La escuela de los momios

Belinda Bencic v Diana Shnaider

Inicio: 2026-04-25 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Belinda Bencic (Local)

Predicción 57.86%1.73momio equitativo
EV -2.79%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -4.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.58%57.84%57.80%59.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.641.651.6864.52%61.00%60.61%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Diana Shnaider (Visitante)

Predicción 42.14%2.37momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -0.965%
Kelly -1.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.94%42.16%42.20%43.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.222.202.3247.62%45.05%45.45%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 02:15
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 20:24
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.29%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:44
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.29%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:44
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.29%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:44
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.29%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:45
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.29%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:45
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.29%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.29%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:45
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.29%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:44
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.29%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:44
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.29%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:45
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.29%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:44
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.29%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:44
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.29%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:44
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.29%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:04
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -8.14%E -3.73%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 03:15
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.95%E -2.38%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.03%E -2.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 15:05
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-24 00:22
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -4.35%E -1.91%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 02:15
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:35
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 03:15
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:35
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.29%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:35
PMU (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -8.14%E -3.73%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:45
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -8.98%E -4.16%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 20:45
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -8.98%E -4.16%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 20:45
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 03:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 03:15
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 03:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 03:15
Betsson1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.11%E -3.11%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 18:35
NordicBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.11%E -3.11%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 18:34
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.11%E -3.11%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.77%E -2.11%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 02:35
Betr (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 02:34
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 18:34
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 18:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 15:24
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -6.87%E -3.11%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:34
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.29%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 00:35
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 20:50
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 18:04
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 18:05
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 18:04
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 00:15
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.29%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 20:49
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 18:00
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 18:35
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -9.74%E -6.24%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 18:34
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -9.74%E -6.24%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.51%E -5.48%K -10.46%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 15:25
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -10.31%E -6.65%K -18.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.51%E -5.48%K -10.46%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 18:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%3.1%2026-04-23 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%3.1%2026-04-23 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%3.1%2026-04-23 23:09
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 47.20%1.52I 65.79%NM 52.80%24.6%2026-04-23 23:45