L’École des cotes

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova v Alexandra Eala

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 11:42 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (Local)

Prévision 40.17%2.49cote équitable
EV +2.44%
Avantage +0.957%
Kelly +1.57%
Croissance +0.038%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.35%40.11%40.50%41.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.352.352.5545.45%42.56%42.55%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexandra Eala (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.83%1.67cote équitable
EV -1.28%
Avantage -0.779%
Kelly -1.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.23%59.89%59.50%62.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.581.581.6566.67%63.33%63.29%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +2.44%E +0.957%K +1.57%G +0.038%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -9.06%E -5.96%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 11:40
FanDuel2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV +2.04%E +0.802%K +1.32%G +0.027%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -8.46%E -5.53%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 11:39
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.431%E +0.173%K +0.288%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 11:39
LowVig.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -0.774%E -0.313%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -4.87%E -3.07%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 11:40
BetOnline.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -0.774%E -0.313%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -4.87%E -3.07%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 11:39
Pinnacle2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -1.18%E -0.478%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.68%E -2.28%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-22 11:40
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -1.58%E -0.644%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 11:40
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.58%E -0.644%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 11:36
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.58%E -0.644%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 11:40
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 11:29
ReBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 11:29
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 11:40
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 11:39
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 11:37
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.39%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.08%E -1.90%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-22 11:39
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:40
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:39
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:39
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:39
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:39
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:39
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:39
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:40
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:39
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:39
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:40
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:39
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 11:39
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 11:40
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 11:38
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 11:37
DraftKings2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.80%E -2.93%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -4.87%E -3.07%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 11:39
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -7.20%E -3.12%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.08%E -1.90%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 11:38
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.28%E -0.779%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 11:37
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.08%E -1.90%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:39
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.08%E -1.90%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:36
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 11:40
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 11:39
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 11:30
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 11:39
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 11:40
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 11:39
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 11:29
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.41%E -3.69%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 11:39
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.68%E -2.28%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 11:39
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 11:39
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 11:39
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 11:38
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 11:39
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 11:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%0.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%0.2%2026-04-22 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-22 11:40
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-22 11:40
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%2.5%2026-04-22 11:40
Novig2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%3.5%2026-04-22 11:39