L’École des cotes

Yuliia Starodubtseva v Elena Rybakina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-27 13:31 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local)

Prévision 10.85%9.22cote équitable
EV +36.67%
Avantage +2.91%
Kelly +3.16%
Croissance +1.16%

avec la cote maximale 12.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.69%10.75%11.10%15.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.008.578.0012.6016.67%11.67%12.50%7.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elena Rybakina (Visiteur)

Prévision 89.15%1.12cote équitable
EV -0.148%
Avantage -0.132%
Kelly -1.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
84.39%89.25%88.90%92.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.021.061.061.1298.04%94.07%94.34%89.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings12.60I 7.94%NM 7.69%EV +36.67%E +2.91%K +3.16%G +1.16%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.31%EV -6.39%E -6.08%K -127.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-27 13:30
Coolbet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +19.31%E +1.76%K +1.93%G +0.373%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.28%E -7.00%K -182.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 13:30
theScore Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +19.31%E +1.76%K +1.93%G +0.373%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.28%E -7.00%K -182.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 13:30
Winamax (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +19.31%E +1.76%K +1.93%G +0.373%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -8.17%E -7.93%K -272.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 13:30
Winamax (FR)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +19.31%E +1.76%K +1.93%G +0.373%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -9.06%E -8.89%K -453.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 13:30
Fanatics10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +13.89%E +1.32%K +1.46%G +0.203%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -7.28%E -7.00%K -182.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +8.46%E +0.846%K +0.940%G +0.080%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.50%E -5.19%K -91.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 13:30
Coral10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +8.46%E +0.846%K +0.940%G +0.080%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.50%E -5.19%K -91.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 13:30
BoyleSports10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +8.46%E +0.846%K +0.940%G +0.080%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.50%E -5.19%K -91.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 13:30
NordicBet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +8.46%E +0.846%K +0.940%G +0.080%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.28%E -7.00%K -182.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 13:30
Betsson10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +8.46%E +0.846%K +0.940%G +0.080%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.28%E -7.00%K -182.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 13:30
Codere (IT)9.60I 10.42%NM 10.03%EV +4.13%E +0.430%K +0.480%G +0.020%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.97%EV -4.61%E -4.30%K -65.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 13:25
Betclic (FR)9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV +0.330%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.89%EV -7.28%E -7.00%K -182.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 13:29
Fliff9.25I 10.81%NM 9.93%EV +0.330%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.07%EV -9.06%E -8.89%K -453.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-27 13:30
Unibet (FR)9.10I 10.99%NM 10.43%EV -1.30%E -0.143%K -0.160%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -5.50%E -5.19%K -91.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:24
MyBookie.ag9.10I 10.99%NM 10.43%EV -1.30%E -0.143%K -0.160%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -5.50%E -5.19%K -91.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:30
Unibet (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.38%E -0.265%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.50%E -5.19%K -91.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 13:30
Hard Rock Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.38%E -0.265%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.50%E -5.19%K -91.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 13:30
1xBet8.55I 11.70%NM 11.12%EV -7.26%E -0.849%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.88%EV -4.61%E -4.30%K -65.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 13:25
Tipico (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -7.81%E -0.918%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.28%E -7.00%K -182.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 13:30
LiveScore Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -7.81%E -0.918%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.28%E -7.00%K -182.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 13:30
Virgin Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -7.81%E -0.918%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.28%E -7.00%K -182.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -7.81%E -0.918%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -8.17%E -7.93%K -272.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-27 13:30
BetMGM8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -10.52%E -1.27%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -6.39%E -6.08%K -127.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 13:30
Bet Right8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.23%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.71%E -3.44%K -46.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -13.23%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.61%E -4.30%K -65.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 13:30
GTbets8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.23%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.50%E -5.19%K -91.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 13:19
PointsBet (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.23%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.50%E -5.19%K -91.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 13:30
TAB8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.23%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.50%E -5.19%K -91.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 13:30
888sport8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.23%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.50%E -5.19%K -91.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 13:30
888sport (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.23%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.50%E -5.19%K -91.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 13:30
Mr Green (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.23%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.50%E -5.19%K -91.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 13:30
Betway8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -13.23%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.39%E -6.08%K -127.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-27 13:30
LeoVegas8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -13.23%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -7.28%E -7.00%K -182.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-27 13:30
NetBet (FR)7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -15.94%E -2.06%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -4.61%E -4.30%K -65.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 13:24
BetAnything7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -16.48%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -3.71%E -3.44%K -46.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 13:29
LowVig.ag7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV -17.46%E -2.29%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -1.93%E -1.76%K -19.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 13:27
BetOnline.ag7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV -17.46%E -2.29%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -1.93%E -1.76%K -19.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 13:28
FanDuel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -18.65%E -2.49%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.82%E -2.59%K -31.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 13:30
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -18.65%E -2.49%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.82%E -2.59%K -31.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 13:24
Caesars7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -18.65%E -2.49%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.61%E -4.30%K -65.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 13:25
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -18.65%E -2.49%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.50%E -5.19%K -91.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-27 13:30
Pinnacle7.39I 13.53%NM 13.06%EV -19.84%E -2.69%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.94%EV -1.04%E -0.937%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-27 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -24.07%E -3.44%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -1.93%E -1.76%K -19.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 13:22
Neds7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -24.07%E -3.44%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -1.93%E -1.76%K -19.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 13:21
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -24.07%E -3.44%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.61%E -4.30%K -65.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-27 13:25
Everygame6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -29.50%E -4.54%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -1.93%E -1.76%K -19.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 13:19
PlayUp6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -32.21%E -5.15%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -0.148%E -0.132%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:26
Betr (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -34.92%E -5.82%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -1.04%E -0.937%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 13:27
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%0.4%2026-05-27 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%0.6%2026-05-27 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41%1.3%2026-05-27 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41%1.3%2026-05-27 13:30
Smarkets9.60I 10.42%NM 10.11%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.89%3.0%2026-05-27 13:30
Novig9.80I 10.20%NM 9.59%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.41%6.4%2026-05-27 13:30