Szkoła Kursów

Iga Swiatek v Elina Svitolina

Początek: 2026-05-14 20:27 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

56 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Iga Swiatek (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 70.86%1.41kurs godziwy
EV +2.75%
Przewaga +1.89%
Kelly +6.11%
Wzrost +0.168%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.45

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
64.37%71.01%71.12%76.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.211.311.321.4582.64%76.26%75.76%68.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Elina Svitolina (Goście)

Prognoza 29.14%3.43kurs godziwy
EV +16.56%
Przewaga +4.14%
Kelly +5.52%
Wzrost +0.914%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.22%28.99%28.88%35.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.623.383.254.0038.17%29.54%30.77%25.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -11.42%E -9.14%K -45.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +16.56%E +4.14%K +5.52%G +0.914%5.0%2026-05-14 20:10
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -11.42%E -9.14%K -45.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +16.56%E +4.14%K +5.52%G +0.914%5.0%2026-05-14 20:15
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -11.42%E -9.14%K -45.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +16.56%E +4.14%K +5.52%G +0.914%5.0%2026-05-14 20:00
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -11.42%E -9.14%K -45.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +16.56%E +4.14%K +5.52%G +0.914%5.0%2026-05-14 20:00
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -13.55%E -11.11%K -61.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +16.56%E +4.14%K +5.52%G +0.914%7.0%2026-05-14 19:59
NetBet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -14.26%E -11.78%K -67.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +16.56%E +4.14%K +5.52%G +0.914%7.6%2026-05-14 20:10
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -10.01%E -7.88%K -37.06%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV +16.27%E +4.08%K +5.44%G +0.885%3.8%2026-05-14 20:00
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -10.01%E -7.88%K -37.06%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV +15.39%E +3.89%K +5.20%G +0.800%4.0%2026-05-14 20:19
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -12.13%E -9.78%K -50.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV +15.10%E +3.82%K +5.12%G +0.773%6.0%2026-05-14 20:15
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -11.42%E -9.14%K -45.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV +13.64%E +3.50%K +4.70%G +0.642%5.6%2026-05-14 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -11.42%E -9.14%K -45.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV +13.64%E +3.50%K +4.70%G +0.642%5.6%2026-05-14 20:00
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -11.42%E -9.14%K -45.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +12.19%E +3.17%K +4.28%G +0.521%6.0%2026-05-14 20:00
BetAnything1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -10.01%E -7.88%K -37.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +10.73%E +2.82%K +3.83%G +0.411%5.1%2026-05-14 20:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -12.13%E -9.78%K -50.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV +9.27%E +2.47%K +3.37%G +0.313%7.3%2026-05-14 20:00
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -12.13%E -9.78%K -50.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV +9.27%E +2.47%K +3.37%G +0.313%7.3%2026-05-14 20:00
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 72.54%EV -5.05%E -3.77%K -14.84%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.46%EV +3.15%E +0.891%K +1.24%G +0.039%2.9%2026-05-14 20:26
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -7.17%E -5.48%K -23.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +1.99%E +0.568%K +0.795%G +0.016%4.9%2026-05-14 20:26
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.88%E -6.06%K -26.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.99%E +0.568%K +0.795%G +0.016%5.5%2026-05-14 20:25
theScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.46%E -4.90%K -20.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.38%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 20:26
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.63%E -2.67%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.84%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-14 20:25
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.63%E -2.67%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.84%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-14 20:25
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.63%E -2.67%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.84%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-14 20:25
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.63%E -2.67%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.84%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-14 20:25
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.84%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 20:25
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.88%E -6.06%K -26.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.84%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 20:25
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.34%E -3.21%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.30%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 20:25
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.34%E -3.21%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.30%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 20:25
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.30%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 20:25
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.30%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 20:25
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.30%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 20:25
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.46%E -4.90%K -20.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.30%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 20:25
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.46%E -4.90%K -20.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.30%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 20:25
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.17%E -5.48%K -23.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.30%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 20:25
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.63%E -2.67%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 20:26
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.63%E -2.67%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 20:26
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.05%E -3.77%K -14.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 20:25
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 20:25
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 20:25
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.88%E -6.06%K -26.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 20:25
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -8.59%E -6.66%K -29.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -6.75%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:25
Coolbet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -3.63%E -2.67%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -7.34%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 20:23
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -2.92%E -2.13%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 20:25
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.46%E -4.90%K -20.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.21%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 20:25
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.34%E -3.21%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 20:26
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.34%E -3.21%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 20:26
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.34%E -3.21%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 20:25
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.05%E -3.77%K -14.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 20:25
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 20:26
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.62%EV -8.59%E -6.66%K -29.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-14 20:25
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.78%EV -9.30%E -7.26%K -33.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-14 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -6.46%E -4.90%K -20.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.12%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 20:26
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.63%E -2.67%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 20:25
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -10.01%E -7.88%K -37.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.74%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-14 20:26
Betclic (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -5.05%E -3.77%K -14.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-14 20:25
Fliff1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -4.34%E -3.21%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -16.95%E -5.95%K -9.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-14 20:25
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV +2.75%E +1.89%K +6.11%G +0.168%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -23.65%E -9.03%K -14.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 20:24
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%0.3%2026-05-14 20:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-05-14 20:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-05-14 20:26
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%2.7%2026-05-14 20:26
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%3.7%2026-05-14 20:26
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 70.91%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.09%4.5%2026-05-14 20:26