L’École des cotes

Iva Jović v Alexandra Eala

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 10:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Iva Jović (Local)

Prévision 66.86%1.50cote équitable
EV +0.287%
Avantage +0.191%
Kelly +0.574%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.33%66.75%67.06%71.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.391.381.5076.92%72.05%72.46%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexandra Eala (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.14%3.02cote équitable
EV +12.68%
Avantage +3.73%
Kelly +5.28%
Croissance +0.670%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.12%33.25%32.94%37.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.943.003.4042.55%34.04%33.33%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -11.08%E -8.33%K -33.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +12.68%E +3.73%K +5.28%G +0.670%4.6%2026-05-26 09:19
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.39%EV -7.74%E -5.61%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61%EV +8.71%E +2.65%K +3.82%G +0.332%3.0%2026-05-26 09:10
BetAnything1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -9.07%E -6.67%K -25.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +7.71%E +2.37%K +3.43%G +0.264%4.3%2026-05-26 09:04
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -9.74%E -7.22%K -27.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +7.71%E +2.37%K +3.43%G +0.264%4.8%2026-05-26 09:20
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -9.74%E -7.22%K -27.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +7.71%E +2.37%K +3.43%G +0.264%4.8%2026-05-26 09:07
Codere (IT)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -8.40%E -6.13%K -22.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV +6.05%E +1.89%K +2.75%G +0.167%4.2%2026-05-26 08:59
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -9.07%E -6.67%K -25.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +6.05%E +1.89%K +2.75%G +0.167%4.8%2026-05-26 09:09
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -9.07%E -6.67%K -25.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +6.05%E +1.89%K +2.75%G +0.167%4.8%2026-05-26 09:14
GTbets1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -12.42%E -9.48%K -40.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV +6.05%E +1.89%K +2.75%G +0.167%7.6%2026-05-26 08:59
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -13.08%E -10.07%K -43.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +6.05%E +1.89%K +2.75%G +0.167%8.2%2026-05-26 09:20
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -9.07%E -6.67%K -25.20%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV +5.72%E +1.79%K +2.61%G +0.150%4.9%2026-05-26 08:59
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -9.07%E -6.67%K -25.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +4.40%E +1.40%K +2.05%G +0.090%5.3%2026-05-26 09:14
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -9.74%E -7.22%K -27.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +4.40%E +1.40%K +2.05%G +0.090%5.8%2026-05-26 09:00
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -10.41%E -7.77%K -30.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV +4.40%E +1.40%K +2.05%G +0.090%6.4%2026-05-26 09:20
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -10.41%E -7.77%K -30.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV +4.40%E +1.40%K +2.05%G +0.090%6.4%2026-05-26 09:20
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -10.41%E -7.77%K -30.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV +4.40%E +1.40%K +2.05%G +0.090%6.4%2026-05-26 09:20
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -9.07%E -6.67%K -25.20%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV +3.40%E +1.09%K +1.61%G +0.055%5.6%2026-05-26 08:59
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -7.07%E -5.08%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV +3.07%E +0.988%K +1.46%G +0.045%4.1%2026-05-26 09:10
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -7.07%E -5.08%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV +3.07%E +0.988%K +1.46%G +0.045%4.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.07%E -6.67%K -25.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +2.74%E +0.884%K +1.30%G +0.036%5.8%2026-05-26 08:58
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.07%E -6.67%K -25.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +2.74%E +0.884%K +1.30%G +0.036%5.8%2026-05-26 09:08
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.07%E -6.67%K -25.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +2.74%E +0.884%K +1.30%G +0.036%5.8%2026-05-26 08:58
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.07%E -6.67%K -25.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +2.74%E +0.884%K +1.30%G +0.036%5.8%2026-05-26 08:59
Neds1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.74%E -5.61%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +1.08%E +0.355%K +0.528%G +0.006%5.3%2026-05-26 09:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.74%E -5.61%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +1.08%E +0.355%K +0.528%G +0.006%5.3%2026-05-26 09:09
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -9.07%E -6.67%K -25.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV +1.08%E +0.355%K +0.528%G +0.006%6.3%2026-05-26 09:10
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.574%E -0.191%K -0.287%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 09:20
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.74%E -5.61%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.574%E -0.191%K -0.287%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 09:20
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.07%E -6.67%K -25.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.574%E -0.191%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -9.74%E -7.22%K -27.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -0.574%E -0.191%K -0.287%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -9.74%E -7.22%K -27.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -0.574%E -0.191%K -0.287%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 09:20
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.23%E -0.756%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:19
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.23%E -0.756%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:19
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.23%E -0.756%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:20
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.23%E -0.756%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:19
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.73%E -4.06%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.89%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:20
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.73%E -4.06%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.89%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:20
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.89%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 09:20
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.61%EV -8.40%E -6.13%K -22.71%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.39%EV -5.21%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 09:20
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.55%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 09:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -9.07%E -6.67%K -25.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -5.55%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 09:19
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 09:20
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 09:18
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.74%E -5.61%K -20.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 09:20
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.40%E -4.57%K -16.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 09:19
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.40%EV -11.08%E -8.33%K -33.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.60%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-26 09:19
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -3.72%E -2.59%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.45%EV -9.19%E -3.35%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 09:19
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -1.05%E -0.710%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -11.51%E -4.31%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:20
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.06%E -2.11%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -12.17%E -4.59%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 09:20
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.06%E -2.11%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -12.17%E -4.59%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 09:19
Fliff1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -7.07%E -5.08%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -12.17%E -4.59%K -7.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-26 09:19
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.72%E -2.59%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.17%E -5.03%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 09:20
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.72%E -2.59%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.17%E -5.03%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 09:20
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -3.06%E -2.11%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -13.83%E -5.32%K -8.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 09:19
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -3.06%E -2.11%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -15.49%E -6.07%K -9.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 09:20
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +0.287%E +0.191%K +0.574%G +0.002%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -17.15%E -6.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 09:20
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -1.05%E -0.710%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -17.15%E -6.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 09:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -1.05%E -0.710%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -17.15%E -6.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 09:20
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -3.06%E -2.11%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -18.80%E -7.67%K -12.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-26 09:20
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.33%EV -5.06%E -3.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.67%EV -22.12%E -9.41%K -16.38%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-26 09:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-26 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-05-26 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-05-26 09:20
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-05-26 09:20
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%8.0%2026-05-26 09:20
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 65.69%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.31%8.7%2026-05-26 09:20