L’École des cotes

Mirra Andreeva v Marie Bouzkova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-29 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mirra Andreeva (Local)

Prévision 83.40%1.20cote équitable
EV +0.080%
Avantage +0.067%
Kelly +0.402%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.95%83.19%83.58%84.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.111.141.141.2090.09%87.48%87.72%83.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Marie Bouzkova (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.60%6.02cote équitable
EV +4.58%
Avantage +0.727%
Kelly +0.864%
Croissance +0.040%

avec la cote maximale 6.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.09%16.81%16.42%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.635.806.3022.22%17.77%17.24%15.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -6.59%E -5.89%K -54.93%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +4.58%E +0.727%K +0.864%G +0.040%5.2%2026-05-28 15:19
Codere (IT)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV +2.92%E +0.471%K +0.561%G +0.016%3.8%2026-05-28 23:19
Tipico (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -7.43%E -6.69%K -67.51%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +2.92%E +0.471%K +0.561%G +0.016%6.2%2026-05-28 07:09
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.76%E -5.10%K -44.29%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV +1.26%E +0.206%K +0.247%G +0.003%4.9%2026-05-28 09:10
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +0.428%E +0.071%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-29 11:49
Winamax (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.09%E -3.56%K -27.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -0.402%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-29 07:10
Bovada1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.76%E -5.10%K -44.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.402%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 11:48
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.59%E -5.89%K -54.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.402%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 04:58
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.59%E -5.89%K -54.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.402%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 03:49
Betclic (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.59%E -5.89%K -54.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.402%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 11:39
LowVig.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -1.07%E -0.179%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-29 11:49
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -1.07%E -0.179%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-29 11:50
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 83.66%EV -3.26%E -2.81%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 16.34%EV -1.40%E -0.235%K -0.283%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 10:20
GTbets1.18I 84.75%NM 83.19%EV -1.59%E -1.35%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.81%EV -3.06%E -0.524%K -0.632%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-28 08:09
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:09
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:09
Grosvenor1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:09
Unibet (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:09
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:09
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:09
Casumo1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:09
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:09
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:09
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:09
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:09
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:09
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.76%E -5.10%K -44.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 07:09
Marathon Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.76%E -5.10%K -44.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 10:49
NetBet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.76%E -5.10%K -44.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -3.72%E -0.642%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 10:19
Hard Rock Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.55%E -0.792%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 17:09
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.76%E -5.10%K -44.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.55%E -0.792%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 23:19
BetAnything1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.76%E -5.10%K -44.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.55%E -0.792%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 11:49
Coolbet1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -2.42%E -2.07%K -14.25%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV -5.38%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 11:49
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 82.93%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%5.54I 18.05%NM 17.07%EV -8.04%E -1.45%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 11:49
Bet Right1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.09%E -3.56%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.70%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 11:49
PMU (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.70%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 11:49
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.70%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 11:49
Betway1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.70%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 10:10
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.70%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 11:49
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.70%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 23:19
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.70%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 02:49
BetMGM1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.70%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 09:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.76%E -5.10%K -44.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.70%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 11:10
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.76%E -5.10%K -44.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.70%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 11:48
Coral1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.76%E -5.10%K -44.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.70%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 09:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.76%E -5.10%K -44.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.70%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 09:19
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.09%E -3.56%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -10.36%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 09:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.09%E -3.56%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -10.36%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 09:20
PlayUp1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.26%E -2.81%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -12.85%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 10:09
Betr (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.09%E -3.56%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.85%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 11:49
PointsBet (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.09%E -3.56%K -27.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.85%E -2.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 11:49
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.92%E -4.32%K -35.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 02:27
Bet Victor1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.76%E -5.10%K -44.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -17.00%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-28 08:48
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV +0.080%E +0.067%K +0.402%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -25.30%E -5.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 11:49
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV +0.080%E +0.067%K +0.402%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -25.30%E -5.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 11:49
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV +0.080%E +0.067%K +0.402%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -25.30%E -5.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 11:49
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV +0.080%E +0.067%K +0.402%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -25.30%E -5.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 11:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-05-29 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-05-29 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-05-29 11:39
Matchbook1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-05-29 10:09
Novig1.16I 86.21%NM 84.09%6.13I 16.31%NM 15.91%2.5%2026-05-29 11:49
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%2.6%2026-05-29 11:39