L’École des cotes

Sorana Cirstea v Coco Gauff

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-14 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sorana Cirstea (Local)

Prévision 32.84%3.04cote équitable
EV +0.165%
Avantage +0.054%
Kelly +0.080%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.35%32.91%32.71%34.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.872.883.0537.04%34.88%34.72%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Coco Gauff (Visiteur)

Prévision 67.16%1.49cote équitable
EV -2.62%
Avantage -1.81%
Kelly -5.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.06%67.09%67.29%68.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.371.421.421.4572.99%70.66%70.42%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +0.165%E +0.054%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-14 12:30
BetOnline.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -0.492%E -0.162%K -0.242%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -5.31%E -3.76%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 09:35
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.48%E -0.492%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-14 11:55
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.48%E -0.492%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-14 10:35
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.48%E -0.492%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 08:59
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -1.48%E -0.492%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -6.65%E -4.78%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 06:20
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -1.48%E -0.492%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.99%E -5.83%K -21.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 12:20
Pinnacle2.99I 33.44%NM 32.66%EV -1.81%E -0.604%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.34%EV -2.62%E -1.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-14 12:20
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-14 06:44
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 06:18
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 06:01
Fanatics2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.12%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 11:40
1xBet2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -3.78%E -1.29%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 12:20
SportsBet2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -3.78%E -1.29%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.31%E -3.76%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 12:30
FanDuel2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -4.10%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 12:30
Bet Right2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -4.10%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -6.65%E -4.78%K -17.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 12:30
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 08:25
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.31%E -3.76%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 01:47
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.31%E -3.76%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 01:49
ReBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.31%E -3.76%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 12:05
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.31%E -3.76%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 06:45
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 01:49
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 12:05
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 08:25
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 08:25
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 08:25
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 08:25
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 08:25
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 08:25
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 08:25
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 08:25
Bally Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 08:25
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 08:25
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 08:25
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 08:25
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.42%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 12:30
GTbets2.87I 34.84%NM 32.47%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.53%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 01:23
NetBet (FR)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.47%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.53%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 07:45
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 12:30
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 12:30
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.31%E -3.76%K -12.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 12:30
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 08:25
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.65%E -4.78%K -17.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 09:00
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.73%E -2.37%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.62%E -1.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 12:30
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.05%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.29%E -2.29%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 05:14
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.05%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 06:20
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.05%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 10:45
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.05%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 10:45
DraftKings2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -8.37%E -3.00%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -2.62%E -1.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 10:25
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.69%E -3.52%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.62%E -1.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 12:30
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.69%E -3.52%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.29%E -2.29%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 12:30
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.69%E -3.52%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.29%E -2.29%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 12:30
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.69%E -3.52%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.29%E -2.29%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 12:30
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.69%E -3.52%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 02:23
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.69%E -3.52%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 04:25
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.69%E -3.52%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 11:09
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.33%E -4.20%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.62%E -1.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 12:30
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.33%E -4.20%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 05:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.33%E -4.20%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.63%E -3.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 05:15
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.33%E -4.20%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 05:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.33%E -4.20%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 05:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-14 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-14 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-05-14 12:30
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-05-14 12:30
Novig2.99I 33.44%NM 32.66%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.34%2.4%2026-05-14 12:20
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%2.8%2026-05-14 12:30