La escuela de los momios

Mirra Andreeva v Sorana Cirstea

Inicio: 2026-06-02 09:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Mirra Andreeva (Local)

Predicción 64.26%1.56momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -3.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.03%64.23%64.18%66.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.481.481.5369.44%67.64%67.57%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sorana Cirstea (Visitante)

Predicción 35.74%2.80momio equitativo
EV +1.49%
Ventaja +0.524%
Kelly +0.808%
Crecimiento +0.012%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.64%35.77%35.82%37.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.672.652.8440.00%37.51%37.74%35.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -7.46%E -5.18%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV +1.49%E +0.524%K +0.808%G +0.012%4.7%2026-06-02 08:50
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.46%E -5.18%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +0.058%E +0.021%K +0.032%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-02 08:50
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 65.03%EV -3.60%E -2.40%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.97%EV -0.299%E -0.107%K -0.167%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-02 08:10
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -6.17%E -4.23%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -1.01%E -0.366%K -0.573%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 08:50
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.60%E -2.40%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.73%E -0.629%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-02 07:09
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.60%E -2.40%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.73%E -0.629%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-02 08:50
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.89%E -3.30%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.73%E -0.629%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 08:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.46%E -5.18%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.73%E -0.629%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 08:49
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.46%E -5.18%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.73%E -0.629%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 08:00
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -4.25%E -2.85%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -2.44%E -0.895%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 08:49
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.89%E -3.30%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.89%E -3.30%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 08:00
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.89%E -3.30%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 07:59
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.89%E -3.30%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 08:00
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.89%E -3.30%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 08:00
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.89%E -3.30%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 08:29
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.89%E -3.30%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 08:00
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.89%E -3.30%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 08:00
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.89%E -3.30%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 07:59
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.89%E -3.30%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 08:00
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.89%E -3.30%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 07:59
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.89%E -3.30%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 08:00
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.89%E -3.30%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 08:00
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.53%E -3.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 08:30
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.53%E -3.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 08:00
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.53%E -3.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 08:00
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.17%E -4.23%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-02 08:50
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.82%E -4.70%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.52%E -1.30%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-02 08:00
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -6.82%E -4.70%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -4.59%E -1.72%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 08:50
Codere (IT)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.96%E -1.96%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.30%E -2.00%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 06:50
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.60%E -2.40%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.30%E -2.00%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-02 06:49
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.60%E -2.40%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.30%E -2.00%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-02 06:49
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.60%E -2.40%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.30%E -2.00%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-02 06:49
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.89%E -3.30%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.30%E -2.00%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 08:50
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.89%E -3.30%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.30%E -2.00%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 08:00
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.82%E -4.70%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.30%E -2.00%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-02 07:59
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.82%E -4.70%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.30%E -2.00%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-02 07:59
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.82%E -4.70%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.30%E -2.00%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-02 08:48
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.46%E -5.18%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.30%E -2.00%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-02 08:10
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.46%E -5.18%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.30%E -2.00%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-02 08:00
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -1.67%E -1.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -5.66%E -2.14%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-02 07:50
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -1.67%E -1.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -5.66%E -2.14%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-02 07:50
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -5.53%E -3.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -5.66%E -2.14%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-01 00:20
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -5.53%E -3.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -6.73%E -2.58%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-02 06:50
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -5.53%E -3.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -6.73%E -2.58%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-02 06:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.60%E -2.40%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 08:50
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.60%E -2.40%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 08:50
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.60%E -2.40%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 04:50
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.60%E -2.40%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 04:39
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.60%E -2.40%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 05:09
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.60%E -2.40%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 04:40
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.60%E -2.40%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 04:40
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.89%E -3.30%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-02 08:10
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.89%E -3.30%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-02 08:29
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.53%E -3.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-02 04:59
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.82%E -4.70%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-02 08:08
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.82%E -4.70%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-02 08:49
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.46%E -5.18%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-02 08:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.46%E -5.18%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.09%E -2.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-02 08:50
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -1.67%E -1.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -7.80%E -3.02%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-02 07:50
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -2.32%E -1.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -7.80%E -3.02%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-02 07:59
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.67%E -1.09%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.66%E -4.26%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 04:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.22%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.78%0.0%2026-06-02 08:50
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23%0.0%2026-06-02 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-06-02 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-06-02 08:50
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%1.7%2026-06-02 08:47
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.8%2026-06-02 08:50