La escuela de los momios

Marta Kostyuk v Elena Rybakina

Inicio: 2026-03-10 04:25 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Predicción 26.01%3.85momio equitativo
EV +3.51%
Ventaja +0.882%
Kelly +1.18%
Crecimiento +0.041%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.46%26.11%25.96%27.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.643.653.9829.41%27.49%27.40%25.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Elena Rybakina (Visitante)

Predicción 73.99%1.35momio equitativo
EV -2.33%
Ventaja -1.77%
Kelly -7.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.03%73.89%74.04%76.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.281.291.3281.97%77.86%77.52%75.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
SportsBet3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV +3.51%E +0.882%K +1.18%G +0.041%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.54%EV -9.73%E -7.97%K -44.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 04:19
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +1.43%E +0.367%K +0.493%G +0.007%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -6.03%E -4.75%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 04:19
Pinnacle3.82I 26.18%NM 25.54%EV -0.651%E -0.170%K -0.231%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.46%EV -3.07%E -2.34%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-10 04:20
Coolbet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.17%E -0.308%K -0.418%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.81%E -2.93%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-10 04:19
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.17%E -0.308%K -0.418%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.81%E -2.93%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-10 04:20
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -1.17%E -0.308%K -0.418%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -8.25%E -6.65%K -34.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 04:19
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.47%E -0.659%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.55%E -3.53%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 04:17
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.47%E -0.659%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.55%E -3.53%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 04:18
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.47%E -0.659%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.51%E -6.01%K -30.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 04:20
Unibet (FR)3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -3.25%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -6.77%E -5.37%K -26.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 04:19
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.77%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.55%E -3.53%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 04:19
LeoVegas3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.77%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.55%E -3.53%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 04:20
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.77%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.55%E -3.53%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 04:19
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.77%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.55%E -3.53%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 04:20
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.77%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.55%E -3.53%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 04:19
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.77%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.55%E -3.53%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 04:19
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.77%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.55%E -3.53%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 04:19
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.77%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.55%E -3.53%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 04:19
Unibet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.77%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.55%E -3.53%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 04:19
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.77%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.55%E -3.53%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 04:19
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.77%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.55%E -3.53%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 04:20
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.77%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.55%E -3.53%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 04:19
Bally Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.77%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.55%E -3.53%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 04:20
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.77%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.29%E -4.13%K -18.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 04:19
Unibet (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.77%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.29%E -4.13%K -18.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 04:19
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.77%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.29%E -4.13%K -18.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 04:19
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.03%E -4.75%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 04:19
DraftKings3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -4.29%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.81%E -2.93%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 04:20
Fanatics3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.07%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.55%E -3.53%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 04:19
GTbets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.07%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.55%E -3.53%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 04:19
PointsBet (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.07%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.29%E -4.13%K -18.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 04:20
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.07%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.29%E -4.13%K -18.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 04:19
Betclic (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.07%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.77%E -5.37%K -26.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 04:18
NetBet (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.07%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.51%E -6.01%K -30.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 04:19
Marathon Bet3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -5.29%E -4.13%K -18.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 04:20
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.07%E -2.34%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 04:20
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.07%E -2.34%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 04:19
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.81%E -2.93%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 04:19
Bet Right3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.55%E -3.53%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 04:19
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.55%E -3.53%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 04:20
Codere (IT)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.29%E -4.13%K -18.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 04:19
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.37%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.51%E -6.01%K -30.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 04:20
Everygame3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.29%E -4.13%K -18.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 04:19
LiveScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.03%E -4.75%K -22.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 04:20
Virgin Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.03%E -4.75%K -22.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 04:19
Fliff3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.67%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.03%E -4.75%K -22.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 04:20
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.81%E -2.93%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 04:19
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.81%E -2.93%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 04:14
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.81%E -2.93%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 04:19
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.81%E -2.93%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 04:14
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.81%E -2.93%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 04:14
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.29%E -4.13%K -18.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 04:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.97%E -2.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.29%E -4.13%K -18.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 04:19
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.81%E -2.93%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 04:19
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.29%E -4.13%K -18.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 04:19
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.27%E -2.98%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.29%E -4.13%K -18.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 04:19
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.33%E -1.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 04:20
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.55%E -3.53%K -15.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 04:20
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.57%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.55%E -3.53%K -15.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 04:16
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-03-10 04:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-03-10 04:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-03-10 04:19
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-03-10 04:19
Novig3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61%2.3%2026-03-10 04:20
Smarkets3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%2.6%2026-03-10 04:20