La escuela de los momios

Dalma Galfi v Anna Blinkova

Inicio: 2026-03-05 00:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dalma Galfi (Local)

Predicción 67.46%1.48momio equitativo
EV -2.18%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -4.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.63%67.40%67.51%69.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.401.401.4573.53%71.67%71.43%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Anna Blinkova (Visitante)

Predicción 32.54%3.07momio equitativo
EV +0.875%
Ventaja +0.282%
Kelly +0.416%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.80%32.60%32.49%34.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.932.953.1036.36%34.11%33.90%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.91%E -5.00%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.875%E +0.282%K +0.416%G +0.004%4.7%2026-03-04 15:40
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.88%E -3.46%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -0.752%E -0.247%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 15:39
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.91%E -5.00%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.752%E -0.247%K -0.367%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.91%E -5.00%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.752%E -0.247%K -0.367%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.91%E -5.00%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.752%E -0.247%K -0.367%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.91%E -5.00%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.752%E -0.247%K -0.367%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.91%E -5.00%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.752%E -0.247%K -0.367%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 08:59
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.91%E -5.00%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.752%E -0.247%K -0.367%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.91%E -5.00%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.752%E -0.247%K -0.367%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.91%E -5.00%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.752%E -0.247%K -0.367%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.91%E -5.00%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.752%E -0.247%K -0.367%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.91%E -5.00%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.752%E -0.247%K -0.367%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.91%E -5.00%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.752%E -0.247%K -0.367%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.91%E -5.00%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.752%E -0.247%K -0.367%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.91%E -5.00%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.752%E -0.247%K -0.367%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -2.86%E -1.98%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -2.38%E -0.793%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-04 20:45
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.38%E -0.793%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:00
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.38%E -0.793%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 19:15
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.25%E -6.07%K -22.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.38%E -0.793%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 00:10
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.25%E -6.07%K -22.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.38%E -0.793%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 00:10
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.25%E -6.07%K -22.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.38%E -0.793%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 00:10
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -4.88%E -3.46%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -3.03%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 22:05
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.03%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:10
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.21%E -2.96%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.01%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 20:44
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.01%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:09
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.01%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 15:40
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.23%E -4.48%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.01%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 16:25
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.91%E -5.00%K -18.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.01%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 00:00
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -7.58%E -5.53%K -20.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.01%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.25%E -6.07%K -22.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.01%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 09:00
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.25%E -6.07%K -22.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.01%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 09:00
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.25%E -6.07%K -22.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.01%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 23:39
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -4.21%E -2.96%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -4.66%E -1.59%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 00:10
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.88%E -3.46%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.66%E -1.59%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 00:10
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.88%E -3.46%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -4.98%E -1.71%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 00:09
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.83%EV -6.91%E -5.00%K -18.17%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.17%EV -5.31%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 22:05
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.53%E -2.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 19:30
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.21%E -2.96%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 00:10
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 20:40
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 08:05
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 11:05
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.91%E -5.00%K -18.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 16:25
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.25%E -6.07%K -22.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 15:40
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -4.88%E -3.46%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -5.96%E -2.06%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 22:25
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 22:10
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 22:05
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.61%E -2.30%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 08:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.61%E -2.30%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 08:45
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.21%E -2.96%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.26%E -2.55%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 00:10
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.18%E -1.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -7.59%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 00:05
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.53%E -2.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.89%E -3.17%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 00:10
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.21%E -2.96%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.89%E -3.17%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 20:40
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.89%E -3.17%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.89%E -3.17%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 08:45
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.89%E -3.17%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 08:45
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.89%E -3.17%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 00:10
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.89%E -3.17%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 00:10
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.25%E -6.07%K -22.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.89%E -3.17%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-05 00:10
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.86%E -1.98%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.51%E -3.82%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 20:39
BetAnything1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.86%E -1.98%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.51%E -3.82%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 00:10
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.53%E -2.47%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -10.51%E -3.82%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 00:10
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.51%E -3.82%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 22:33
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-03-05 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-03-05 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-03-05 00:10
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%3.2%2026-03-05 00:10