La escuela de los momios

Magda Linette v Ashlyn Krueger

Inicio: 2026-03-05 19:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Magda Linette (Local)

Predicción 51.43%1.94momio equitativo
EV +0.288%
Ventaja +0.148%
Kelly +0.303%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.95%51.39%51.48%52.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.851.851.9557.14%54.05%54.05%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ashlyn Krueger (Visitante)

Predicción 48.57%2.06momio equitativo
EV -1.89%
Ventaja -0.935%
Kelly -1.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.30%48.61%48.52%51.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.851.931.932.0254.05%51.81%51.81%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +0.288%E +0.148%K +0.303%G +0.001%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -9.17%E -4.91%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 19:03
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.77%E -0.926%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:05
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.77%E -0.926%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:05
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.77%E -0.926%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:03
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.28%E -1.20%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:05
DraftKings1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -2.80%E -1.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -8.69%E -4.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 19:05
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-05 19:04
FanDuel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.77%E -2.98%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:05
SportsBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.31%E -1.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:05
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -1.89%E -0.935%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-05 18:59
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 19:04
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 19:05
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:05
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:05
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:05
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:05
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:05
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:05
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:05
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 18:58
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:05
Bally Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:05
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:05
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:05
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:05
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.17%E -4.91%K -10.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:05
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -4.34%E -2.33%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-05 19:05
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.34%E -2.33%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 19:05
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:05
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:05
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 19:04
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.15%E -5.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 19:05
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.15%E -5.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 19:05
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.15%E -5.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 19:05
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.37%E -2.92%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.32%E -2.19%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 18:59
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.37%E -2.92%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.80%E -2.45%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 19:04
Betr (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.37%E -2.92%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 19:04
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -5.37%E -2.92%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:05
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -5.37%E -2.92%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:05
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.88%E -3.22%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 19:05
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.88%E -3.22%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 18:58
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.88%E -3.22%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 19:05
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.88%E -3.22%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:05
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.88%E -3.22%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.88%E -3.22%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:05
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.88%E -3.22%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.88%E -3.22%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -8.69%E -4.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 19:05
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.88%E -3.22%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -8.69%E -4.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 19:05
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.40%E -3.52%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.89%E -0.935%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 18:59
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.40%E -3.52%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.83%E -1.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 18:59
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.40%E -3.52%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.83%E -1.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 19:05
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.40%E -3.52%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 19:05
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.91%E -3.82%K -8.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -4.32%E -2.19%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 19:05
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 19:05
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 19:05
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 19:02
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -9.17%E -4.91%K -10.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 19:03
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -8.46%E -4.75%K -10.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 19:00
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -8.97%E -5.07%K -11.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 19:05
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.00%E -5.71%K -13.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-03-05 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-03-05 19:05
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-03-05 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-03-05 19:05
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%2.7%2026-03-05 19:05
Novig1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%2.7%2026-03-05 19:05