L’École des cotes

Mirra Andreeva v Fiona Ferro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 15:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mirra Andreeva (Local)

Prévision 94.00%1.06cote équitable
EV -0.360%
Avantage -0.340%
Kelly -6.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
89.73%94.00%94.01%97.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.001.021.021.06100.00%97.99%98.04%94.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Fiona Ferro (Visiteur)

Prévision 6.00%16.67cote équitable
EV +164.00%
Avantage +3.73%
Kelly +3.81%
Croissance +6.25%

avec la cote maximale 44.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
2.22%6.00%5.99%10.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
9.0015.7613.0044.0011.11%6.35%7.69%2.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.00I 100.00%NM 97.78%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000%44.00I 2.27%NM 2.22%EV +164.00%E +3.73%K +3.81%G +6.25%2.3%2026-05-24 14:50
Winamax (FR)1.00I 100.00%NM 96.97%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.03%EV +92.00%E +2.87%K +2.97%G +2.73%3.1%2026-05-24 14:50
Winamax (DE)1.00I 100.00%NM 96.97%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.03%EV +92.00%E +2.87%K +2.97%G +2.73%3.1%2026-05-24 14:50
Coral1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.00%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +56.00%E +2.15%K +2.24%G +1.25%2.9%2026-05-24 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.00%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +56.00%E +2.15%K +2.24%G +1.25%2.9%2026-05-24 14:50
BoyleSports1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.00%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +56.00%E +2.15%K +2.24%G +1.25%2.9%2026-05-24 14:50
theScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.00%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +56.00%E +2.15%K +2.24%G +1.25%2.9%2026-05-24 14:40
Betclic (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.00%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +50.00%E +2.00%K +2.08%G +1.04%3.0%2026-05-24 14:50
BetMGM1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.00%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +26.00%E +1.24%K +1.30%G +0.338%3.8%2026-05-24 14:50
Bovada1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +26.00%E +1.24%K +1.30%G +0.338%4.8%2026-05-24 14:48
Fanatics1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.00%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +14.00%E +0.737%K +0.778%G +0.109%4.3%2026-05-24 14:50
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -6.00%E -6.00%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +14.00%E +0.737%K +0.778%G +0.109%5.3%2026-05-24 14:50
Betway1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.00%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +2.00%E +0.118%K +0.125%G +0.002%4.9%2026-05-24 14:40
Unibet (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.00%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +2.00%E +0.118%K +0.125%G +0.002%4.9%2026-05-24 14:49
Coolbet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.00%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +2.00%E +0.118%K +0.125%G +0.002%4.9%2026-05-24 14:39
Hard Rock Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.00%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +2.00%E +0.118%K +0.125%G +0.002%4.9%2026-05-24 14:50
FanDuel1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.00%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -4.00%E -0.250%K -0.267%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 14:50
888sport1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -10.00%E -0.667%K -0.714%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 14:40
William Hill1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -10.00%E -0.667%K -0.714%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 14:40
Mr Green (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -10.00%E -0.667%K -0.714%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 14:40
888sport (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -10.00%E -0.667%K -0.714%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 14:40
Betsson1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -10.00%E -0.667%K -0.714%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 14:50
Unibet (NL)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.00%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -16.00%E -1.14%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 14:40
Svenska Spel1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.00%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -16.00%E -1.14%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 14:40
ATG (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.00%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -16.00%E -1.14%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 14:40
Pinnacle1.04I 96.15%NM 92.94%EV -2.24%E -2.15%K -56.00%G +0.000%13.69I 7.30%NM 7.06%EV -17.86%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-24 14:40
Bet Right1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.18%E -3.09%K -106.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -22.00%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 14:35
Unibet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.18%E -3.09%K -106.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -22.00%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 14:40
betPARX1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.18%E -3.09%K -106.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -22.00%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 14:40
LiveScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -22.00%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 14:42
Paddy Power1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -22.00%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 14:50
Caesars1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -22.00%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 14:49
NetBet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -22.00%E -1.69%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 14:36
BetOnline.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 92.57%EV -2.24%E -2.15%K -56.00%G +0.000%12.96I 7.72%NM 7.43%EV -22.24%E -1.72%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 14:30
LowVig.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 92.57%EV -2.24%E -2.15%K -56.00%G +0.000%12.96I 7.72%NM 7.43%EV -22.24%E -1.72%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 14:30
1xBet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -3.18%E -3.09%K -106.00%G +0.000%12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV -22.60%E -1.75%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 14:24
Unibet (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -2.24%E -2.15%K -56.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -25.00%E -2.00%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 14:30
Neds1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -25.00%E -2.00%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -25.00%E -2.00%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 14:30
Virgin Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -25.00%E -2.00%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 14:41
GTbets1.06I 94.34%NM 92.02%EV -0.360%E -0.340%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.22I 8.18%NM 7.98%EV -26.68%E -2.18%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-24 14:29
Codere (IT)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.24%E -2.15%K -56.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -28.00%E -2.33%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 14:30
Grosvenor1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -28.00%E -2.33%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 14:40
Bet Victor1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -28.00%E -2.33%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 14:49
Bally Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -28.00%E -2.33%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 14:40
BetAnything1.04I 96.15%NM 91.93%EV -2.24%E -2.15%K -56.00%G +0.000%11.85I 8.44%NM 8.07%EV -28.90%E -2.44%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 14:29
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.00%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -31.00%E -2.70%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 14:39
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.18%E -3.09%K -106.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -34.00%E -3.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 14:30
Betr (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -34.00%E -3.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 14:36
TAB1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.12%E -4.04%K -206.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -34.00%E -3.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -5.06%E -5.01%K -506.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -34.00%E -3.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 14:40
TABtouch1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -1.30%E -1.24%K -26.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -37.00%E -3.52%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 14:30
Casumo1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -1.30%E -1.24%K -26.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -37.00%E -3.52%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 14:30
Everygame1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -2.24%E -2.15%K -56.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -40.00%E -4.00%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 14:24
Marathon Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.14%EV -1.30%E -1.24%K -26.00%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.86%EV -42.40%E -4.42%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 14:24
PMU (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -2.24%E -2.15%K -56.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -43.00%E -4.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 14:30
Tipico (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -3.18%E -3.09%K -106.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -46.00%E -5.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 14:36
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.24%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.76%0.8%2026-05-24 14:50
Matchbook1.02I 98.04%NM 97.24%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.76%0.8%2026-05-24 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 96.91%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.09%1.2%2026-05-24 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 96.91%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.09%1.2%2026-05-24 14:50
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 96.71%30.03I 3.33%NM 3.29%1.4%2026-05-24 14:50
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 95.33%20.41I 4.90%NM 4.67%4.9%2026-05-24 14:50