L’École des cotes

Elina Svitolina v Eva Lys

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-18 10:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Prévision 79.31%1.26cote équitable
EV -0.860%
Avantage -0.688%
Kelly -3.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.34%79.23%79.52%81.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.201.191.2586.96%83.67%84.03%80.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Eva Lys (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.69%4.83cote équitable
EV +5.51%
Avantage +1.08%
Kelly +1.34%
Croissance +0.074%

avec la cote maximale 5.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.92%20.77%20.48%23.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.544.605.1025.00%22.02%21.74%19.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -5.62%E -4.72%K -29.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +5.51%E +1.08%K +1.34%G +0.074%3.6%2026-06-18 10:30
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -6.41%E -5.43%K -35.62%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV +4.47%E +0.886%K +1.10%G +0.049%4.5%2026-06-18 10:30
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.41%E -5.43%K -35.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +3.44%E +0.688%K +0.860%G +0.030%4.7%2026-06-18 10:29
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.20%E -6.16%K -42.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +3.44%E +0.688%K +0.860%G +0.030%5.5%2026-06-18 10:30
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 80.78%EV -6.41%E -5.43%K -35.62%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.22%EV +2.61%E +0.526%K +0.659%G +0.017%4.9%2026-06-18 10:30
BetOnline.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.83%E -4.02%K -24.13%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -0.079%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 10:30
LowVig.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.83%E -4.02%K -24.13%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -0.079%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 10:30
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.62%E -4.72%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.699%E -0.146%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 10:24
ReBet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.62%E -4.72%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.699%E -0.146%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 10:24
Winamax (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.41%E -5.43%K -35.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.699%E -0.146%K -0.184%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 10:30
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.62%E -4.72%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.73%E -0.365%K -0.462%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 10:30
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.62%E -4.72%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.73%E -0.365%K -0.462%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 10:30
Casumo1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.62%E -4.72%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.73%E -0.365%K -0.462%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.62%E -4.72%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.73%E -0.365%K -0.462%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 10:30
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.62%E -4.72%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.73%E -0.365%K -0.462%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 10:30
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.62%E -4.72%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.73%E -0.365%K -0.462%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 10:30
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.62%E -4.72%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.73%E -0.365%K -0.462%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 10:30
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.62%E -4.72%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.73%E -0.365%K -0.462%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 10:30
Grosvenor1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.62%E -4.72%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.73%E -0.365%K -0.462%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 10:30
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.62%E -4.72%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.73%E -0.365%K -0.462%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 10:30
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.62%E -4.72%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.73%E -0.365%K -0.462%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 10:30
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.62%E -4.72%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.73%E -0.365%K -0.462%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 10:30
Bally Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.62%E -4.72%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.73%E -0.365%K -0.462%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 10:30
Hard Rock Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.62%E -4.72%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.73%E -0.365%K -0.462%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 10:30
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.41%E -5.43%K -35.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -1.73%E -0.365%K -0.462%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 10:30
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -8.79%E -7.64%K -58.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -2.77%E -0.589%K -0.748%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-18 10:30
GTbets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.74%EV -0.860%E -0.688%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 21.26%EV -4.22%E -0.911%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.6%2026-06-18 10:25
BetAnything1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.83%E -4.02%K -24.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 10:29
BetMGM1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.62%E -4.72%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 10:30
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.62%E -4.72%K -29.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 10:24
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.41%E -5.43%K -35.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 10:30
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.41%E -5.43%K -35.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 10:30
Fliff1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -8.79%E -7.64%K -58.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -4.84%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-18 10:30
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 78.69%EV -1.65%E -1.33%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.31%EV -5.25%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-18 10:30
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.83%E -4.02%K -24.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 10:30
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.41%E -5.43%K -35.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 10:30
Virgin Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.41%E -5.43%K -35.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 10:30
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.20%E -6.16%K -42.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-18 10:30
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -8.79%E -7.64%K -58.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -6.91%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-18 10:30
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.03%E -3.33%K -19.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -8.97%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 10:29
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.41%E -5.43%K -35.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.97%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-18 10:30
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.41%E -5.43%K -35.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.97%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-18 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.41%E -5.43%K -35.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.97%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-18 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.41%E -5.43%K -35.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.97%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-18 10:30
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.41%E -5.43%K -35.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.97%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-18 10:30
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -3.24%E -2.65%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 10:30
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.83%E -4.02%K -24.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 10:30
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.24%E -2.65%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -11.04%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 10:29
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.24%E -2.65%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -11.04%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 10:30
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.24%E -2.65%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -11.04%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 10:30
Betr (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.03%E -3.33%K -19.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -11.04%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 10:30
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.41%E -5.43%K -35.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -11.04%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-18 10:29
PointsBet (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.03%E -3.33%K -19.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -12.08%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 10:30
theScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.03%E -3.33%K -19.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -12.08%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 10:30
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -2.45%E -1.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -13.11%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 10:30
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.24%E -2.65%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -13.11%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 10:30
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.83%E -4.02%K -24.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -13.11%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-18 10:30
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.65%E -1.33%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -17.25%E -4.31%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 10:30
Dabble (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.65%E -1.33%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -17.25%E -4.31%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 10:30
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.24%E -2.65%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.25%E -4.31%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 10:30
betfred_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.24%E -2.65%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.25%E -4.31%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 10:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.24%E -2.65%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.25%E -4.31%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 10:30
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.83%E -4.02%K -24.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -17.25%E -4.31%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-18 10:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84%0.2%2026-06-18 10:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84%0.2%2026-06-18 10:30
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84%0.2%2026-06-18 10:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.3%2026-06-18 10:30
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-06-18 10:30
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%4.8%2026-06-18 10:30