L’École des cotes

Linda Noskova v Alexandra Eala

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-20 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Linda Noskova (Local)

Prévision 67.13%1.49cote équitable
EV +12.77%
Avantage +7.60%
Kelly +18.78%
Croissance +2.40%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.85%66.46%67.31%70.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.451.421.6875.76%68.87%70.42%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexandra Eala (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.87%3.04cote équitable
EV +5.19%
Avantage +1.62%
Kelly +2.36%
Croissance +0.123%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.82%33.54%32.69%43.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.732.803.2046.51%36.69%35.71%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV +12.77%E +7.60%K +18.78%G +2.40%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -25.05%E -10.99%K -19.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-20 16:00
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV +12.77%E +7.60%K +18.78%G +2.40%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -25.05%E -10.99%K -19.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-20 16:00
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +12.10%E +7.25%K +18.06%G +2.19%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -27.68%E -12.58%K -23.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 16:07
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV +11.43%E +6.89%K +17.32%G +1.98%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -22.09%E -9.32%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-20 16:00
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +10.76%E +6.52%K +16.55%G +1.78%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -26.04%E -11.57%K -20.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 16:00
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +9.42%E +5.78%K +14.95%G +1.41%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -25.05%E -10.99%K -19.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 16:00
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV +9.42%E +5.78%K +14.95%G +1.41%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -26.04%E -11.57%K -20.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 16:05
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +8.75%E +5.40%K +14.11%G +1.23%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -24.39%E -10.61%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 16:06
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +8.75%E +5.40%K +14.11%G +1.23%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -26.04%E -11.57%K -20.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 16:00
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +8.75%E +5.40%K +14.11%G +1.23%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -26.04%E -11.57%K -20.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 16:00
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV +8.07%E +5.02%K +13.24%G +1.07%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -26.04%E -11.57%K -20.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-20 16:00
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV +6.06%E +3.84%K +10.45%G +0.633%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -26.04%E -11.57%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-20 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV +6.06%E +3.84%K +10.45%G +0.633%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -26.04%E -11.57%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-20 16:00
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV +5.39%E +3.43%K +9.45%G +0.510%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -29.32%E -13.64%K -25.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-20 16:05
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.67%E -1.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 16:10
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.34%E -2.32%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -11.24%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-20 16:10
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.01%E -2.80%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 16:10
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.01%E -2.80%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.01%E -2.80%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 16:10
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.01%E -2.80%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 16:10
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.01%E -2.80%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 16:10
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.01%E -2.80%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 16:10
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.01%E -2.80%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 16:10
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.01%E -2.80%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 16:10
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-20 16:10
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-20 16:10
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-20 16:10
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-20 16:10
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -12.89%E -4.86%K -7.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-20 16:10
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -14.53%E -5.59%K -9.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-20 16:10
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -0.723%E -0.239%K -0.358%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-20 16:10
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.02%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 16:10
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-20 16:10
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-20 16:10
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.24%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-20 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.24%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-20 16:10
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -7.36%E -5.34%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +5.19%E +1.62%K +2.36%G +0.123%3.7%2026-06-20 16:09
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -7.36%E -5.34%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV +0.920%E +0.300%K +0.445%G +0.004%5.0%2026-06-20 16:09
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -8.71%E -6.40%K -24.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +5.19%E +1.62%K +2.36%G +0.123%4.8%2026-06-20 16:09
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -8.71%E -6.40%K -24.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +5.19%E +1.62%K +2.36%G +0.123%4.8%2026-06-20 16:09
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.71%E -6.40%K -24.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.91%E +0.615%K +0.908%G +0.017%5.8%2026-06-20 16:09
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.71%E -6.40%K -24.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.91%E +0.615%K +0.908%G +0.017%5.8%2026-06-20 16:09
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -8.71%E -6.40%K -24.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV +0.263%E +0.086%K +0.128%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-20 16:09
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.71%E -6.40%K -24.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.38%E -0.460%K -0.690%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-20 16:09
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.71%E -6.40%K -24.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.38%E -0.460%K -0.690%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-20 16:10
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.71%E -6.40%K -24.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.38%E -0.460%K -0.690%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-20 16:09
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.71%E -6.40%K -24.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-20 16:08
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.71%E -6.40%K -24.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-20 16:10
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.71%E -6.40%K -24.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.96%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-20 16:08
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -8.71%E -6.40%K -24.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.92%EV -12.89%E -4.86%K -7.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-20 16:10
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -9.38%E -6.95%K -26.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV +0.263%E +0.086%K +0.128%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-20 16:09
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -10.05%E -7.50%K -29.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV +1.91%E +0.615%K +0.908%G +0.017%6.9%2026-06-20 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -10.72%E -8.06%K -32.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +1.91%E +0.615%K +0.908%G +0.017%7.4%2026-06-20 16:09
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 67.57%EV -11.39%E -8.63%K -35.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -9.60%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-20 16:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-06-20 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-06-20 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-20 16:10
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-06-20 16:10
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%4.8%2026-06-20 16:10
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 68.71%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.29%5.5%2026-06-20 16:09