L’École des cotes

Viktorija Golubic v Mirra Andreeva

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 17:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Viktorija Golubic (Local)

Prévision 8.86%11.29cote équitable
EV +50.59%
Avantage +2.98%
Kelly +3.16%
Croissance +1.60%

avec la cote maximale 17.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.61%8.82%9.10%11.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.0011.0910.6017.0012.50%9.02%9.43%5.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mirra Andreeva (Visiteur)

Prévision 91.14%1.10cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -19.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
88.30%91.18%90.90%94.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.011.031.041.0899.01%96.63%96.62%92.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
SportsBet17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +50.59%E +2.98%K +3.16%G +1.60%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -7.04%E -6.90%K -351.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 16:50
888sport17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +50.59%E +2.98%K +3.16%G +1.60%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -7.95%E -7.87%K -794.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 16:49
Mr Green (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +50.59%E +2.98%K +3.16%G +1.60%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -7.95%E -7.87%K -794.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 16:49
Pinnacle16.31I 6.13%NM 6.05%EV +44.48%E +2.73%K +2.91%G +1.29%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.95%EV -4.30%E -4.10%K -86.02%G +0.000%1.4%2026-05-09 16:55
BoyleSports15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +32.87%E +2.19%K +2.35%G +0.772%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -6.12%E -5.95%K -204.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 16:49
William Hill15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +32.87%E +2.19%K +2.35%G +0.772%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -7.04%E -6.90%K -351.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 16:47
Marathon Bet14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV +28.44%E +1.96%K +2.11%G +0.599%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -7.95%E -7.87%K -794.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 16:47
LowVig.ag13.75I 7.27%NM 6.91%EV +21.80%E +1.59%K +1.71%G +0.373%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.09%EV -7.04%E -6.90%K -351.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 16:49
BetOnline.ag13.75I 7.27%NM 6.91%EV +21.80%E +1.59%K +1.71%G +0.373%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.09%EV -7.04%E -6.90%K -351.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 16:49
NetBet (FR)13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV +19.58%E +1.45%K +1.57%G +0.307%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -7.95%E -7.87%K -794.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet (UK)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +15.16%E +1.17%K +1.26%G +0.191%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.12%E -5.95%K -204.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 16:50
Bet Right13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +15.16%E +1.17%K +1.26%G +0.191%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.12%E -5.95%K -204.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 16:50
ReBet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +15.16%E +1.17%K +1.26%G +0.191%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.12%E -5.95%K -204.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 16:49
Neds12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV +10.73%E +0.858%K +0.933%G +0.100%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -7.95%E -7.87%K -794.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV +10.73%E +0.858%K +0.933%G +0.100%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -7.95%E -7.87%K -794.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 16:49
GTbets12.45I 8.03%NM 7.98%EV +10.28%E +0.826%K +0.898%G +0.092%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.02%EV -1.57%E -1.45%K -19.58%G +0.000%0.6%2026-05-09 16:50
Unibet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +6.30%E +0.525%K +0.572%G +0.036%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +6.30%E +0.525%K +0.572%G +0.036%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 17:10
Hard Rock Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +6.30%E +0.525%K +0.572%G +0.036%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 16:54
FanDuel12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +6.30%E +0.525%K +0.572%G +0.036%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -7.04%E -6.90%K -351.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 17:10
Paddy Power12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +6.30%E +0.525%K +0.572%G +0.036%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -7.04%E -6.90%K -351.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 17:09
888sport (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +6.30%E +0.525%K +0.572%G +0.036%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -7.04%E -6.90%K -351.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 17:10
1xBet11.70I 8.55%NM 8.16%EV +3.64%E +0.311%K +0.340%G +0.012%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.84%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 16:55
Unibet (FR)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV +1.87%E +0.162%K +0.178%G +0.003%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -6.12%E -5.95%K -204.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 16:49
Coolbet11.30I 8.85%NM 8.43%EV +0.097%E +0.009%K +0.009%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.57%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 17:09
Betr (AU)11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -0.346%E -0.031%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -6.12%E -5.95%K -204.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 17:00
PlayUp11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -2.56%E -0.233%K -0.256%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.12%E -5.95%K -204.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 16:49
Caesars11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -2.56%E -0.233%K -0.256%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.12%E -5.95%K -204.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 17:09
TAB11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -2.56%E -0.233%K -0.256%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -7.04%E -6.90%K -351.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:49
DraftKings10.90I 9.17%NM 8.86%EV -3.45%E -0.316%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.14%EV -3.39%E -3.20%K -56.49%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-09 17:10
Fliff10.30I 9.71%NM 8.93%EV -8.76%E -0.851%K -0.942%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.07%EV -7.95%E -7.87%K -794.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:09
Betway10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.42%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.30%E -4.10%K -86.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 17:10
ATG (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.42%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.30%E -4.10%K -86.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 17:09
Betsson10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -11.42%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 17:09
NordicBet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -11.42%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 17:10
PointsBet (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -11.42%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 17:09
BetMGM10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -11.42%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.12%E -5.95%K -204.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 17:05
Everygame10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -11.42%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -7.04%E -6.90%K -351.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 16:50
Casumo9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -15.85%E -1.67%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.30%E -4.10%K -86.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 17:10
Unibet (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -15.85%E -1.67%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.30%E -4.10%K -86.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 17:10
Unibet (NL)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -15.85%E -1.67%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.30%E -4.10%K -86.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 17:10
TABtouch9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -15.85%E -1.67%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.30%E -4.10%K -86.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 17:10
betPARX9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -15.85%E -1.67%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.30%E -4.10%K -86.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 17:10
Svenska Spel9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -15.85%E -1.67%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.30%E -4.10%K -86.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 17:10
theScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -20.28%E -2.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.39%E -3.20%K -56.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 17:10
BetRivers9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -20.28%E -2.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.30%E -4.10%K -86.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:10
Winamax (DE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -20.28%E -2.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:10
LiveScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -20.28%E -2.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:09
Bally Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -20.28%E -2.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:09
Betclic (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -20.28%E -2.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 89.82%EV -7.04%E -6.90%K -351.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 17:07
Coral8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -24.71%E -2.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -2.48%E -2.32%K -35.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 17:10
Grosvenor8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -24.71%E -2.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:10
Virgin Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -24.71%E -2.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:10
Winamax (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -24.71%E -2.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -6.12%E -5.95%K -204.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 17:10
LeoVegas8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -24.71%E -2.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -6.12%E -5.95%K -204.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -24.71%E -2.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -6.12%E -5.95%K -204.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 17:09
Bet Victor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -29.14%E -3.64%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.39%E -3.20%K -56.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 17:10
Fanatics8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -29.14%E -3.64%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.30%E -4.10%K -86.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:10
Tipico (DE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -29.14%E -3.64%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.30%E -4.10%K -86.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:10
PMU (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -29.14%E -3.64%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 88.79%EV -7.95%E -7.87%K -794.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 17:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%0.8%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%0.8%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%0.8%2026-05-09 17:00
Smarkets13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%1.2%2026-05-09 17:10
Matchbook13.50I 7.41%NM 7.22%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.78%2.6%2026-05-09 17:10
Novig10.64I 9.40%NM 8.98%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.02%4.6%2026-05-09 17:10