La escuela de los momios

Maria Sakkari v Maja Chwalinska

Inicio: 2026-05-30 09:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Maria Sakkari (Local)

Predicción 44.25%2.26momio equitativo
EV -1.33%
Ventaja -0.595%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.82%44.25%44.30%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.2350.00%46.44%46.51%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Maja Chwalinska (Visitante)

Predicción 55.75%1.79momio equitativo
EV +0.353%
Ventaja +0.196%
Kelly +0.442%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%55.75%55.70%57.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.701.701.8062.11%58.84%58.82%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.50%E -5.75%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.353%E +0.196%K +0.442%G +0.002%5.6%2026-05-29 21:08
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -10.18%E -5.01%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -0.204%E -0.114%K -0.258%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 05:39
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.21%E -1.00%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-30 08:00
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.65%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-30 08:50
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 08:10
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.19%E -2.92%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 08:50
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.55%E -2.05%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 08:10
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.55%E -2.05%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 08:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.55%E -2.05%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 16:19
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.55%E -2.05%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 08:59
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 08:30
MyBookie.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.31%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 08:08
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.19%E -2.92%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 07:30
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.65%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 07:40
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 02:09
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 08:10
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 07:39
DraftKings2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.19%E -2.92%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 07:29
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.19%E -2.92%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 07:40
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 08:00
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 08:00
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 07:59
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 08:00
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 08:00
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 08:00
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 08:00
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 08:00
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 08:00
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 08:00
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 08:00
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.98%E -1.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 08:00
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 08:50
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 07:30
PointsBet (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.19%E -2.92%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 08:20
Betsson2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -6.64%E -3.15%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 08:00
NordicBet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -6.64%E -3.15%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 08:10
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 07:30
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 08:10
LowVig.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.33%E -0.595%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.78%E -3.42%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 07:30
BetOnline.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.33%E -0.595%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.78%E -3.42%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 07:30
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.65%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.78%E -3.42%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 07:59
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.78%E -3.42%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 09:50
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 08:50
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 08:00
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 08:00
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 08:00
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 08:46
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.65%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 08:50
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.65%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 08:50
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.65%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 08:50
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.65%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 08:50
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.65%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 08:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.65%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 08:50
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 08:10
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 07:00
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 00:30
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 08:50
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.65%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 08:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 08:50
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -10.24%E -6.36%K -16.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 08:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%0.3%2026-05-30 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-05-30 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-05-30 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-05-30 08:50
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.4%2026-05-30 08:50
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%2.6%2026-05-30 08:50