La escuela de los momios

Alycia Parks v Elisabetta Cocciaretto

Inicio: 2026-04-22 11:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Alycia Parks (Local)

Predicción 42.76%2.34momio equitativo
EV +28.69%
Ventaja +9.53%
Kelly +14.28%
Crecimiento +4.10%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.01

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.92%42.27%42.71%48.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.342.253.0152.36%42.66%44.44%33.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Visitante)

Predicción 57.24%1.75momio equitativo
EV +3.04%
Ventaja +1.69%
Kelly +3.80%
Crecimiento +0.116%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.48%57.73%57.29%68.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.581.611.8073.53%63.11%62.11%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.01I 33.22%NM 32.21%EV +28.69%E +9.53%K +14.28%G +4.10%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.79%EV -18.14%E -12.69%K -42.19%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 11:40
SportsBet2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV +26.56%E +8.97%K +13.55%G +3.60%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -19.29%E -13.68%K -47.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 11:35
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +23.99%E +8.27%K +12.63%G +3.03%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -22.15%E -16.28%K -61.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 11:29
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +19.72%E +7.04%K +10.95%G +2.16%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -17.00%E -11.72%K -37.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 11:37
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +19.72%E +7.04%K +10.95%G +2.16%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -17.57%E -12.20%K -39.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:29
GTbets2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV +18.86%E +6.78%K +10.60%G +2.00%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.51%EV -19.86%E -14.18%K -49.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 11:29
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +18.43%E +6.65%K +10.41%G +1.92%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -16.42%E -11.25%K -35.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 11:32
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +17.58%E +6.39%K +10.04%G +1.77%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -17.00%E -11.72%K -37.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:33
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +17.58%E +6.39%K +10.04%G +1.77%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -17.57%E -12.20%K -39.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 11:32
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +17.58%E +6.39%K +10.04%G +1.77%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -17.57%E -12.20%K -39.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 11:31
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +16.30%E +5.99%K +9.47%G +1.54%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -14.71%E -9.87%K -30.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-22 11:37
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +16.30%E +5.99%K +9.47%G +1.54%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -14.71%E -9.87%K -30.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-22 11:36
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +15.44%E +5.72%K +9.08%G +1.40%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -17.00%E -11.72%K -37.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 11:35
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +15.44%E +5.72%K +9.08%G +1.40%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -17.57%E -12.20%K -39.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +11.16%E +4.29%K +6.98%G +0.779%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -17.57%E -12.20%K -39.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 11:32
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +11.16%E +4.29%K +6.98%G +0.779%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -17.57%E -12.20%K -39.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 11:31
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV +1.76%E +0.739%K +1.27%G +0.022%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -9.55%E -6.05%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:39
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV +1.76%E +0.739%K +1.27%G +0.022%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -9.55%E -6.05%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:38
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.76%E +0.739%K +1.27%G +0.022%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.13%E -6.45%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 11:39
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -0.807%E -0.348%K -0.611%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -10.13%E -6.45%K -17.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 11:40
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.66%E -0.723%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.66%E -0.723%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.41%E -5.26%K -14.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 11:39
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -1.66%E -0.723%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.13%E -6.45%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.52%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.69%E -4.11%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.52%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.69%E -4.11%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.52%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.69%E -4.11%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:39
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.52%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.69%E -4.11%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 11:39
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.80%E -1.69%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 11:39
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.80%E -1.69%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.41%E -5.26%K -14.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 11:39
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.80%E -1.69%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.13%E -6.45%K -17.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 11:39
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.66%E -2.09%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.97%E -3.00%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:40
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.09%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.84%E -4.87%K -12.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 11:39
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -4.66%E -2.09%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.84%E -4.87%K -12.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 11:39
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.94%E -2.70%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.83%E -2.28%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 11:39
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.94%E -2.70%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.40%E -2.64%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 11:39
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.94%E -2.70%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.12%E -3.73%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 11:40
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.94%E -2.70%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.69%E -4.11%K -10.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 11:39
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.94%E -2.70%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 11:40
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.94%E -2.70%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.41%E -5.26%K -14.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 11:39
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.79%E -3.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.12%E -3.73%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 11:40
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.55%E -3.36%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 11:39
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.55%E -3.36%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 11:39
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.55%E -3.36%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.84%E -4.87%K -12.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 11:40
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.01%EV -8.50%E -3.97%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -11.27%E -7.27%K -20.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 11:39
DraftKings2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -8.93%E -4.19%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -3.26%E -1.93%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 11:39
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -9.36%E -4.41%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 11:39
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.21%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.68%E -1.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 11:40
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.21%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.68%E -1.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 11:38
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -10.21%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 11:39
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.21%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -10.70%E -6.86%K -19.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 11:39
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -12.35%E -6.02%K -11.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -0.967%E -0.559%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 11:39
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.35%E -6.02%K -11.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.68%E -1.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 11:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -12.35%E -6.02%K -11.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -4.40%E -2.64%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 11:39
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -14.49%E -7.24%K -14.49%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -1.54%E -0.895%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 11:40
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -14.49%E -7.24%K -14.49%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -3.26%E -1.93%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 11:40
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -18.34%E -9.60%K -20.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV +3.04%E +1.69%K +3.80%G +0.116%7.9%2026-04-22 11:40
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -18.34%E -9.60%K -20.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV +3.04%E +1.69%K +3.80%G +0.116%7.9%2026-04-22 11:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-04-22 11:40
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.0%2026-04-22 11:40
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%6.8%2026-04-22 11:40
Novig2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%6.9%2026-04-22 11:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%7.3%2026-04-22 11:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%7.3%2026-04-22 11:40