La escuela de los momios

Liudmila Samsonova v Jil Teichmann

Inicio: 2026-05-25 09:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Liudmila Samsonova (Local)

Predicción 74.03%1.35momio equitativo
EV -0.796%
Ventaja -0.594%
Kelly -2.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.59%73.94%74.22%75.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.291.291.3480.00%77.78%77.52%74.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jil Teichmann (Visitante)

Predicción 25.97%3.85momio equitativo
EV +3.35%
Ventaja +0.842%
Kelly +1.12%
Crecimiento +0.038%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.05%26.06%25.78%28.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.633.603.9830.77%27.53%27.78%25.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -6.72%E -5.33%K -25.84%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV +3.35%E +0.842%K +1.12%G +0.038%4.5%2026-05-25 08:50
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -6.72%E -5.33%K -25.84%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV +3.35%E +0.842%K +1.12%G +0.038%4.5%2026-05-25 08:50
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -7.46%E -5.97%K -29.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV +1.27%E +0.326%K +0.439%G +0.006%5.6%2026-05-25 08:47
GTbets1.30I 76.92%NM 74.85%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.15%EV +0.494%E +0.128%K +0.172%G +0.001%2.8%2026-05-24 22:40
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.98%E -4.71%K -22.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -0.026%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 08:20
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -7.46%E -5.97%K -29.84%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -0.545%E -0.142%K -0.193%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 18:51
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -7.46%E -5.97%K -29.84%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -0.545%E -0.142%K -0.193%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 11:10
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36%EV -3.02%E -2.30%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%EV -1.32%E -0.348%K -0.473%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-25 08:50
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.32%E -0.348%K -0.473%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 10:40
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.50%E -3.49%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.32%E -0.348%K -0.473%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 21:30
TAB1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.46%E -5.97%K -29.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.32%E -0.348%K -0.473%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 08:50
BetAnything1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -5.98%E -4.71%K -22.14%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -1.84%E -0.488%K -0.663%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 08:50
Codere (IT)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.50%E -3.49%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.62%E -0.699%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 21:30
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.72%E -5.33%K -25.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.62%E -0.699%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 08:50
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.46%E -5.97%K -29.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.62%E -0.699%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 00:19
MyBookie.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.50%E -3.49%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 21:29
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.24%E -4.09%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.24%E -4.09%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 19:39
theScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.98%E -4.71%K -22.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 21:30
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.98%E -4.71%K -22.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 12:40
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.98%E -4.71%K -22.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 11:19
NetBet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.72%E -5.33%K -25.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 23:19
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.46%E -5.97%K -29.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.46%E -5.97%K -29.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 19:39
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.50%E -3.49%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 21:30
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.24%E -4.09%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 21:30
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.98%E -4.71%K -22.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 16:30
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.02%E -2.30%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-21 21:39
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.02%E -2.30%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 08:50
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.50%E -3.49%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 08:50
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.24%E -4.09%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 03:10
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.72%E -5.33%K -25.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 10:46
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -4.50%E -3.49%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -7.04%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 04:10
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV -0.796%E -0.594%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV -7.30%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-25 08:30
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 08:50
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.24%E -4.09%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 23:09
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 08:50
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 08:50
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 08:50
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 08:50
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.50%E -3.49%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 10:40
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.50%E -3.49%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 08:50
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.50%E -3.49%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 02:20
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.50%E -3.49%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 02:20
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.50%E -3.49%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 02:10
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -3.02%E -2.30%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -10.67%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 08:29
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 20:00
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.50%E -3.49%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.61%E -4.80%K -6.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 08:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-05-25 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-05-25 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-05-25 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-05-25 08:50
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-05-25 08:50
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.1%2026-05-25 08:50