L’École des cotes

Clara Tauson v Oleksandra Oliynykova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-07 13:18 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Clara Tauson (Local)

Prévision 54.12%1.85cote équitable
EV +0.671%
Avantage +0.361%
Kelly +0.780%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%54.78%53.59%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.711.701.8666.67%58.55%58.82%53.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Oleksandra Oliynykova (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.88%2.18cote équitable
EV +14.69%
Avantage +5.88%
Kelly +9.79%
Croissance +1.44%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.50%45.22%46.41%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.102.072.5054.05%47.69%48.31%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -16.65%E -10.81%K -30.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +14.69%E +5.88%K +9.79%G +1.44%4.9%2026-05-07 13:10
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -18.81%E -12.54%K -37.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +14.69%E +5.88%K +9.79%G +1.44%6.7%2026-05-07 13:09
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -18.81%E -12.54%K -37.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +14.69%E +5.88%K +9.79%G +1.44%6.7%2026-05-07 13:05
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -13.40%E -8.38%K -22.34%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV +6.89%E +2.96%K +5.18%G +0.357%5.4%2026-05-07 13:10
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -14.48%E -9.17%K -24.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV +4.60%E +2.02%K +3.59%G +0.165%7.2%2026-05-07 13:10
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -8.53%E -5.05%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +0.927%E +0.421%K +0.772%G +0.007%4.6%2026-05-07 13:09
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.07%E -5.40%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.009%E +0.004%K +0.008%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 13:09
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.07%E -5.40%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.009%E +0.004%K +0.008%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 13:09
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.07%E -5.40%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.009%E +0.004%K +0.008%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 13:10
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.07%E -5.40%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.009%E +0.004%K +0.008%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 13:10
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.07%E -5.40%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.009%E +0.004%K +0.008%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 13:09
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.07%E -5.40%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.009%E +0.004%K +0.008%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 13:09
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.449%E -0.207%K -0.384%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 13:10
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%EV -9.61%E -5.76%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%EV -0.908%E -0.420%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 13:10
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%EV -9.61%E -5.76%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%EV -0.908%E -0.420%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 13:09
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.37%E -0.636%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 13:09
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.37%E -0.636%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 13:10
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -10.70%E -6.48%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -1.37%E -0.636%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 13:10
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -10.15%E -6.12%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -1.83%E -0.853%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 13:09
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -10.15%E -6.12%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -1.83%E -0.853%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 13:09
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -10.15%E -6.12%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -1.83%E -0.853%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 13:09
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -11.24%E -6.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -2.74%E -1.29%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 13:09
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.45%E -4.36%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 13:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 13:08
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.61%E -5.76%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 13:09
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.61%E -5.76%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 13:09
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.61%E -5.76%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 13:09
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -10.70%E -6.48%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -11.78%E -7.23%K -18.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 13:09
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.12%E -1.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.04%E -2.43%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 13:00
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.12%E -1.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.04%E -2.43%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 12:55
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.12%E -1.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.04%E -2.43%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 12:55
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.50%E -2.67%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 12:55
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.28%EV -13.40%E -8.38%K -22.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -5.50%E -2.67%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-07 13:09
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 12:55
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.74%E -2.69%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 12:54
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.74%E -2.69%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 12:58
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.61%E -5.76%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-07 13:09
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.41%E -3.14%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 12:55
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.41%E -3.14%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 13:00
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.74%E -2.69%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.41%E -3.14%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 13:09
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV +0.671%E +0.361%K +0.780%G +0.005%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -6.87%E -3.39%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-07 13:05
Unibet (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -2.04%E -1.12%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -7.79%E -3.88%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 13:10
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.58%E -1.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.25%E -4.12%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 13:09
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.58%E -1.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.25%E -4.12%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 12:55
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.25%E -4.12%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 13:09
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.25%E -4.12%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 13:09
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.25%E -4.12%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 12:55
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.25%E -4.12%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 13:09
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.37%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.25%E -4.12%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.37%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.25%E -4.12%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 12:55
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.37%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.25%E -4.12%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 13:09
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -11.24%E -6.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -8.25%E -4.12%K -8.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-07 13:10
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -2.58%E -1.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -9.17%E -4.63%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 13:00
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -9.17%E -4.63%K -9.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 13:09
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.91%E -4.02%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -9.17%E -4.63%K -9.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 13:08
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.58%E -1.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.54%E -5.41%K -11.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 12:55
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -2.58%E -1.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -12.84%E -6.76%K -14.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 12:58
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -6.91%E -4.02%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -12.84%E -6.76%K -14.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-07 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +0.130%E +0.070%K +0.152%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -15.13%E -8.18%K -17.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 13:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-07 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-05-07 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-05-07 13:10
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-05-07 13:10
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%3.7%2026-05-07 13:10
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%6.9%2026-05-07 13:10