L’École des cotes

Linda Noskova v Diane Parry

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-18 09:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Linda Noskova (Local)

Prévision 70.36%1.42cote équitable
EV -0.789%
Avantage -0.560%
Kelly -1.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.49%70.39%70.48%72.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.271.351.351.4178.74%74.30%74.07%70.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Diane Parry (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.64%3.37cote équitable
EV +0.769%
Avantage +0.226%
Kelly +0.320%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.19%29.61%29.52%31.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.173.153.4033.33%31.51%31.75%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -10.64%E -8.38%K -39.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV +0.769%E +0.226%K +0.320%G +0.002%8.2%2026-06-18 09:00
Winamax (DE)1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -0.713%E -0.213%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-18 09:00
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -9.23%E -7.16%K -31.84%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.86%EV -1.01%E -0.302%K -0.431%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-18 08:59
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.20%E -0.665%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-18 08:59
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.01%E -3.71%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.20%E -0.665%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-18 09:00
Bovada1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.01%E -3.71%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.68%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 08:59
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.01%E -3.71%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.68%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 08:59
BetUS1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.01%E -3.71%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.68%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 08:59
ReBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.01%E -3.71%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.68%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 08:59
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.71%E -4.26%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.68%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 09:00
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.68%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 09:00
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.68%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 09:00
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.68%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 09:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.68%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 09:00
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.12%E -5.40%K -22.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.68%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 09:00
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.12%E -5.40%K -22.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.68%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 09:00
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.83%E -5.97%K -25.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -3.68%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-18 09:00
Marathon Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -5.71%E -4.26%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -3.97%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 09:00
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -5.01%E -3.71%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -4.27%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 08:59
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.83%E -5.97%K -25.24%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.92%EV -4.57%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-18 09:00
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 09:00
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.01%E -3.71%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 09:00
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.71%E -4.26%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 09:00
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.71%E -4.26%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 09:00
Betclic (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.71%E -4.26%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 08:57
NetBet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -7.83%E -5.97%K -25.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-18 09:00
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.53%E -6.56%K -28.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-18 09:00
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 69.28%EV -0.789%E -0.560%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.72%EV -5.75%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-18 09:00
Coolbet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.75%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 09:00
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -6.05%E -1.91%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 09:00
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 09:00
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 09:00
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 09:00
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 09:00
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 09:00
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 09:00
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 09:00
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 09:00
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 09:00
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 09:00
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 08:59
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.01%E -3.71%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 09:00
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.01%E -3.71%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.64%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 09:00
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -2.90%E -2.10%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -6.94%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 09:00
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -2.90%E -2.10%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -6.94%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 09:00
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -2.90%E -2.10%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -6.94%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 09:00
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 09:00
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 09:00
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.71%E -4.26%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-18 09:00
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.71%E -4.26%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-18 09:00
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-18 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-18 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-18 09:00
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-18 09:00
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-18 09:00
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -9.60%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-18 09:00
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.90%E -2.10%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 09:00
Dabble (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.90%E -2.10%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 09:00
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-18 09:00
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-18 08:57
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-18 09:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%0.3%2026-06-18 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%0.3%2026-06-18 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-06-18 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-06-18 09:00
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.3%2026-06-18 09:00
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 70.54%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.46%3.5%2026-06-18 08:59