L’École des cotes

Simona Waltert v Hailey Baptiste

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 16:06 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Simona Waltert (Local)

Prévision 33.08%3.02cote équitable
EV +0.549%
Avantage +0.180%
Kelly +0.269%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.22%32.98%33.22%34.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.872.883.0437.74%34.88%34.72%32.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hailey Baptiste (Visiteur)

Prévision 66.92%1.49cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -2.04%
Kelly -6.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.43%67.02%66.78%68.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.411.401.4573.53%71.04%71.43%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV +0.549%E +0.180%K +0.269%G +0.001%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -7.64%E -5.54%K -20.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 16:04
Pinnacle3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -0.113%E -0.037%K -0.056%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -4.30%E -3.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-08 15:55
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.774%E -0.258%K -0.387%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.31%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 15:54
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.774%E -0.258%K -0.387%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.64%E -5.54%K -20.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:54
Marathon Bet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -1.44%E -0.482%K -0.725%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -6.97%E -5.02%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 16:04
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.43%E -0.823%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.30%E -3.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 15:54
Fanatics2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.43%E -0.823%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.31%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 16:00
Bet Right2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -3.42%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -6.97%E -5.02%K -17.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 15:54
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 32.09%EV -3.42%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -7.64%E -5.54%K -20.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 15:54
GTbets2.91I 34.36%NM 32.01%EV -3.75%E -1.29%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.99%EV -8.31%E -6.07%K -22.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 15:54
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.96%E -2.04%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-08 15:54
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 16:05
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 15:54
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.64%E -4.00%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:54
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.64%E -4.00%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:54
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.64%E -4.00%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:55
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.64%E -4.00%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:54
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.64%E -4.00%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.64%E -4.00%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:54
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.64%E -4.00%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:55
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.64%E -4.00%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:55
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.64%E -4.00%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:54
Bally Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.64%E -4.00%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:54
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.64%E -4.00%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:54
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.64%E -4.00%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:54
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.64%E -4.00%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 15:54
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.31%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 15:55
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.31%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 15:53
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.98%E -6.60%K -24.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 15:54
FanDuel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.74%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.30%E -3.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 16:05
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.74%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.31%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 15:54
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.74%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.31%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.07%E -1.77%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.31%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 15:54
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.07%E -1.77%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.31%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 15:54
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.63%E -2.52%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 15:54
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.30%E -3.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 16:04
ReBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.30%E -3.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 15:53
theScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 15:54
Betsson2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.31%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 16:00
NordicBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.31%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 16:00
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.31%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 16:04
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.31%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 15:54
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.31%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 15:54
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.31%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 15:54
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -5.74%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.98%E -6.60%K -24.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 16:04
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.07%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.96%E -2.04%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 16:04
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.07%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.96%E -2.04%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 16:04
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.30%E -3.01%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 15:54
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 15:54
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.31%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 16:04
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.31%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 16:04
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.31%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 16:04
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.31%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 15:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.31%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 15:54
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.63%E -2.52%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 15:54
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 15:54
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.31%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 16:00
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.31%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 16:00
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.31%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 16:00
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.97%E -3.50%K -11.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 16:04
Betclic (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -12.35%E -4.66%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -6.31%E -4.50%K -15.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 15:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-08 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-05-08 16:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-05-08 16:05
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-05-08 16:04
Novig3.09I 32.36%NM 31.64%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.36%2.3%2026-05-08 16:05
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%2.7%2026-05-08 16:05