La scuola delle quote

Madison Keys v Nikola Bartunkova

Inizio: 2026-05-10 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Madison Keys (Casa)

Previsione 71.63%1.40quota equa
EV -3.30%
Vantaggio -2.44%
Kelly -9.43%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.98%71.60%71.58%73.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.271.331.331.3578.74%75.45%75.19%74.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Nikola Bartunkova (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.37%3.52quota equa
EV +2.13%
Vantaggio +0.592%
Kelly +0.819%
Crescita +0.017%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.68%28.40%28.42%30.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.323.353.6032.26%30.11%29.85%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -5.45%E -4.13%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +2.13%E +0.592%K +0.819%G +0.017%3.5%2026-05-10 07:00
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -6.16%E -4.71%K -19.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +2.13%E +0.592%K +0.819%G +0.017%4.1%2026-05-10 08:47
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 72.39%EV -3.30%E -2.44%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.61%EV +0.428%E +0.121%K +0.169%G +0.001%2.3%2026-05-10 08:50
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.02%E -3.00%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -0.706%E -0.202%K -0.283%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 07:49
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.12%E -0.616%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 06:24
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.12%E -0.616%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 06:23
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -6.16%E -4.71%K -19.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -2.12%E -0.616%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 06:59
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.02%E -3.00%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 07:49
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 20:54
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.16%E -4.71%K -19.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 08:29
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.88%E -5.29%K -22.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 08:09
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.03%E -7.11%K -33.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 00:54
GTbets1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -4.02%E -3.00%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -4.11%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 21:00
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -5.45%E -4.13%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -4.68%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 07:50
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 08:15
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 00:49
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 00:49
ReBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 08:09
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 02:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 20:54
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 20:54
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 20:54
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 20:54
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 20:54
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 20:54
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 20:55
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 20:54
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 20:55
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 20:54
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 20:55
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 20:54
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 20:55
Fanatics1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.45%E -4.13%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 06:09
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.45%E -4.13%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 01:44
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -4.02%E -3.00%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -5.81%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 12:19
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 20:59
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 08:49
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 17:00
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 17:00
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 17:00
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.45%E -4.13%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 04:19
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.88%E -5.29%K -22.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 16:53
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.31%E -6.49%K -29.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 08:10
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 21:05
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 22:34
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 06:19
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.45%E -4.13%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 20:54
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.45%E -4.13%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 20:54
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.45%E -4.13%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 20:54
Fliff1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.45%E -4.13%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 08:49
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.02%E -3.00%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 21:39
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.45%E -4.13%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 21:20
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -6.16%E -4.71%K -19.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -10.64%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 08:49
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 08:49
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 11:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 21:39
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 21:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 21:40
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 21:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-10 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-10 08:49
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-10 08:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-05-10 08:49
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 72.84%3.62I 27.62%NM 27.16%1.7%2026-05-10 08:29
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%3.2%2026-05-10 08:50