La escuela de los momios

Hailey Baptiste v Xiyu Wang

Inicio: 2026-05-27 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Hailey Baptiste (Local)

Predicción 66.18%1.51momio equitativo
EV -0.733%
Ventaja -0.488%
Kelly -1.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.54%65.79%66.28%68.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.431.441.5074.07%69.90%69.44%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Xiyu Wang (Visitante)

Predicción 33.82%2.96momio equitativo
EV +1.47%
Ventaja +0.488%
Kelly +0.733%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.19%34.21%33.72%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.762.773.0041.67%36.27%36.10%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.00%E -7.35%K -27.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.47%E +0.488%K +0.733%G +0.011%6.9%2026-05-27 16:40
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.00%E -7.35%K -27.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.47%E +0.488%K +0.733%G +0.011%6.9%2026-05-27 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -10.66%E -7.90%K -30.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -0.226%E -0.076%K -0.116%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 16:40
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -10.66%E -7.90%K -30.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -0.226%E -0.076%K -0.116%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 16:40
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -7.35%E -5.25%K -18.38%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -1.24%E -0.425%K -0.646%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 16:40
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 66.44%EV -2.72%E -1.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.56%EV -1.58%E -0.542%K -0.826%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-27 16:30
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -4.70%E -3.27%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -1.58%E -0.542%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 16:29
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -4.70%E -3.27%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -1.58%E -0.542%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 16:30
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.35%E -5.25%K -18.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.92%E -0.661%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 16:40
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.35%E -5.25%K -18.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.92%E -0.661%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 16:40
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.35%E -5.25%K -18.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.92%E -0.661%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 16:40
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.04%E -2.79%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.61%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 16:10
BetAnything1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.70%E -3.27%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.61%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 16:09
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.37%E -3.75%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.61%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 16:09
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.37%E -3.75%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.61%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 16:10
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.38%EV -9.34%E -6.81%K -25.23%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.62%EV -4.28%E -1.51%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-27 16:40
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%EV -6.69%E -4.74%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -4.62%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 16:10
GTbets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.35%EV -1.39%E -0.936%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.65%EV -4.96%E -1.77%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-27 16:10
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -4.70%E -3.27%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -4.96%E -1.77%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 16:32
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -5.37%E -3.75%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -4.96%E -1.77%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 16:20
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.04%E -2.79%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.30%E -1.89%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 16:38
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.04%E -2.79%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.30%E -1.89%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 16:40
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.03%E -4.24%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.30%E -1.89%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 16:10
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.35%E -5.25%K -18.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.30%E -1.89%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 16:40
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.38%E -2.31%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -6.31%E -2.28%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 16:39
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -2.72%E -1.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.99%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 16:00
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.04%E -2.79%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.99%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 16:39
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.70%E -3.27%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.99%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 16:09
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.70%E -3.27%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.99%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 16:10
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.70%E -3.27%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.99%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 16:10
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.35%E -5.25%K -18.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.99%E -2.54%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 16:40
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.04%E -2.79%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.68%E -3.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.70%E -3.27%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.68%E -3.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 16:40
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.69%E -4.74%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -8.68%E -3.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 16:39
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.35%E -5.25%K -18.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.68%E -3.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-27 16:02
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.06%E -1.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.37%E -3.91%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 16:10
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.06%E -1.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.37%E -3.91%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 16:10
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.04%E -2.79%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.37%E -3.91%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 16:40
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.02%EV -6.03%E -4.24%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 34.98%EV -10.71%E -4.06%K -6.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-27 16:40
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.70%E -3.27%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.39%E -4.35%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 16:09
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.70%E -3.27%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.39%E -4.35%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 16:40
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.06%E -1.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -12.06%E -4.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 16:08
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.70%E -3.27%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -12.06%E -4.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 16:40
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.70%E -3.27%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -12.06%E -4.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 16:40
Fliff1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.03%E -4.24%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -12.06%E -4.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-27 16:40
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.733%E -0.488%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -15.45%E -6.18%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 16:40
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -5.37%E -3.75%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -15.45%E -6.18%K -10.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-27 16:40
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.64%EV -7.35%E -5.25%K -18.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -17.14%E -6.99%K -11.82%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-27 16:40
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -0.733%E -0.488%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -18.83%E -7.84%K -13.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-27 16:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-27 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-27 16:40
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 67.26%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.74%1.1%2026-05-27 16:40
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-05-27 16:40
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%3.5%2026-05-27 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%6.2%2026-05-27 16:40