A Escola das Odds

Veronika Erjavec v Elena Rybakina

Início: 2026-05-25 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

33 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Veronika Erjavec (Local)

Previsão 4.88%20.51odd justa
EV +124.28%
Vantagem +2.70%
Kelly +2.76%
Crescimento +3.43%

pressupondo odds máximas de 46.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
2.15%5.10%4.59%8.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
11.0020.1419.0046.009.09%4.97%5.26%2.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Elena Rybakina (Visitante)

Previsão 95.12%1.05odd justa
EV -2.02%
Vantagem -1.96%
Kelly -67.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
91.44%94.90%95.41%97.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.001.011.011.03100.00%98.98%99.01%97.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (33 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel46.00I 2.17%NM 2.15%EV +124.28%E +2.70%K +2.76%G +3.43%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.85%EV -3.92%E -3.89%K -392.44%G +0.000%1.2%2026-05-25 11:50
theScore Bet41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +99.90%E +2.44%K +2.50%G +2.50%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.88%E -4.88%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-25 11:50
Paddy Power34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +65.77%E +1.93%K +1.99%G +1.31%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -4.88%E -4.88%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-25 11:50
DraftKings32.00I 3.13%NM 3.06%EV +56.02%E +1.75%K +1.81%G +1.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.94%EV -3.92%E -3.89%K -392.44%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-25 11:50
Pinnacle26.56I 3.77%NM 3.73%EV +29.50%E +1.11%K +1.15%G +0.340%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.27%EV -2.02%E -1.96%K -67.40%G +0.000%0.9%2026-05-25 11:50
Coral26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +26.77%E +1.03%K +1.07%G +0.287%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.92%E -3.89%K -392.44%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-25 11:50
Betclic (FR)25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +21.89%E +0.876%K +0.912%G +0.200%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.92%E -3.89%K -392.44%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 11:49
Winamax (DE)23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +12.14%E +0.528%K +0.552%G +0.067%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.92%E -3.89%K -392.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-25 11:48
Ladbrokes (UK)23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +12.14%E +0.528%K +0.552%G +0.067%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.83%EV -4.88%E -4.88%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 11:50
Bovada23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +12.14%E +0.528%K +0.552%G +0.067%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.83%EV -4.88%E -4.88%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 11:48
Winamax (FR)22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +7.26%E +0.330%K +0.346%G +0.025%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -3.92%E -3.89%K -392.44%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-25 11:48
BetMGM21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +2.39%E +0.114%K +0.119%G +0.003%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.92%E -3.89%K -392.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-25 11:50
Fanatics21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +2.39%E +0.114%K +0.119%G +0.003%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.88%E -4.88%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 11:50
888sport21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +2.39%E +0.114%K +0.119%G +0.003%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.88%E -4.88%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 11:48
Mr Green (SE)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +2.39%E +0.114%K +0.119%G +0.003%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.88%E -4.88%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 11:48
888sport (SE)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +2.39%E +0.114%K +0.119%G +0.003%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.88%E -4.88%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 11:48
PointsBet (AU)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -7.36%E -0.387%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -4.88%E -4.88%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 11:50
BoyleSports17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV -17.11%E -1.01%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -2.02%E -1.96%K -67.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 11:50
Betway17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -17.11%E -1.01%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.92%E -3.89%K -392.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 11:50
Coolbet17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -17.11%E -1.01%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.92%E -3.89%K -392.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 11:49
Hard Rock Bet16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -21.99%E -1.37%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -3.92%E -3.89%K -392.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 11:48
Unibet (SE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -26.87%E -1.79%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -2.97%E -2.91%K -148.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 11:48
ATG (SE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -26.87%E -1.79%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -2.97%E -2.91%K -148.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 11:36
Betsson14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -31.74%E -2.27%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -3.92%E -3.89%K -392.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 11:48
Grosvenor13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -36.62%E -2.82%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.92%E -3.89%K -392.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 11:36
Virgin Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -36.62%E -2.82%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.92%E -3.89%K -392.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 11:48
Bally Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -36.62%E -2.82%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.92%E -3.89%K -392.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 11:36
LiveScore Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -41.49%E -3.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -2.97%E -2.91%K -148.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 11:40
Bet Victor12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -41.49%E -3.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -3.92%E -3.89%K -392.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -43.93%E -3.82%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -3.92%E -3.89%K -392.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 11:47
LeoVegas11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -43.93%E -3.82%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -3.92%E -3.89%K -392.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 11:47
Caesars11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -46.37%E -4.22%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -2.02%E -1.96%K -67.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 11:47
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -46.37%E -4.22%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -2.97%E -2.91%K -148.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 11:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)46.00I 2.17%NM 2.17%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.83%0.2%2026-05-25 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)46.00I 2.17%NM 2.17%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.83%0.2%2026-05-25 11:50
Smarkets59.88I 1.67%NM 1.66%1.01I 99.01%NM 98.34%0.7%2026-05-25 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%1.0%2026-05-25 11:50
Matchbook44.00I 2.27%NM 2.24%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.76%1.3%2026-05-25 11:50
Novig33.33I 3.00%NM 2.94%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.06%2.0%2026-05-25 11:50