La scuola delle quote

Leolia Jeanjean v Beatriz Haddad Maia

Inizio: 2026-05-06 11:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Leolia Jeanjean (Casa)

Previsione 59.65%1.68quota equa
EV -0.378%
Vantaggio -0.226%
Kelly -0.564%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.70%59.59%59.50%65.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.411.581.571.6770.92%63.13%63.69%59.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Beatriz Haddad Maia (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.35%2.48quota equa
EV +5.71%
Vantaggio +2.18%
Kelly +3.52%
Crescita +0.201%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.99%40.41%40.50%44.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.302.302.6247.62%43.41%43.48%38.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.01%EV -15.89%E -11.27%K -38.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.99%EV +5.71%E +2.18%K +3.52%G +0.201%9.1%2026-05-06 10:55
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.73%E -5.71%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +2.88%E +1.13%K +1.86%G +0.054%4.6%2026-05-06 10:55
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -8.13%E -5.28%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV +2.08%E +0.820%K +1.36%G +0.028%4.5%2026-05-06 10:55
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -8.73%E -5.71%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV +1.67%E +0.664%K +1.10%G +0.018%5.0%2026-05-06 10:55
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.17%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 10:55
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.94%E -4.45%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.17%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 10:55
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.94%E -4.45%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.17%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 10:55
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.54%E -4.86%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.17%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 10:55
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.54%E -4.86%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.17%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 10:55
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.54%E -4.86%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.17%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 10:55
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.73%E -5.71%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.17%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 10:55
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.36%E -2.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 10:50
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.75%E -3.64%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:54
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 10:54
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 10:54
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 10:54
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 10:54
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.94%E -4.45%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 10:55
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.94%E -4.45%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 10:55
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.57%E -0.952%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.19%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 10:43
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.57%E -0.952%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.19%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 10:44
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.54%E -4.86%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.19%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 10:55
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -11.12%E -7.46%K -22.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.19%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-06 10:55
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 60.36%EV -8.73%E -5.71%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -5.99%E -2.57%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 10:55
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.40%E -2.76%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 10:54
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.40%E -2.76%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 10:54
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -6.94%E -4.45%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.40%E -2.76%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 10:54
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.15%E -3.24%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 10:54
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.75%E -3.64%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 10:49
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 10:55
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.54%E -4.86%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 10:55
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.73%E -5.71%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-06 10:55
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -7.61%E -3.32%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -8.13%E -5.28%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-06 10:54
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.48%EV -11.12%E -7.46%K -22.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52%EV -8.01%E -3.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-06 10:55
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.57%E -0.952%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 10:25
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -2.76%E -1.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 10:40
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 10:55
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.55%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 10:55
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.55%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 10:55
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 10:55
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 10:55
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.65%EV -12.91%E -8.84%K -28.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-06 10:55
ReBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -0.974%E -0.587%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -10.03%E -4.50%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 10:29
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -0.974%E -0.587%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -10.43%E -4.70%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:35
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.378%E -0.226%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:25
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.378%E -0.226%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:44
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.378%E -0.226%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:25
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -1.57%E -0.952%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 10:35
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -11.24%E -5.11%K -9.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-06 10:53
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -2.76%E -1.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -13.26%E -6.17%K -11.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 10:29
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -3.36%E -2.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -13.26%E -6.17%K -11.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 10:29
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -0.378%E -0.226%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -15.27%E -7.27%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 10:54
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -0.378%E -0.226%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -15.27%E -7.27%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 10:54
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -0.378%E -0.226%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -15.27%E -7.27%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 10:54
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -1.57%E -0.952%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -15.27%E -7.27%K -13.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -1.57%E -0.952%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -15.27%E -7.27%K -13.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 10:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-05-06 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-06 10:55
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.9%2026-05-06 10:55
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 61.62%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.38%6.8%2026-05-06 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%7.0%2026-05-06 10:55
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 60.94%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.06%16.4%2026-05-06 10:55