La escuela de los momios

Katie Volynets v Rebecca Sramkova

Inicio: 2026-03-06 01:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Katie Volynets (Local)

Predicción 54.79%1.83momio equitativo
EV -0.833%
Ventaja -0.460%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.24%54.62%54.83%55.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.731.721.8159.88%57.90%58.14%55.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rebecca Sramkova (Visitante)

Predicción 45.21%2.21momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.660%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.30%45.38%45.17%47.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.982.082.102.1850.51%47.99%47.62%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
DraftKings1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -0.833%E -0.460%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -10.48%E -5.29%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 01:34
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.48%E -1.39%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.51%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 01:35
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.48%E -1.39%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.51%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 01:35
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV -3.02%E -1.71%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -2.34%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-06 01:35
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.02%E -1.71%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.32%E -3.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:35
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.57%E -2.03%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 01:35
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.57%E -2.03%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 01:35
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.57%E -2.03%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.96%E -2.87%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 01:33
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -4.12%E -2.35%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.44%E -0.660%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 01:30
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.12%E -2.35%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -4.60%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 01:30
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.12%E -2.35%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.32%E -3.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 01:29
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.12%E -2.35%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.32%E -3.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 01:35
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.12%E -2.35%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.12%E -2.35%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:35
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.67%E -2.68%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.32%E -3.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 01:24
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.67%E -2.68%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.32%E -3.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 01:35
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.22%E -3.01%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:35
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.22%E -3.01%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:33
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.22%E -3.01%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 01:35
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.22%E -3.01%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 01:35
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.22%E -3.01%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 01:35
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.22%E -3.01%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 01:35
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.22%E -3.01%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 01:35
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.15%E -1.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:35
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.15%E -1.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:33
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.15%E -1.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:35
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.15%E -1.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:35
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.15%E -1.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:35
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.15%E -1.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:35
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.15%E -1.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:35
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.15%E -1.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.15%E -1.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:35
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.15%E -1.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:21
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.15%E -1.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:35
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.15%E -1.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:35
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.15%E -1.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:35
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.15%E -1.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 01:35
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -4.60%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 01:24
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.96%E -2.87%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 01:35
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.32%E -3.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 01:35
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.31%E -3.69%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.80%E -1.30%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:31
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.31%E -3.69%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 01:35
Betr (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.31%E -3.69%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 01:33
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.31%E -3.69%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 01:35
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.31%E -3.69%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 01:35
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.86%E -4.03%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.15%E -1.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 01:33
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.86%E -4.03%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 01:35
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.86%E -4.03%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 01:35
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.86%E -4.03%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 01:35
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.86%E -4.03%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.96%E -2.87%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 01:35
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.86%E -4.03%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.96%E -2.87%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 01:35
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.86%E -4.03%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.41%E -3.10%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 01:27
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.86%E -4.03%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.32%E -3.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 01:32
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -7.41%E -4.38%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -5.51%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 01:29
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.41%E -4.38%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 01:35
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.50%E -5.09%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 01:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-03-06 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-03-06 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-03-06 01:35
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-03-06 01:35
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-03-06 01:35
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.9%2026-03-06 01:35