L’École des cotes

Elina Svitolina v Tamara Korpatsch

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-29 14:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Prévision 91.38%1.09cote équitable
EV -1.31%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -16.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
87.77%91.53%91.44%95.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.011.041.031.0899.01%96.48%97.09%92.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tamara Korpatsch (Visiteur)

Prévision 8.62%11.60cote équitable
EV +89.71%
Avantage +4.08%
Kelly +4.27%
Croissance +3.83%

avec la cote maximale 22.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
4.43%8.47%8.56%12.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.7511.0111.0022.0012.90%9.09%9.09%4.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.02I 98.04%NM 95.57%EV -6.80%E -6.66%K -339.79%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.43%EV +89.71%E +4.08%K +4.27%G +3.83%2.6%2026-05-29 14:39
BoyleSports1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -5.88%E -5.71%K -196.06%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +46.60%E +2.74%K +2.91%G +1.36%3.0%2026-05-29 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.80%E -6.66%K -339.79%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +29.35%E +1.96%K +2.10%G +0.615%4.7%2026-05-29 14:39
Coolbet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.53%EV -6.80%E -6.66%K -339.79%G +0.000%14.75I 6.78%NM 6.47%EV +27.19%E +1.84%K +1.98%G +0.538%4.8%2026-05-29 14:39
Betclic (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -5.88%E -5.71%K -196.06%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +20.73%E +1.48%K +1.59%G +0.330%4.2%2026-05-29 14:40
theScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.80%E -6.66%K -339.79%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +20.73%E +1.48%K +1.59%G +0.330%5.2%2026-05-29 14:39
MyBookie.ag1.02I 98.04%NM 93.09%EV -6.80%E -6.66%K -339.79%G +0.000%13.75I 7.27%NM 6.91%EV +18.57%E +1.35%K +1.46%G +0.270%5.3%2026-05-29 14:40
Hard Rock Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.80%E -6.66%K -339.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +12.10%E +0.931%K +1.01%G +0.122%5.7%2026-05-29 14:39
Betsson1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -6.80%E -6.66%K -339.79%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV +7.79%E +0.623%K +0.677%G +0.053%6.0%2026-05-29 14:39
Unibet (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.88%E -5.71%K -196.06%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +3.48%E +0.290%K +0.316%G +0.011%5.4%2026-05-29 14:39
Unibet (NL)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.88%E -5.71%K -196.06%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +3.48%E +0.290%K +0.316%G +0.011%5.4%2026-05-29 14:39
Caesars1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.80%E -6.66%K -339.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +3.48%E +0.290%K +0.316%G +0.011%6.4%2026-05-29 14:39
888sport1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.80%E -6.66%K -339.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +3.48%E +0.290%K +0.316%G +0.011%6.4%2026-05-29 14:39
Fanatics1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.88%E -5.71%K -196.06%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -0.833%E -0.072%K -0.079%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 14:39
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.88%E -5.71%K -196.06%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -0.833%E -0.072%K -0.079%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 14:40
Codere (IT)1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.14%E -2.96%K -52.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -5.14%E -0.468%K -0.514%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-29 14:29
1xBet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.05%E -3.86%K -81.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -5.14%E -0.468%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 14:19
Coral1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.05%E -3.86%K -81.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -5.14%E -0.468%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 14:39
Bovada1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.05%E -3.86%K -81.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -5.14%E -0.468%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 14:39
FanDuel1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.97%E -4.78%K -124.20%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -5.14%E -0.468%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 14:39
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.97%E -4.78%K -124.20%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -5.14%E -0.468%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 14:39
Casumo1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.97%E -4.78%K -124.20%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -5.14%E -0.468%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 14:39
William Hill1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.97%E -4.78%K -124.20%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -5.14%E -0.468%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 14:32
ATG (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.97%E -4.78%K -124.20%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -5.14%E -0.468%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 14:39
Svenska Spel1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.97%E -4.78%K -124.20%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -5.14%E -0.468%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 14:39
betPARX1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.97%E -4.78%K -124.20%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -5.14%E -0.468%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 14:39
PointsBet (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.88%E -5.71%K -196.06%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -5.14%E -0.468%K -0.514%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 14:39
Mr Green (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.88%E -5.71%K -196.06%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -5.14%E -0.468%K -0.514%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 14:39
888sport (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.88%E -5.71%K -196.06%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -5.14%E -0.468%K -0.514%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 14:39
Tipico (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.80%E -6.66%K -339.79%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -5.14%E -0.468%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 14:39
TAB1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.80%E -6.66%K -339.79%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -5.14%E -0.468%K -0.514%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 14:39
LeoVegas1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.80%E -6.66%K -339.79%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -9.46%E -0.901%K -0.995%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 14:39
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.80%E -6.66%K -339.79%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -9.46%E -0.901%K -0.995%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 14:39
Grosvenor1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.80%E -6.66%K -339.79%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -9.46%E -0.901%K -0.995%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 14:39
Fliff1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -7.71%E -7.63%K -770.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -9.46%E -0.901%K -0.995%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 14:37
Bet Right1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.05%E -3.86%K -81.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.77%E -1.38%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 14:09
Unibet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.05%E -3.86%K -81.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.77%E -1.38%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 14:10
Neds1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.05%E -3.86%K -81.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.77%E -1.38%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.05%E -3.86%K -81.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.77%E -1.38%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 14:09
TABtouch1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.97%E -4.78%K -124.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -13.77%E -1.38%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 14:39
LiveScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.88%E -5.71%K -196.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -13.77%E -1.38%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 14:39
Bally Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.88%E -5.71%K -196.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -13.77%E -1.38%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 14:39
Betway1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.80%E -6.66%K -339.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -13.77%E -1.38%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 14:39
BetAnything1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -4.05%E -3.86%K -81.09%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -14.20%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 14:39
LowVig.ag1.06I 94.34%NM 90.35%EV -3.14%E -2.96%K -52.34%G +0.000%9.92I 10.08%NM 9.65%EV -14.46%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 14:09
BetOnline.ag1.06I 94.34%NM 90.35%EV -3.14%E -2.96%K -52.34%G +0.000%9.92I 10.08%NM 9.65%EV -14.46%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 14:09
GTbets1.06I 94.34%NM 90.21%EV -3.14%E -2.96%K -52.34%G +0.000%9.77I 10.24%NM 9.79%EV -15.75%E -1.61%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 14:29
BetRivers1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.14%E -2.96%K -52.34%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -18.08%E -1.90%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 14:09
Paddy Power1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.97%E -4.78%K -124.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -18.08%E -1.90%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -6.80%E -6.66%K -339.79%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -18.08%E -1.90%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-29 14:39
Winamax (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -6.80%E -6.66%K -339.79%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -18.08%E -1.90%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-29 14:39
Pinnacle1.08I 92.59%NM 89.63%EV -1.31%E -1.22%K -16.41%G +0.000%9.33I 10.72%NM 10.37%EV -19.55%E -2.09%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-29 14:39
Betr (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -4.05%E -3.86%K -81.09%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -20.24%E -2.19%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 14:29
NetBet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -4.05%E -3.86%K -81.09%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -20.24%E -2.19%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 14:29
Bet Victor1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -4.97%E -4.78%K -124.20%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -22.39%E -2.49%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 14:40
BetMGM1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -4.05%E -3.86%K -81.09%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -24.55%E -2.81%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 14:37
PMU (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 89.29%EV -6.80%E -6.66%K -339.79%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -26.70%E -3.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 14:29
Everygame1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -2.23%E -2.08%K -31.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -31.01%E -3.88%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 14:24
Winamax (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 88.79%EV -7.71%E -7.63%K -770.95%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -31.01%E -3.88%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 14:39
PlayUp1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -1.31%E -1.22%K -16.41%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -33.17%E -4.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 14:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24%0.5%2026-05-29 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24%0.5%2026-05-29 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%0.6%2026-05-29 14:40
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-05-29 14:40
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 93.66%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.34%1.7%2026-05-29 14:40
Novig1.06I 94.34%NM 92.01%12.20I 8.20%NM 7.99%2.5%2026-05-29 14:40