La escuela de los momios

Mirra Andreeva v Marina Bassols Ribera

Inicio: 2026-05-27 18:01 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Mirra Andreeva (Local)

Predicción 87.03%1.15momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -1.47%
Kelly -12.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.54%87.21%86.63%92.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.041.081.081.1396.15%92.62%92.59%88.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Marina Bassols Ribera (Visitante)

Predicción 12.97%7.71momio equitativo
EV +68.61%
Ventaja +5.28%
Kelly +5.72%
Crecimiento +3.92%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.47%12.79%13.37%17.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.207.467.0013.0019.23%13.40%14.29%7.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BoyleSports1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -8.62%E -8.21%K -172.37%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +68.61%E +5.28%K +5.72%G +3.92%2.9%2026-05-27 17:59
BetRivers1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -7.75%E -7.31%K -129.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +23.21%E +2.44%K +2.73%G +0.634%4.9%2026-05-27 17:54
Bet Right1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -7.75%E -7.31%K -129.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +23.21%E +2.44%K +2.73%G +0.634%4.9%2026-05-27 17:57
Marathon Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -8.62%E -8.21%K -172.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +23.21%E +2.44%K +2.73%G +0.634%5.8%2026-05-27 17:50
BetUS1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -8.62%E -8.21%K -172.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +23.21%E +2.44%K +2.73%G +0.634%5.8%2026-05-27 18:00
Codere (IT)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%EV -6.88%E -6.43%K -98.25%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22%EV +21.92%E +2.33%K +2.61%G +0.572%4.1%2026-05-27 18:00
1xBet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -6.88%E -6.43%K -98.25%G +0.000%8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV +16.47%E +1.83%K +2.06%G +0.340%4.6%2026-05-27 17:53
LowVig.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -6.01%E -5.56%K -75.09%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV +16.08%E +1.80%K +2.02%G +0.325%3.8%2026-05-27 17:58
BetOnline.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -6.01%E -5.56%K -75.09%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV +16.08%E +1.80%K +2.02%G +0.325%3.8%2026-05-27 17:58
MyBookie.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.88%E -6.43%K -98.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +10.24%E +1.21%K +1.37%G +0.140%5.2%2026-05-27 18:00
Coral1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.88%E -6.43%K -98.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +10.24%E +1.21%K +1.37%G +0.140%5.2%2026-05-27 18:00
Betr (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.62%E -8.21%K -172.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +10.24%E +1.21%K +1.37%G +0.140%7.0%2026-05-27 18:00
NetBet (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -7.75%E -7.31%K -129.13%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV +7.00%E +0.849%K +0.966%G +0.068%6.5%2026-05-27 17:55
Fanatics1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.01%E -5.56%K -75.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.76%E +0.470%K +0.537%G +0.020%5.1%2026-05-27 17:59
William Hill1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.88%E -6.43%K -98.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.76%E +0.470%K +0.537%G +0.020%6.0%2026-05-27 17:52
theScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.88%E -6.43%K -98.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.76%E +0.470%K +0.537%G +0.020%6.0%2026-05-27 17:59
Betclic (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.75%E -7.31%K -129.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.76%E +0.470%K +0.537%G +0.020%6.8%2026-05-27 17:58
Bally Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.75%E -7.31%K -129.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.76%E +0.470%K +0.537%G +0.020%6.8%2026-05-27 17:59
Winamax (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -8.62%E -8.21%K -172.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +3.76%E +0.470%K +0.537%G +0.020%7.7%2026-05-27 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.14%E -4.71%K -57.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.73%E -0.364%K -0.419%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 17:52
Neds1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.14%E -4.71%K -57.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.73%E -0.364%K -0.419%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 17:53
Unibet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.01%E -5.56%K -75.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.73%E -0.364%K -0.419%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 18:00
Unibet (NL)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.01%E -5.56%K -75.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.73%E -0.364%K -0.419%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 18:00
Unibet (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.01%E -5.56%K -75.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.73%E -0.364%K -0.419%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 18:00
PlayUp1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.14%E -4.71%K -57.08%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -5.97%E -0.823%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 17:57
Pinnacle1.10I 90.91%NM 86.67%EV -4.27%E -3.88%K -42.67%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.33%EV -7.27%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 17:57
Bovada1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.40%E -3.06%K -30.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -9.21%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 18:00
Casumo1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.14%E -4.71%K -57.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.21%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 18:00
ATG (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.14%E -4.71%K -57.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.21%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 18:00
Svenska Spel1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.14%E -4.71%K -57.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.21%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 18:00
betPARX1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.14%E -4.71%K -57.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.21%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 18:00
Hard Rock Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.14%E -4.71%K -57.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.21%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.01%E -5.56%K -75.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.21%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 18:00
BetMGM1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.01%E -5.56%K -75.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.21%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 18:00
Caesars1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.01%E -5.56%K -75.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.21%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 17:58
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.01%E -5.56%K -75.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.21%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.01%E -5.56%K -75.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.21%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 18:00
Grosvenor1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.88%E -6.43%K -98.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.21%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-27 18:00
Virgin Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.88%E -6.43%K -98.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.21%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-27 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.88%E -6.43%K -98.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.21%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-27 18:00
BetAnything1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -4.27%E -3.88%K -42.67%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -9.86%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 17:49
Betsson1.07I 93.46%NM 86.52%EV -6.88%E -6.43%K -98.25%G +0.000%6.87I 14.56%NM 13.48%EV -10.90%E -1.59%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 17:59
Fliff1.06I 94.34%NM 86.60%EV -7.75%E -7.31%K -129.13%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.40%EV -11.16%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-27 18:00
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.91%EV -2.53%E -2.26%K -21.05%G +0.000%6.83I 14.64%NM 14.09%EV -11.42%E -1.67%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 18:00
Coolbet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.27%E -3.88%K -42.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.45%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 86.43%EV -7.75%E -7.31%K -129.13%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -12.45%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-27 18:00
888sport1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.27%E -3.88%K -42.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.70%E -2.41%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.27%E -3.88%K -42.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.70%E -2.41%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 18:00
TABtouch1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.14%E -4.71%K -57.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -15.70%E -2.41%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 18:00
PointsBet (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.14%E -4.71%K -57.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -15.70%E -2.41%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 18:00
Betway1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.01%E -5.56%K -75.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -15.70%E -2.41%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 18:00
LeoVegas1.07I 93.46%NM 85.68%EV -6.88%E -6.43%K -98.25%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.32%EV -16.99%E -2.66%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-27 18:00
PMU (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 86.02%EV -9.49%E -9.12%K -237.21%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.98%EV -16.99%E -2.66%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-27 18:00
NordicBet1.08I 92.59%NM 85.33%EV -6.01%E -5.56%K -75.09%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 14.67%EV -18.55%E -2.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-27 18:00
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.40%E -3.06%K -30.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -22.18%E -3.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 18:00
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.40%E -3.06%K -30.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -22.18%E -3.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 18:00
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.27%E -3.88%K -42.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -22.18%E -3.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 17:59
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -1.66%E -1.47%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -28.67%E -5.21%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 18:00
Winamax (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 82.54%EV -4.27%E -3.88%K -42.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -32.56%E -6.26%K -7.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-27 18:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-05-27 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-05-27 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-05-27 18:00
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.2%2026-05-27 18:00
Matchbook1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-05-27 18:00
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 85.75%6.62I 15.11%NM 14.25%6.0%2026-05-27 18:00