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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Marta Kostyuk v Taylor Townsend

Inicio: 2026-09-16 23:00 UTC

Final: Marta Kostyuk 0–0 Taylor Townsend

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Predicción 71.36%1.40momio equitativo
EV -0.807%
Ventaja -0.580%
Kelly -2.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.39

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.32%71.29%71.27%73.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.271.331.331.3978.74%75.19%75.19%71.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Taylor Townsend (Visitante)

Predicción 28.64%3.49momio equitativo
EV +1.66%
Ventaja +0.469%
Kelly +0.653%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.80%28.71%28.73%30.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.283.253.5532.79%30.51%30.77%28.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Marta Kostyuk (Local): 71.36%; Taylor Townsend (Visitante): 28.64%. Para Taylor Townsend (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.49. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.55, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.66%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.23%E -5.56%K -24.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +1.66%E +0.469%K +0.653%G +0.011%5.1%2026-09-16 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.37%E -3.26%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +0.233%E +0.067%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-16 18:45
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.61%EV -2.95%E -2.17%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.39%EV -1.77%E -0.517%K -0.729%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-16 15:46
GTbets🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 71.04%EV -0.807%E -0.580%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.96%EV -2.34%E -0.688%K -0.973%G +0.000%1.3%2026-09-15 11:21
BetAnything🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.37%E -3.26%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.63%E -0.774%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-16 18:51
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.09%E -3.83%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.63%E -0.774%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 18:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.09%E -3.83%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.63%E -0.774%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 18:44
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.09%E -3.83%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.63%E -0.774%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 12:40
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.80%E -4.40%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.63%E -0.774%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-16 12:16
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.37%E -7.38%K -34.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.63%E -0.774%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-16 06:56
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -5.09%E -3.83%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -2.92%E -0.861%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-16 18:50
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.09%E -3.83%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.06%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 18:51
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.09%E -3.83%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.06%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 18:49
Fanatics🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.80%E -4.40%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.06%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.80%E -4.40%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.06%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 18:46
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%EV -3.66%E -2.71%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-16 16:04
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.23%E -5.56%K -24.10%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -4.92%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 12:13
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.95%E -2.17%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.49%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-16 18:51
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.95%E -2.17%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.49%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-16 18:50
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.09%E -3.83%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.49%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-16 15:46
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.09%E -3.83%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.49%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-16 19:10
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.09%E -3.83%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.49%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-16 18:45
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.09%E -3.83%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.49%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-16 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.09%E -3.83%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.49%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-16 15:46
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.09%E -3.83%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.49%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-16 15:46
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.80%E -4.40%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.49%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.80%E -4.40%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.49%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 18:51
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -5.09%E -3.83%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -6.07%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 16:05
ReBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -6.52%E -4.97%K -21.02%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV -6.64%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.37%E -3.26%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.37%E -3.26%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 17:10
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.37%E -3.26%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 17:10
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.37%E -3.26%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 17:10
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.37%E -3.26%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.37%E -3.26%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 17:10
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.37%E -3.26%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.37%E -3.26%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.37%E -3.26%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.37%E -3.26%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.37%E -3.26%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 17:10
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.37%E -3.26%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.37%E -3.26%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 17:10
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.37%E -3.26%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.09%E -3.83%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 11:10
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.09%E -3.83%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 11:15
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.09%E -3.83%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 11:10
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.09%E -3.83%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 15:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.09%E -3.83%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 12:16
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.09%E -3.83%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 17:10
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.09%E -3.83%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 14:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -8.66%E -6.76%K -30.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 10:55
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.95%E -2.17%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-16 19:06
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.80%E -4.40%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 18:55
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.23%E -5.56%K -24.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-16 12:15
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.23%E -5.56%K -24.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-16 12:15
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.23%E -5.56%K -24.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.23%E -5.56%K -24.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 14:25
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.09%E -3.83%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 11:06
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.09%E -3.83%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 16:05
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.09%E -3.83%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 18:58
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.23%E -5.56%K -24.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-16 17:10
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.66%E -2.71%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.65%E -4.15%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.66%E -2.71%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.65%E -4.15%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 14:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-09-16 19:46
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-09-16 19:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-09-16 19:46
Matchbook◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-09-16 19:00
ProphetX◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-09-16 19:26
Smarkets◎1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-09-16 19:06
Novig◎1.00I 100.00%NM 76.91%3.33I 30.03%NM 23.09%30.0%2026-09-16 19:30