L’École des cotes

Susan Bandecchi v Cristina Bucsa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-25 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Susan Bandecchi (Local)

Prévision 29.96%3.34cote équitable
EV +0.352%
Avantage +0.105%
Kelly +0.150%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.42%30.12%29.84%32.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.193.203.3534.72%31.37%31.25%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cristina Bucsa (Visiteur)

Prévision 70.04%1.43cote équitable
EV -1.94%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -4.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.29%69.88%70.16%71.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.351.351.4075.76%74.01%74.07%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
SportsBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +0.352%E +0.105%K +0.150%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.84%E -5.14%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 08:47
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -1.15%E -0.347%K -0.498%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -4.04%E -2.95%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-24 21:20
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.15%E -0.347%K -0.498%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.14%E -4.58%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 06:39
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.15%E -0.347%K -0.498%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.14%E -4.58%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 06:39
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.15%E -0.347%K -0.498%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.14%E -4.58%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 06:39
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.15%E -0.347%K -0.498%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.14%E -4.58%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 06:39
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.15%E -0.347%K -0.498%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.14%E -4.58%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 06:39
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.15%E -0.347%K -0.498%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.14%E -4.58%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 06:49
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.15%E -0.347%K -0.498%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.14%E -4.58%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 06:39
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.15%E -0.347%K -0.498%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.14%E -4.58%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 06:39
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.15%E -0.347%K -0.498%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.14%E -4.58%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 06:39
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.15%E -0.347%K -0.498%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.14%E -4.58%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 06:39
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.15%E -0.347%K -0.498%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.14%E -4.58%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 06:39
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.15%E -0.347%K -0.498%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.14%E -4.58%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 06:39
Bally Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.15%E -0.347%K -0.498%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.14%E -4.58%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 06:40
Hard Rock Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.15%E -0.347%K -0.498%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.84%E -5.14%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 06:40
1xBet3.29I 30.40%NM 29.70%EV -1.45%E -0.439%K -0.631%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.30%EV -2.64%E -1.90%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-25 04:20
Pinnacle3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -2.34%E -0.719%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -3.34%E -2.42%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-25 08:20
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.64%E -0.813%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.34%E -2.42%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-25 08:10
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.64%E -0.813%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 21:30
BetAnything3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.64%E -0.813%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:20
Betclic (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.64%E -0.813%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.84%E -5.14%K -20.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 08:50
MyBookie.ag3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -3.54%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -5.44%E -4.03%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 21:29
DraftKings3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -3.54%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -6.14%E -4.58%K -18.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 02:20
GTbets3.22I 31.06%NM 29.07%EV -3.54%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.93%EV -7.54%E -5.71%K -23.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 05:59
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.34%E -2.42%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-25 04:10
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.34%E -2.42%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-25 04:10
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 19:19
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.44%E -4.03%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 21:20
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.44%E -4.03%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 06:40
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.44%E -4.03%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 21:30
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.14%E -4.58%K -18.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 11:10
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.84%E -5.14%K -20.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 06:39
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.84%E -5.14%K -20.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 06:39
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.84%E -5.14%K -20.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 06:39
Betsson3.16I 31.65%NM 29.78%EV -5.34%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.22%EV -6.14%E -4.58%K -18.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 21:19
NordicBet3.16I 31.65%NM 29.78%EV -5.34%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.22%EV -6.14%E -4.58%K -18.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 21:20
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.64%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 08:10
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.64%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 05:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.64%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 05:29
PointsBet (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.64%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.44%E -4.03%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 19:20
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.64%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.44%E -4.03%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 06:50
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.64%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.14%E -4.58%K -18.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 21:29
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -6.54%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 08:50
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 19:09
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 21:09
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 00:10
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 07:40
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 07:40
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 09:59
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 09:59
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.44%E -4.03%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 14:29
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.84%E -5.14%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 05:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.84%E -5.14%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 05:29
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.84%E -5.14%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 10:46
FanDuel3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -9.53%E -3.16%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -1.94%E -1.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 08:50
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.13%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 08:10
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.13%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.84%E -5.14%K -20.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 20:58
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -13.73%E -4.77%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -1.94%E -1.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 08:50
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -13.73%E -4.77%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -1.94%E -1.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 20:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-05-25 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-05-25 08:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-05-25 08:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-05-25 08:40
Novig3.33I 30.03%NM 29.60%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.40%1.5%2026-05-25 08:00
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%2.3%2026-05-25 08:50