La escuela de los momios

Kamilla Rakhimova v Jaqueline Cristian

Inicio: 2026-05-25 15:44 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kamilla Rakhimova (Local)

Predicción 26.90%3.72momio equitativo
EV +0.860%
Ventaja +0.229%
Kelly +0.313%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.00%26.90%26.95%28.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.513.503.7530.77%28.49%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jaqueline Cristian (Visitante)

Predicción 73.10%1.37momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -2.08%
Kelly -8.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.58%73.10%73.05%75.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.211.291.291.3382.64%77.80%77.52%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.860%E +0.229%K +0.313%G +0.003%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.62%E -6.90%K -34.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 15:40
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -1.83%E -0.501%K -0.690%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.16%E -5.64%K -26.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 15:40
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -1.83%E -0.501%K -0.690%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.16%E -5.64%K -26.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 15:40
betPARX3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -1.83%E -0.501%K -0.690%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.16%E -5.64%K -26.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 15:40
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -1.83%E -0.501%K -0.690%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.16%E -5.64%K -26.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 15:40
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -1.83%E -0.501%K -0.690%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.16%E -5.64%K -26.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 15:40
SportsBet3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -2.37%E -0.652%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -5.70%E -4.42%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 14:57
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.17%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.77%E -2.08%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 15:30
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.17%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.23%E -3.23%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 15:28
Codere (IT)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.17%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.23%E -3.23%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 08:00
Unibet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.17%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.70%E -4.42%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 05:40
TABtouch3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.17%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.70%E -4.42%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 05:40
Casumo3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.17%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.70%E -4.42%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 05:40
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.17%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.70%E -4.42%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 05:41
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.17%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.70%E -4.42%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 15:40
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.17%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.70%E -4.42%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 11:20
GTbets3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.17%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.43%E -5.02%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 18:00
Hard Rock Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.17%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.16%E -5.64%K -26.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 15:40
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.17%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.16%E -5.64%K -26.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 15:40
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.17%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.89%E -6.26%K -30.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 10:46
Pinnacle3.59I 27.86%NM 27.03%EV -3.44%E -0.959%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.97%EV -2.77%E -2.08%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 15:10
DraftKings3.59I 27.86%NM 26.43%EV -3.44%E -0.959%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.57%EV -5.70%E -4.42%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 15:40
Unibet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.52%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.96%E -3.82%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 09:49
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.52%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.96%E -3.82%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 12:10
NetBet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.52%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.43%E -5.02%K -22.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 09:00
LowVig.ag3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -4.79%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -4.23%E -3.23%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 14:50
BetOnline.ag3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -4.79%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -4.23%E -3.23%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 14:50
1xBet3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.23%E -3.23%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 15:30
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.82%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 04:29
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.82%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 04:30
Marathon Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.82%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 15:34
MyBookie.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.82%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 07:59
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.96%E -3.82%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 15:00
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.70%E -4.42%K -19.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 15:30
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.70%E -4.42%K -19.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 15:40
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.70%E -4.42%K -19.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 20:10
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -7.89%E -6.26%K -30.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 15:40
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -7.89%E -6.26%K -30.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 15:40
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -7.89%E -6.26%K -30.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 15:40
Bally Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -7.89%E -6.26%K -30.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 15:40
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -7.89%E -6.26%K -30.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 15:40
LeoVegas3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.62%E -6.90%K -34.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 15:40
BetAnything3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.23%E -3.23%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 15:10
Betr (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.96%E -3.82%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 15:10
PointsBet (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.96%E -3.82%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 15:10
Fanatics3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.96%E -3.82%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.56%EV -9.35%E -7.54%K -38.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-25 15:40
Betsson3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -7.75%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.70%E -4.42%K -19.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 09:09
NordicBet3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -7.75%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.70%E -4.42%K -19.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 09:43
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.77%E -2.08%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 14:10
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.96%E -3.82%K -16.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 15:40
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.96%E -3.82%K -16.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 15:40
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.96%E -3.82%K -16.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 13:20
TAB3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.96%E -3.82%K -16.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.96%E -3.82%K -16.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 15:00
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.43%E -5.02%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.43%E -5.02%K -22.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 15:40
Fliff3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.89%E -6.26%K -30.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 15:40
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -8.62%E -6.90%K -34.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 15:40
PMU (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -9.90%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 73.46%EV -11.54%E -9.54%K -54.97%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-25 15:40
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.23%E -3.23%K -13.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 15:40
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.59%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.70%E -4.42%K -19.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 15:38
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -12.59%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54%EV -10.08%E -8.20%K -43.83%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-25 15:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-05-25 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-05-25 15:40
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%1.3%2026-05-25 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%1.3%2026-05-25 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%1.3%2026-05-25 15:40
Novig3.72I 26.88%NM 26.48%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.52%1.5%2026-05-25 15:40