La escuela de los momios

Barbora Krejcikova v Elsa Jacquemot

Inicio: 2026-05-05 09:16 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Barbora Krejcikova (Local)

Predicción 63.08%1.59momio equitativo
EV -0.338%
Ventaja -0.214%
Kelly -0.584%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.06%62.57%63.26%65.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.511.511.5870.42%66.26%66.23%63.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Elsa Jacquemot (Visitante)

Predicción 36.92%2.71momio equitativo
EV +1.54%
Ventaja +0.559%
Kelly +0.879%
Crecimiento +0.014%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.52%37.43%36.74%40.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.502.502.7545.45%40.06%39.92%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.54%E -5.89%K -18.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +1.54%E +0.559%K +0.879%G +0.014%5.3%2026-05-05 09:14
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.15%E -0.813%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 09:14
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.02%E -4.04%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -2.89%E -1.10%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 09:15
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.02%E -4.04%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -2.89%E -1.10%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 09:14
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.02%E -4.04%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -2.89%E -1.10%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 09:14
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.02%E -4.04%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -2.89%E -1.10%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 09:15
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -8.54%E -5.89%K -18.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -3.26%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 09:13
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.17%E -6.37%K -20.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.26%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 09:14
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -3.63%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 09:14
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -6.02%E -4.04%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -3.63%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 09:09
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 09:14
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 09:04
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.65%E -4.49%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 09:15
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.65%E -4.49%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 09:14
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.54%E -5.89%K -18.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 09:14
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.54%E -5.89%K -18.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 09:15
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.54%E -5.89%K -18.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 09:15
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.86%E -1.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.85%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 01:24
ReBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.12%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.85%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 08:05
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.12%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.85%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 07:05
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.85%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 05:45
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.85%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 09:14
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.28%E -4.95%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.85%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 09:14
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.28%E -4.95%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.85%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 09:15
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -0.969%E -0.617%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -6.22%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-05 09:10
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -1.60%E -1.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -6.58%E -2.60%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-05 07:40
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -1.60%E -1.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -6.58%E -2.60%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-05 07:40
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -6.95%E -2.76%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 19:34
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -2.86%E -1.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -7.32%E -2.92%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 09:06
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.49%E -2.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 09:05
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.12%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 05:45
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.12%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 09:15
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 09:13
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 09:10
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 05:45
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.17%E -6.37%K -20.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-05 09:15
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.86%E -1.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.43%E -3.40%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 09:14
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.59%EV -10.43%E -7.35%K -24.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.41%EV -8.43%E -3.40%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-05 09:14
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.23%E -1.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.54%E -3.89%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 09:15
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.23%E -1.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.54%E -3.89%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 09:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.54%E -3.89%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 05:05
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.54%E -3.89%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 05:04
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.23%E -1.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 07:49
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -2.86%E -1.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 09:15
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.12%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 07:40
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 05:40
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.49%E -2.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -12.12%E -5.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 09:15
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.49%E -2.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -12.12%E -5.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 09:15
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -12.12%E -5.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-05 09:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -2.23%E -1.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -12.49%E -5.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 09:15
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -3.49%E -2.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -12.49%E -5.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 09:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -13.23%E -5.63%K -9.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 09:15
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -0.338%E -0.214%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -13.60%E -5.81%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 09:15
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -0.969%E -0.617%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -15.08%E -6.56%K -11.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 09:15
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -3.49%E -2.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -15.08%E -6.56%K -11.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 09:15
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -1.60%E -1.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -16.92%E -7.52%K -13.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 09:15
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -1.60%E -1.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -16.92%E -7.52%K -13.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 09:15
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -4.12%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -18.77%E -8.53%K -15.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-05 09:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-05-05 09:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-05-05 09:15
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%2.7%2026-05-05 09:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%4.1%2026-05-05 09:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%7.3%2026-05-05 09:15
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%9.3%2026-05-05 09:15