L’École des cotes

Jaqueline Cristian v Janice Tjen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-05 02:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jaqueline Cristian (Local)

Prévision 46.12%2.17cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -0.827%
Kelly -1.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.88%46.25%46.05%48.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.042.052.1352.36%49.02%48.78%46.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Janice Tjen (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.88%1.86cote équitable
EV +0.753%
Avantage +0.403%
Kelly +0.865%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.07%53.75%53.95%55.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.761.751.8758.82%56.92%57.14%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -9.60%E -4.90%K -10.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV +0.753%E +0.403%K +0.865%G +0.007%4.5%2026-03-05 02:05
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -10.06%E -5.16%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.325%E -0.175%K -0.382%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:05
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.91%E -6.23%K -13.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.40%E -0.766%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 02:05
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.68%E -1.27%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 02:05
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 02:05
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 02:05
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.76%E -3.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 02:05
Coolbet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -1.76%E -0.827%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 02:03
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.61%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 02:05
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.61%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 02:05
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.63%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:05
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.63%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:05
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.63%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:05
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.63%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:05
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.63%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.63%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:05
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.63%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:05
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.63%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:04
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.63%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 01:52
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.63%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:05
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.63%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:05
Bally Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.63%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:05
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.63%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:05
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.63%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:04
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.76%E -3.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.63%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 01:59
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.76%E -3.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.63%E -2.62%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 01:54
GTbets2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.53%E -2.19%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.17%E -2.94%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 02:05
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.99%E -2.42%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.17%E -2.94%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 01:54
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.76%E -3.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.17%E -2.94%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 02:05
NordicBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.61%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.71%E -3.26%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 01:55
Betsson2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.61%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.71%E -3.26%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 01:55
Unibet (UK)2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.61%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.71%E -3.26%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 01:54
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.07%E -1.96%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.71%E -3.26%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 02:04
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.71%E -3.26%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 02:05
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.71%E -3.26%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 02:05
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.71%E -3.26%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 02:04
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.71%E -3.26%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 02:00
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.71%E -3.26%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 02:05
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.76%E -3.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.71%E -3.26%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 02:05
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.06%E -5.16%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.71%E -3.26%K -7.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 02:00
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.25%E -3.59%K -8.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 02:05
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -6.83%E -3.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -6.25%E -3.59%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 02:05
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -6.83%E -3.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -6.25%E -3.59%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 02:05
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.76%E -3.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.25%E -3.59%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 02:05
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.15%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.79%E -3.92%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 02:03
Codere (IT)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -4.53%E -2.19%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -6.79%E -3.92%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 01:55
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.79%E -3.92%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 02:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.76%E -3.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.79%E -3.92%K -9.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 02:05
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.76%E -3.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.79%E -3.92%K -9.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.76%E -3.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.79%E -3.92%K -9.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 02:05
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.76%E -3.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.79%E -3.92%K -9.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 02:05
Unibet (FR)2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -3.61%E -1.73%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -7.33%E -4.26%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 02:02
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.76%E -3.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.33%E -4.26%K -10.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 02:05
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.15%E -1.50%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.87%E -4.60%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:05
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.41%E -4.94%K -12.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 02:05
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.41%E -4.94%K -12.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 02:05
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.45%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.41%E -4.94%K -12.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 02:05
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -6.83%E -3.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -8.41%E -4.94%K -12.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 02:05
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -8.68%E -4.38%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -8.41%E -4.94%K -12.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-05 02:03
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-03-05 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-03-05 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-03-05 02:05
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-03-05 02:05
Novig2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.7%2026-03-05 02:05