EV -4.38%E -4.17%K -87.67%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-23 22:25
DraftKings13.20I 7.58%NM 7.24%EV +17.97%E +1.36%K +1.47%G +0.265%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.76%EV -6.20%E -6.02%K -206.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 13:10
1xBet13.10I 7.63%NM 7.42%EV +17.07%E +1.30%K +1.41%G +0.241%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.58%EV -4.38%E -4.17%K -87.67%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-24 03:04
Pinnacle13.07I 7.65%NM 7.44%EV +16.80%E +1.29%K +1.39%G +0.234%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.56%EV -4.38%E -4.17%K -87.67%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 22:34
Paddy Power13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +16.18%E +1.24%K +1.35%G +0.218%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.29%E -5.09%K -132.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 20:44
SportsBet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +11.71%E +0.937%K +1.02%G +0.119%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -5.29%E -5.09%K -132.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:25
Bovada12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +7.24%E +0.604%K +0.658%G +0.048%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.29%E -5.09%K -132.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 19:05
Betway12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +7.24%E +0.604%K +0.658%G +0.048%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.20%E -6.02%K -206.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 21:34
Coolbet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +2.77%E +0.241%K +0.264%G +0.007%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.47%E -3.28%K -57.88%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 10:40
BoyleSports11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -1.69%E -0.154%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.47%E -3.28%K -57.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 06:05
Betsson11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.69%E -0.154%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.38%E -4.17%K -87.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 20:34
Ladbrokes (UK)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.69%E -0.154%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.38%E -4.17%K -87.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 11:24
Coral11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.69%E -0.154%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.38%E -4.17%K -87.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 11:24
NordicBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.69%E -0.154%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.38%E -4.17%K -87.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 20:40
Betclic (FR)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -1.69%E -0.154%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.38%E -4.17%K -87.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 20:35
Winamax (FR)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -1.69%E -0.154%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.20%E -6.02%K -206.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 20:34
Ladbrokes (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -1.69%E -0.154%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -7.12%E -6.98%K -355.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:24
Neds11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -1.69%E -0.154%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -7.12%E -6.98%K -355.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:24
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -1.69%E -0.154%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -8.03%E -7.95%K -802.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 22:09
LowVig.ag10.78I 9.28%NM 8.80%EV -3.66%E -0.340%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.20%EV -5.29%E -5.09%K -132.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 03:20
BetOnline.ag10.78I 9.28%NM 8.80%EV -3.66%E -0.340%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.20%EV -5.29%E -5.09%K -132.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 03:20
GTbets10.76I 9.29%NM 8.66%EV -3.84%E -0.357%K -0.393%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.34%EV -7.12%E -6.98%K -355.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 10:39
Unibet (FR)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -6.16%E -0.587%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.38%E -4.17%K -87.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 22:25
Fanatics10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -6.16%E -0.587%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.38%E -4.17%K -87.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 20:49
Betr (AU)10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -8.40%E -0.819%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.29%E -5.09%K -132.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 15:01
Bet Right10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.38%E -4.17%K -87.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:00
888sport10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.38%E -4.17%K -87.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 15:54
William Hill10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.38%E -4.17%K -87.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 17:44
888sport (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.38%E -4.17%K -87.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 19:50
Mr Green (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.38%E -4.17%K -87.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.38%E -4.17%K -87.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 22:30
Unibet (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.29%E -5.09%K -132.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 16:10
BetMGM10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.29%E -5.09%K -132.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 11:24
Caesars10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.29%E -5.09%K -132.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:54
PointsBet (AU)9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -12.42%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -4.38%E -4.17%K -87.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:59
theScore Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -15.10%E -1.59%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.38%E -4.17%K -87.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 10:54
ReBet9.20I 10.87%NM 10.16%EV -17.78%E -1.93%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.84%EV -5.29%E -5.09%K -132.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:10
Casumo9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -19.57%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.47%E -3.28%K -57.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 10:40
Unibet (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -19.57%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.47%E -3.28%K -57.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 10:39
TABtouch9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -19.57%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.47%E -3.28%K -57.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 10:40
Unibet (NL)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -19.57%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.47%E -3.28%K -57.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 10:39
LeoVegas (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -19.57%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.47%E -3.28%K -57.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 10:39
Grosvenor9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -19.57%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.47%E -3.28%K -57.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 10:39
LeoVegas9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -19.57%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.47%E -3.28%K -57.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 10:39
BetRivers9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -19.57%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.47%E -3.28%K -57.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 10:39
Unibet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -19.57%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.47%E -3.28%K -57.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 10:39
Bally Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -19.57%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.47%E -3.28%K -57.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 10:39
Svenska Spel9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -19.57%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.47%E -3.28%K -57.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 10:39
ATG (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -19.57%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.47%E -3.28%K -57.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 10:40
betPARX9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -19.57%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.47%E -3.28%K -57.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 10:39
Hard Rock Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -19.57%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.47%E -3.28%K -57.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 10:39
PlayUp9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -19.57%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.38%E -4.17%K -87.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 03:20
TAB9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -19.57%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.29%E -5.09%K -132.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:20
Everygame9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -19.57%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.20%E -6.02%K -206.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 03:10
PMU (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -24.04%E -2.83%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -3.47%E -3.28%K -57.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 10:39
Bet Victor8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -24.04%E -2.83%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.29%E -5.09%K -132.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 21:34
Virgin Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.38%E -4.17%K -87.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 10:49
LiveScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.38%E -4.17%K -87.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 10:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18%1.1%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02%1.3%2026-04-24 02:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02%1.3%2026-04-24 02:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02%1.3%2026-04-24 02:35
Novig14.93I 6.70%NM 6.57%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.43%1.9%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%3.3%2026-04-24 02:50