L’École des cotes

Antonia Ruzic v Kamilla Rakhimova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-05 12:33 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Antonia Ruzic (Local)

Prévision 47.66%2.10cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.650%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.48%47.59%47.71%49.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.901.981.982.0752.63%50.46%50.51%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kamilla Rakhimova (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.34%1.91cote équitable
EV -1.08%
Avantage -0.569%
Kelly -1.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.67%52.41%52.29%54.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.801.821.8958.48%55.41%54.95%52.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -1.35%E -0.650%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -8.93%E -5.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 12:25
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -2.30%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -3.69%E -2.01%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-05 12:25
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.30%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 12:25
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.30%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 12:25
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -2.30%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -10.50%E -6.14%K -14.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 12:25
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.73%E -1.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.74%E -2.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 12:24
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.73%E -1.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.79%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 12:25
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -1.08%E -0.569%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-05 10:05
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.69%E -2.01%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 12:00
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.22%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 12:25
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.22%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 01:24
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.79%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 11:30
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.79%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 12:25
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.79%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 12:25
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.79%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 12:25
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.79%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 12:25
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.79%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 12:25
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.79%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 12:25
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.93%E -5.13%K -12.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 12:25
NordicBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.16%E -2.59%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.22%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 12:00
Betsson1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.16%E -2.59%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.22%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 12:00
ReBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.16%E -2.59%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.22%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 12:00
Unibet (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.16%E -2.59%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.22%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 12:00
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -5.16%E -2.59%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -5.26%E -2.91%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 12:24
Betr (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.16%E -2.59%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -6.31%E -3.53%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 12:25
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.63%E -2.85%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.74%E -2.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-04 19:25
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.63%E -2.85%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.74%E -2.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.63%E -2.85%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.36%E -4.16%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 12:24
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.63%E -2.85%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.36%E -4.16%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 12:24
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.11%E -3.10%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.17%E -1.71%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 12:25
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.11%E -3.10%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.74%E -2.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 19:25
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.11%E -3.10%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.74%E -2.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 19:25
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.11%E -3.10%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.74%E -2.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 19:25
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.11%E -3.10%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.74%E -2.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 19:25
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.11%E -3.10%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.74%E -2.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 19:25
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.11%E -3.10%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.74%E -2.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 19:25
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.11%E -3.10%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.74%E -2.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 19:25
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.11%E -3.10%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.74%E -2.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 19:25
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.11%E -3.10%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.74%E -2.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 19:25
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.11%E -3.10%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.74%E -2.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 19:25
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.11%E -3.10%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.74%E -2.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.11%E -3.10%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.74%E -2.60%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 22:24
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.11%E -3.10%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.26%E -2.91%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 12:00
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.59%E -3.36%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.17%E -1.71%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 12:25
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.79%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 19:25
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.79%E -3.21%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 07:30
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.31%E -3.53%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 18:45
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.31%E -3.53%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 18:45
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-05 12:25
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-05 12:24
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.40%E -4.80%K -11.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-05 12:25
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.97%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.22%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 02:00
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.97%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.22%E -2.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 02:14
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.45%E -4.97%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.17%E -1.71%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 12:25
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -9.45%E -4.97%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -6.83%E -3.84%K -8.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 12:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-05 12:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-05 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-05-05 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-05-05 12:25
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.3%2026-05-05 12:25
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%2.7%2026-05-05 12:25