A Escola das Odds

Marta Kostyuk v Iga Swiatek

Início: 2026-05-31 09:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Previsão 29.47%3.39odd justa
EV +6.10%
Vantagem +1.69%
Kelly +2.35%
Crescimento +0.143%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.68%29.41%29.44%31.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.253.253.6033.33%30.80%30.77%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Iga Swiatek (Visitante)

Previsão 70.53%1.42odd justa
EV -1.97%
Vantagem -1.41%
Kelly -5.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.62%70.59%70.56%73.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.311.341.341.3976.34%74.48%74.63%71.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +6.10%E +1.69%K +2.35%G +0.143%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -7.61%E -5.81%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 08:48
Pinnacle3.54I 28.25%NM 27.61%EV +4.33%E +1.22%K +1.71%G +0.074%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.39%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-31 08:51
Betclic (FR)3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV +4.04%E +1.14%K +1.60%G +0.064%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -7.61%E -5.81%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 08:50
LowVig.ag3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV +0.794%E +0.232%K +0.328%G +0.003%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:41
BetOnline.ag3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV +0.794%E +0.232%K +0.328%G +0.003%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:40
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV +0.205%E +0.060%K +0.085%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-31 08:40
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.205%E +0.060%K +0.085%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 07:50
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.205%E +0.060%K +0.085%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 08:40
Unibet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -1.27%E -0.379%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.38%E -2.46%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-31 08:40
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.27%E -0.379%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 07:50
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.27%E -0.379%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 07:50
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.27%E -0.379%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 07:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.27%E -0.379%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 07:50
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.27%E -0.379%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 07:50
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.27%E -0.379%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 07:50
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.27%E -0.379%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 07:50
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.27%E -0.379%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 07:50
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.27%E -0.379%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 07:50
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.27%E -0.379%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 07:50
Bally Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.27%E -0.379%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 07:50
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.27%E -0.379%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 07:50
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.38%E -2.46%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-31 08:41
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-31 08:41
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 07:50
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 08:40
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.90%E -5.23%K -21.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 07:50
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.90%E -5.23%K -21.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 07:50
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.90%E -5.23%K -21.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 07:50
NetBet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.90%E -5.23%K -21.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 08:50
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.90%E -5.23%K -21.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 08:40
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 08:40
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 08:40
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 08:10
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 08:40
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 08:41
SportsBet3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -4.81%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 08:26
DraftKings3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -5.10%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-31 08:40
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 08:20
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 08:40
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 05:10
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 23:10
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 08:30
Fanatics3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.16%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 08:41
Fliff3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.16%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 08:10
GTbets3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -7.16%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -7.61%E -5.81%K -24.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 03:40
Betsson3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -7.46%E -2.38%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-31 08:40
NordicBet3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -7.46%E -2.38%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-31 08:40
MyBookie.ag3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -7.75%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -3.38%E -2.46%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 08:50
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 21:49
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 21:49
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 04:40
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 04:40
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 01:01
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 01:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-31 01:10
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-29 18:59
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -9.23%E -3.00%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -3.38%E -2.46%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 08:29
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.11%E -3.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.67%E -1.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.11%E -3.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.67%E -1.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 18:40
1xBet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -10.40%E -3.42%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -1.97%E -1.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 08:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.58%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 05:10
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.58%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 05:21
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.58%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 08:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-05-31 08:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-05-31 08:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-05-31 08:51
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-05-31 08:50
Novig3.58I 27.93%NM 27.53%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.47%1.5%2026-05-31 08:50
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15%2.0%2026-05-31 08:50