Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jil Teichmann v Karolina Muchova

Início: 2026-05-29 12:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jil Teichmann (Local)

Previsão 14.15%7.07odd justa
EV +6.11%
Vantagem +0.815%
Kelly +0.940%
Crescimento +0.057%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.79%14.26%14.07%16.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.506.596.587.5018.18%15.18%15.20%13.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Karolina Muchova (Visitante)

Previsão 85.85%1.16odd justa
EV -2.99%
Vantagem -2.64%
Kelly -22.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
83.08%85.74%85.93%87.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.081.111.111.1392.59%90.10%90.09%88.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jil Teichmann (Local): 14.15%; Karolina Muchova (Visitante): 85.85%. Para Jil Teichmann (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.07. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.11%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +6.11%E +0.815%K +0.940%G +0.057%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.56%E -5.06%K -55.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-29 11:59
Winamax (DE)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +2.57%E +0.355%K +0.412%G +0.011%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 12:00
Betclic (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV +2.57%E +0.355%K +0.412%G +0.011%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -7.28%E -6.74%K -91.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 11:59
Tipico (DE)🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV +1.86%E +0.259%K +0.301%G +0.006%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -7.28%E -6.74%K -91.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 11:59
Pinnacle🎯7.03I 14.22%NM 13.74%EV -0.541%E -0.077%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.26%EV -3.85%E -3.43%K -32.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-29 11:59
1xBet🎯7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -0.541%E -0.077%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.56%E -5.06%K -55.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 12:00
Coolbet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV -0.965%E -0.138%K -0.161%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -2.99%E -2.64%K -22.98%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-29 11:59
Fanatics🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.965%E -0.138%K -0.161%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 11:59
Codere (IT)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.965%E -0.138%K -0.161%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 11:56
Winamax (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.965%E -0.138%K -0.161%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 11:59
LowVig.ag🎯6.93I 14.43%NM 13.81%EV -1.96%E -0.282%K -0.330%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.19%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-29 12:00
BetOnline.ag🎯6.93I 14.43%NM 13.81%EV -1.96%E -0.282%K -0.330%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.19%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-29 11:59
DraftKings🎯6.84I 14.62%NM 13.85%EV -3.23%E -0.472%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.15%EV -5.56%E -5.06%K -55.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 12:00
MyBookie.ag🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -3.79%E -0.558%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 11:59
Unibet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.50%E -0.667%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 12:00
BetRivers🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.50%E -0.667%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 11:59
TABtouch🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.50%E -0.667%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.50%E -0.667%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 12:00
Grosvenor🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.50%E -0.667%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 12:00
Unibet (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.50%E -0.667%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 11:59
LeoVegas🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.50%E -0.667%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 11:59
Unibet (NL)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.50%E -0.667%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 11:59
Casumo🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.50%E -0.667%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 12:00
betPARX🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.50%E -0.667%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 11:59
ATG (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.50%E -0.667%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 11:59
Svenska Spel🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.50%E -0.667%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 11:59
Bally Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.50%E -0.667%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 12:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.50%E -0.667%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 12:00
NetBet (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -4.50%E -0.667%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.56%E -5.06%K -55.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 11:59
NordicBet🎯6.58I 15.20%NM 14.32%EV -6.91%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.68%EV -5.56%E -5.06%K -55.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 12:00
Betsson🎯6.58I 15.20%NM 14.32%EV -6.91%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.68%EV -5.56%E -5.06%K -55.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 11:59
GTbets🎯6.57I 15.22%NM 14.68%EV -7.05%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.32%EV -2.99%E -2.64%K -22.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-29 11:59
888sport🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.04%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 12:00
William Hill🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.04%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 11:59
Betway🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.04%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.04%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 12:00
888sport (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.04%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 11:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.04%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 11:59
Unibet (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.04%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.56%E -5.06%K -55.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 11:59
Caesars🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.04%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.56%E -5.06%K -55.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 11:59
Everygame🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.04%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.56%E -5.06%K -55.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 11:59
theScore Bet🎯6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -8.75%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 11:59
FanDuel🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.45%E -1.48%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.85%E -3.43%K -32.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 11:59
Virgin Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -9.45%E -1.48%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.56%E -5.06%K -55.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 12:00
LiveScore Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -9.45%E -1.48%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.56%E -5.06%K -55.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 11:59
PMU (FR)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -9.45%E -1.48%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.56%E -5.06%K -55.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 12:00
Bet Right🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -11.58%E -1.85%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.85%E -3.43%K -32.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 11:59
Marathon Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -11.58%E -1.85%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.85%E -3.43%K -32.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 12:00
Bovada🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -11.58%E -1.85%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.85%E -3.43%K -32.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -11.58%E -1.85%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.85%E -3.43%K -32.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 12:00
Neds🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -11.58%E -1.85%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.85%E -3.43%K -32.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 11:59
Betr (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -11.58%E -1.85%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 12:00
BetMGM🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -11.58%E -1.85%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 12:00
TAB🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -11.58%E -1.85%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.56%E -5.06%K -55.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 11:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -15.11%E -2.52%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.99%E -2.64%K -22.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 12:00
PlayUp🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.11%E -2.52%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.85%E -3.43%K -32.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 12:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.11%E -2.52%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.85%E -3.43%K -32.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 11:59
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.11%E -2.52%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.85%E -3.43%K -32.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 12:00
BetAnything🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.11%E -2.52%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.85%E -3.43%K -32.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 12:00
Coral🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -15.11%E -2.52%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.70%E -4.24%K -42.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 11:59
Bet Victor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -22.19%E -4.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.85%E -3.43%K -32.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 11:58
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%0.9%2026-05-29 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%0.9%2026-05-29 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%0.9%2026-05-29 12:00
Matchbook7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%0.9%2026-05-29 12:00
Novig7.09I 14.10%NM 13.85%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.15%1.8%2026-05-29 12:00
Smarkets7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.75%2.0%2026-05-29 12:00