La escuela de los momios

Mirra Andreeva v Jil Teichmann

Inicio: 2026-05-31 15:35 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Mirra Andreeva (Local)

Predicción 86.84%1.15momio equitativo
EV -1.00%
Ventaja -0.881%
Kelly -7.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.83%86.65%86.93%89.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.071.101.101.1493.46%90.97%90.91%87.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jil Teichmann (Visitante)

Predicción 13.16%7.60momio equitativo
EV +18.45%
Ventaja +2.05%
Kelly +2.31%
Crecimiento +0.426%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.71%13.35%13.07%17.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.507.017.009.0018.18%14.27%14.29%11.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +18.45%E +2.05%K +2.31%G +0.426%3.7%2026-05-31 15:29
Pinnacle1.10I 90.91%NM 88.04%EV -4.48%E -4.07%K -44.78%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.96%EV +6.61%E +0.816%K +0.931%G +0.062%3.3%2026-05-31 15:30
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -4.48%E -4.07%K -44.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +5.29%E +0.662%K +0.756%G +0.040%3.4%2026-05-31 15:30
LowVig.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 87.56%EV -4.48%E -4.07%K -44.78%G +0.000%7.74I 12.92%NM 12.44%EV +1.87%E +0.242%K +0.278%G +0.005%3.8%2026-05-31 15:29
BetOnline.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 87.56%EV -4.48%E -4.07%K -44.78%G +0.000%7.74I 12.92%NM 12.44%EV +1.87%E +0.242%K +0.278%G +0.005%3.8%2026-05-31 15:30
Codere (IT)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -4.48%E -4.07%K -44.78%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +0.028%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 15:30
DraftKings1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -5.35%E -4.90%K -59.40%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV +0.028%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 15:30
Fanatics1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.48%E -4.07%K -44.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.29%E -0.172%K -0.198%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 15:29
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.48%E -4.07%K -44.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.29%E -0.172%K -0.198%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 15:29
Hard Rock Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.48%E -4.07%K -44.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.29%E -0.172%K -0.198%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 15:25
Winamax (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.35%E -4.90%K -59.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.29%E -0.172%K -0.198%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 15:30
Coral1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.35%E -4.90%K -59.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.29%E -0.172%K -0.198%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 15:30
Everygame1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -1.29%E -0.172%K -0.198%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 15:19
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -1.29%E -0.172%K -0.198%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 15:29
Caesars1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.08%E -6.62%K -101.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -1.29%E -0.172%K -0.198%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 15:30
MyBookie.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -5.35%E -4.90%K -59.40%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -2.60%E -0.352%K -0.407%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 15:28
Unibet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -4.48%E -4.07%K -44.78%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV -3.92%E -0.537%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 15:29
Betclic (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.48%E -4.07%K -44.78%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -4.58%E -0.632%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 15:25
Neds1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.35%E -4.90%K -59.40%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -4.58%E -0.632%K -0.733%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.35%E -4.90%K -59.40%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -4.58%E -0.632%K -0.733%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 15:30
BetMGM1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.35%E -4.90%K -59.40%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -4.58%E -0.632%K -0.733%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 15:30
NetBet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -4.58%E -0.632%K -0.733%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 15:29
NordicBet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.00%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000%7.23I 13.83%NM 13.00%EV -4.84%E -0.670%K -0.777%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 15:30
Betsson1.08I 92.59%NM 87.00%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000%7.23I 13.83%NM 13.00%EV -4.84%E -0.670%K -0.777%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 15:30
GTbets1.11I 90.09%NM 86.38%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.81%G +0.000%7.04I 14.20%NM 13.62%EV -7.34%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 15:30
BetRivers1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.48%E -4.07%K -44.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.87%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 15:28
888sport1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.48%E -4.07%K -44.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.87%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 15:30
Mr Green (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.48%E -4.07%K -44.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.87%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 15:30
888sport (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.48%E -4.07%K -44.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.87%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 15:30
PointsBet (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.35%E -4.90%K -59.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.87%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.87%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 15:30
Tipico (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -5.35%E -4.90%K -59.40%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -10.50%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 15:30
Unibet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -11.16%E -1.65%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -11.16%E -1.65%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 15:30
Casumo1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -11.16%E -1.65%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -11.16%E -1.65%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 15:30
Grosvenor1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -11.16%E -1.65%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 15:30
Unibet (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -11.16%E -1.65%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 15:30
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -11.16%E -1.65%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 15:30
Bally Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -11.16%E -1.65%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 15:30
ATG (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -11.16%E -1.65%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 15:30
Svenska Spel1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -11.16%E -1.65%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 15:30
Fliff1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.35%E -4.90%K -59.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -11.16%E -1.65%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-31 15:30
BetAnything1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.81%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -11.82%E -1.76%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 15:24
1xBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.55%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.81%G +0.000%6.57I 15.22%NM 14.45%EV -13.53%E -2.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 15:29
TABtouch1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.45%E -2.22%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 15:30
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.45%E -2.22%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 15:30
TAB1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.35%E -4.90%K -59.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -14.45%E -2.22%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 15:30
Betway1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.45%E -2.22%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-31 15:30
LiveScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.48%E -4.07%K -44.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -15.77%E -2.46%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-31 15:30
PMU (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.48%E -4.07%K -44.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -15.77%E -2.46%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-31 15:30
Virgin Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.48%E -4.07%K -44.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -15.77%E -2.46%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-31 15:30
Marathon Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -2.74%E -2.45%K -22.84%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -17.74%E -2.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 15:24
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -1.87%E -1.66%K -14.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -21.03%E -3.51%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 15:30
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -2.74%E -2.45%K -22.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -21.03%E -3.51%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 15:29
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.48%E -4.07%K -44.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -21.03%E -3.51%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 15:26
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -1.00%E -0.881%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -27.61%E -5.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 15:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-05-31 15:30
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 88.86%8.93I 11.20%NM 11.14%0.5%2026-05-31 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-05-31 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-05-31 15:30
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-05-31 15:30
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%1.5%2026-05-31 15:30