La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Elise Mertens v Belinda Bencic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Elise Mertens (Local)
Predicción 47.57%2.10momio equitativo
EV +3.22%
Ventaja +1.48%
Kelly +2.75%
Crecimiento +0.089%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.64%47.62%47.62%51.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.832.012.002.1754.64%49.79%50.00%46.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Belinda Bencic (Visitante)
Predicción 52.43%1.91momio equitativo
EV +0.148%
Ventaja +0.077%
Kelly +0.162%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.93%52.38%52.38%56.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.631.771.791.9161.35%56.41%55.87%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV +3.22%E +1.48%K +2.75%G +0.089% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -11.91%E -7.09%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 21:25 |
| Casumo | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV +3.22%E +1.48%K +2.75%G +0.089% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -11.91%E -7.09%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV +3.22%E +1.48%K +2.75%G +0.089% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -11.91%E -7.09%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 21:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV +3.22%E +1.48%K +2.75%G +0.089% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -11.91%E -7.09%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 21:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV +1.79%E +0.838%K +1.57%G +0.028% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -12.44%E -7.45%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-09 21:25 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -0.110%E -0.052%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -8.77%E -5.04%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 21:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -0.110%E -0.052%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -8.77%E -5.04%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 21:25 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -0.110%E -0.052%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -8.77%E -5.04%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 21:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -0.110%E -0.052%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -8.77%E -5.04%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 21:24 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -0.110%E -0.052%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -10.86%E -6.39%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 21:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -0.110%E -0.052%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -12.44%E -7.45%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 21:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94%EV -1.06%E -0.510%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06%EV -14.53%E -8.92%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-09 21:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.54%E -0.743%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-09 21:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -2.01%E -0.977%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -6.67%E -3.75%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -2.01%E -0.977%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -9.81%E -5.71%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 21:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -2.01%E -0.977%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -9.81%E -5.71%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 21:24 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -2.01%E -0.977%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -9.81%E -5.71%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 21:24 |
| Bally Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -2.01%E -0.977%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -9.81%E -5.71%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 21:24 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -2.49%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.29%E -5.37%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-09 21:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -2.49%E -1.21%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -10.34%E -6.05%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-09 21:24 |
| LeoVegas | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -10.86%E -6.39%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-09 21:24 |
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 21:10 |
| GTbets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 21:15 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 21:09 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 21:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 21:24 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 21:09 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 21:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 21:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 21:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -10.34%E -6.05%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-09 21:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.34%E -2.68%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 21:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -5.34%E -2.68%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -5.10%E -2.82%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 21:07 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.34%E -2.68%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -6.14%E -3.43%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 21:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.34%E -2.68%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -6.14%E -3.43%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 21:13 |
| DraftKings | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 21:24 |
| Neds | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.19%E -4.06%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 21:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.19%E -4.06%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 21:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.19%E -4.06%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 21:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.29%E -3.19%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.10%E -2.82%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 21:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -2.47%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 21:18 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -2.47%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 21:18 |
| Coolbet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 21:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.52%E -1.91%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 21:17 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -6.77%E -3.45%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -11.91%E -7.09%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-09 21:25 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 21:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-09 21:17 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 21:24 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 21:08 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -9.29%E -5.37%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-09 21:24 |
| Fliff | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -10.34%E -6.05%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-09 21:24 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.15%E -4.79%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.148%E +0.077%K +0.162%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 21:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -9.15%E -4.79%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 21:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.15%E -4.79%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 21:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.15%E -4.79%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 21:24 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.15%E -4.79%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 21:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.15%E -4.79%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 21:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.15%E -4.79%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 21:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -9.62%E -5.06%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 21:24 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.95%E -7.08%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +0.148%E +0.077%K +0.162%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 21:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 0.0% | 2026-03-09 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-03-09 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-03-09 21:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05% | 2.1% | 2026-03-09 21:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82% | 2.5% | 2026-03-09 21:25 |
| Novig | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 21:24 |