L’École des cotes

Emiliana Arango v Hailey Baptiste

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 02:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Emiliana Arango (Local)

Prévision 27.38%3.65cote équitable
EV +1.56%
Avantage +0.422%
Kelly +0.577%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 3.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.24%27.53%27.08%30.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.463.503.7132.26%28.92%28.57%26.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hailey Baptiste (Visiteur)

Prévision 72.62%1.38cote équitable
EV -2.68%
Avantage -2.00%
Kelly -7.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.82%72.47%72.92%73.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.271.301.301.3478.74%76.80%76.92%74.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.71I 26.95%NM 26.24%EV +1.56%E +0.422%K +0.577%G +0.009%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.76%EV -4.14%E -3.13%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-06 02:45
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -0.078%E -0.021%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -4.14%E -3.13%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 02:45
BetOnline.ag3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -0.625%E -0.172%K -0.238%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.86%E -3.71%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 02:45
LowVig.ag3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -0.625%E -0.172%K -0.238%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.86%E -3.71%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 02:45
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.45%E -0.402%K -0.556%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.86%E -3.71%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 02:38
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.45%E -0.402%K -0.556%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.59%E -4.30%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 02:45
Bet Right3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.45%E -0.402%K -0.556%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.31%E -4.90%K -21.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 02:44
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.45%E -0.402%K -0.556%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.31%E -4.90%K -21.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 02:44
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.45%E -0.402%K -0.556%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.31%E -4.90%K -21.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 02:40
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.82%E -0.793%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.59%E -4.30%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 02:42
Fanatics3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.82%E -0.793%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.31%E -4.90%K -21.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 02:45
GTbets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.86%E -3.71%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 02:45
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.86%E -3.71%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 02:45
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.59%E -4.30%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:45
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.59%E -4.30%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:45
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.59%E -4.30%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:45
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.59%E -4.30%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:45
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.59%E -4.30%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:45
LeoVegas3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.59%E -4.30%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:45
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.59%E -4.30%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:45
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.59%E -4.30%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:45
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.59%E -4.30%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:43
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.59%E -4.30%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:45
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.59%E -4.30%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.59%E -4.30%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:45
Winamax (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.59%E -4.30%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:45
betPARX3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.59%E -4.30%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:45
Bally Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.59%E -4.30%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:45
ATG (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.59%E -4.30%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:45
Svenska Spel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.59%E -4.30%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:45
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.31%E -4.90%K -21.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 02:43
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.31%E -4.90%K -21.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 02:45
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.04%E -5.50%K -25.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 02:43
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.04%E -5.50%K -25.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 02:43
SportsBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.04%E -5.50%K -25.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 02:45
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.14%E -3.13%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 02:45
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.59%E -4.30%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 02:45
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.59%E -4.30%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 02:45
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.59%E -4.30%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 02:45
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.31%E -4.90%K -21.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 02:45
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.92%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.31%E -4.90%K -21.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 02:45
theScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.29%E -2.47%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.14%E -3.13%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 02:45
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.41%E -2.56%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 02:45
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.59%E -4.30%K -18.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 02:45
Betclic (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.77%E -6.12%K -28.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 02:42
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -11.03%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -4.86%E -3.71%K -15.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 02:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -12.40%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.41%E -2.56%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 02:45
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -12.40%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.41%E -2.56%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 02:45
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.40%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.14%E -3.13%K -12.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 02:45
Fliff3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.40%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -6.31%E -4.90%K -21.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 02:45
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.68%E -2.00%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 02:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-03-06 02:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-03-06 02:45
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-03-06 02:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-03-06 02:45
Novig3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%1.7%2026-03-06 02:45
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%2.2%2026-03-06 02:45