La escuela de los momios

Katie Volynets v Clara Burel

Inicio: 2026-05-24 11:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Katie Volynets (Local)

Predicción 79.24%1.26momio equitativo
EV -3.32%
Ventaja -2.72%
Kelly -15.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.78%79.25%79.22%80.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.201.201.2285.47%83.51%83.33%81.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Clara Burel (Visitante)

Predicción 20.76%4.82momio equitativo
EV +2.75%
Ventaja +0.556%
Kelly +0.696%
Crecimiento +0.019%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.12%20.75%20.78%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.564.604.9523.81%21.94%21.74%20.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Marathon Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.88%EV -7.29%E -6.23%K -42.86%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.12%EV +2.75%E +0.556%K +0.696%G +0.019%5.7%2026-05-24 10:40
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.12%E -3.40%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +1.71%E +0.349%K +0.439%G +0.008%3.1%2026-05-24 10:40
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.12%E -3.40%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +1.71%E +0.349%K +0.439%G +0.008%3.1%2026-05-24 10:50
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.70%E -4.79%K -30.01%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +0.674%E +0.139%K +0.175%G +0.001%4.7%2026-05-24 10:50
Codere (IT)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -0.364%E -0.076%K -0.096%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 09:00
Pinnacle1.22I 81.97%NM 79.46%EV -3.32%E -2.72%K -15.11%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.54%EV -2.02%E -0.429%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 08:50
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 79.66%EV -5.70%E -4.79%K -30.01%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.34%EV -3.27%E -0.702%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 15:30
Fanatics1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.70%E -4.79%K -30.01%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -3.48%E -0.748%K -0.953%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 10:50
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -4.12%E -3.40%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -4.31%E -0.934%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 09:00
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -4.12%E -3.40%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -4.31%E -0.934%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 09:00
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.12%E -3.40%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 03:20
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 05:00
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
Casumo1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
Bally Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 20:40
MyBookie.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 08:58
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 03:50
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.70%E -4.79%K -30.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 07:59
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.49%E -5.50%K -36.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.49%E -5.50%K -36.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 10:50
Tipico (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.49%E -5.50%K -36.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 09:00
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.32%E -2.72%K -15.11%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -5.55%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 09:00
Betr (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.70%E -4.79%K -30.01%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -5.55%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 10:40
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.12%E -3.40%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -5.76%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 10:39
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.32%E -2.72%K -15.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -6.59%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 10:40
Betclic (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.32%E -2.72%K -15.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -6.59%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 10:19
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.59%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 10:50
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.59%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.59%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 19:39
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.59%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 21:39
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.59%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 06:40
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.59%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 17:59
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.59%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 07:20
PointsBet (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.70%E -4.79%K -30.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.59%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 19:40
NetBet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.70%E -4.79%K -30.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.59%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 10:29
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.49%E -5.50%K -36.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.59%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 10:50
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.29%E -6.23%K -42.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.59%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 10:50
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.29%E -6.23%K -42.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.59%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 10:50
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.29%E -6.23%K -42.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.59%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 10:50
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.01%EV -5.70%E -4.79%K -30.01%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 20.99%EV -7.01%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 10:50
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 79.01%EV -5.70%E -4.79%K -30.01%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 20.99%EV -7.01%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 10:50
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -7.63%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 09:00
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.67%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 09:10
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.67%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 09:10
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.67%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 09:10
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.67%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 08:50
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.32%E -2.72%K -15.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -9.70%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 09:10
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.49%E -5.50%K -36.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -10.12%E -2.34%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 10:29
Caesars1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.82%E -3.05%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 10:46
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.82%E -3.05%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 22:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-05-24 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-05-24 10:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-05-24 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-05-24 10:40
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%2.6%2026-05-24 10:40
Novig1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%4.3%2026-05-24 10:50