La escuela de los momios

Elena Pridankina v Oleksandra Oliynykova

Inicio: 2026-05-26 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Elena Pridankina (Local)

Predicción 28.31%3.53momio equitativo
EV +13.24%
Ventaja +3.31%
Kelly +4.41%
Crecimiento +0.584%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.37%28.87%27.51%36.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.623.233.304.0038.17%30.93%30.30%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Oleksandra Oliynykova (Visitante)

Predicción 71.69%1.39momio equitativo
EV +8.97%
Ventaja +5.90%
Kelly +17.25%
Crecimiento +1.55%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.90%71.13%72.49%76.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.211.341.321.5282.64%74.42%75.76%65.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -23.85%E -8.86%K -14.11%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV +8.97%E +5.90%K +17.25%G +1.55%3.0%2026-05-26 16:19
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -24.98%E -9.43%K -15.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +6.10%E +4.12%K +12.71%G +0.775%5.3%2026-05-26 16:16
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -24.98%E -9.43%K -15.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +6.10%E +4.12%K +12.71%G +0.775%5.3%2026-05-26 16:17
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -24.98%E -9.43%K -15.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +6.10%E +4.12%K +12.71%G +0.775%5.3%2026-05-26 16:16
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -24.98%E -9.43%K -15.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +6.10%E +4.12%K +12.71%G +0.775%5.3%2026-05-26 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -24.98%E -9.43%K -15.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +6.10%E +4.12%K +12.71%G +0.775%5.3%2026-05-26 16:20
Pinnacle2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -18.75%E -6.53%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV +5.38%E +3.66%K +11.45%G +0.617%2.9%2026-05-26 16:20
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -22.15%E -8.05%K -12.66%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV +5.38%E +3.66%K +11.45%G +0.617%4.4%2026-05-26 16:20
LowVig.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -20.16%E -7.15%K -11.08%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV +4.67%E +3.20%K +10.15%G +0.473%4.0%2026-05-26 16:20
BetOnline.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -20.16%E -7.15%K -11.08%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV +4.67%E +3.20%K +10.15%G +0.473%4.0%2026-05-26 16:20
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -20.73%E -7.40%K -11.52%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV +4.67%E +3.20%K +10.15%G +0.473%4.2%2026-05-26 16:20
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -21.58%E -7.79%K -12.19%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV +4.67%E +3.20%K +10.15%G +0.473%4.6%2026-05-26 16:20
Marathon Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -23.56%E -8.73%K -13.86%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV +4.67%E +3.20%K +10.15%G +0.473%5.5%2026-05-26 16:20
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -24.98%E -9.43%K -15.14%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV +4.67%E +3.20%K +10.15%G +0.473%6.2%2026-05-26 16:16
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -22.15%E -8.05%K -12.66%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV +3.95%E +2.72%K +8.78%G +0.347%5.3%2026-05-26 16:20
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -20.73%E -7.40%K -11.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV +3.23%E +2.25%K +7.35%G +0.238%5.2%2026-05-26 16:30
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -22.15%E -8.05%K -12.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +3.23%E +2.25%K +7.35%G +0.238%5.8%2026-05-26 16:19
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -22.15%E -8.05%K -12.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +3.23%E +2.25%K +7.35%G +0.238%5.8%2026-05-26 16:19
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -25.83%E -9.86%K -15.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV +3.23%E +2.25%K +7.35%G +0.238%7.6%2026-05-26 16:08
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -22.15%E -8.05%K -12.66%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV +2.52%E +1.76%K +5.85%G +0.147%6.3%2026-05-26 16:19
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -18.75%E -6.53%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV +1.80%E +1.27%K +4.28%G +0.077%5.3%2026-05-26 16:11
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.50%E -1.84%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 16:39
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.50%E -1.84%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 16:39
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -15.07%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.50%E -1.84%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 16:32
MyBookie.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 16:40
Coolbet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -15.07%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 16:40
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -3.94%E -2.94%K -11.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 16:39
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 16:40
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 16:40
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 16:40
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 16:40
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 16:40
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 16:40
Caesars3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.09%E -4.65%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 16:40
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 16:40
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.92%E +0.533%K +0.737%G +0.014%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.52%E -5.83%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 16:40
Fanatics3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +0.502%E +0.141%K +0.197%G +0.001%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -7.52%E -5.83%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 16:40
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.914%E -0.261%K -0.366%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.52%E -5.83%K -25.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 16:40
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.52%E -5.83%K -25.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 16:38
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.52%E -5.83%K -25.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 16:40
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.52%E -5.83%K -25.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 16:40
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.33%E -0.675%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.24%E -6.44%K -29.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 16:40
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.33%E -0.675%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.24%E -6.44%K -29.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 16:40
Fliff3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -9.67%E -7.68%K -37.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-26 16:40
DraftKings3.93I 25.45%NM 24.13%EV +11.26%E +2.87%K +3.84%G +0.433%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.87%EV -10.39%E -8.31%K -41.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 16:40
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +7.58%E +1.99%K +2.71%G +0.205%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -10.39%E -8.31%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 16:40
theScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +6.16%E +1.64%K +2.24%G +0.138%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -10.39%E -8.31%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 16:40
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +6.16%E +1.64%K +2.24%G +0.138%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -10.39%E -8.31%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 16:40
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +6.16%E +1.64%K +2.24%G +0.138%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -10.39%E -8.31%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 16:40
Betclic (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV +3.33%E +0.913%K +1.26%G +0.042%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -10.39%E -8.31%K -41.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 16:39
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -0.914%E -0.261%K -0.366%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -10.39%E -8.31%K -41.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 16:40
NordicBet3.71I 26.95%NM 24.90%EV +5.03%E +1.36%K +1.86%G +0.093%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.10%EV -11.82%E -9.61%K -51.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 16:40
Betsson3.71I 26.95%NM 24.90%EV +5.03%E +1.36%K +1.86%G +0.093%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.10%EV -11.82%E -9.61%K -51.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 16:40
Winamax (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV +1.92%E +0.533%K +0.737%G +0.014%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -11.82%E -9.61%K -51.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-26 16:40
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 72.85%EV -11.82%E -9.61%K -51.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-26 16:40
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +13.24%E +3.31%K +4.41%G +0.584%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -12.54%E -10.28%K -56.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 16:40
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +13.24%E +3.31%K +4.41%G +0.584%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -12.54%E -10.28%K -56.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 16:40
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +13.24%E +3.31%K +4.41%G +0.584%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -12.54%E -10.28%K -56.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 16:40
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV +7.58%E +1.99%K +2.71%G +0.205%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -12.54%E -10.28%K -56.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 16:40
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -2.33%E -0.675%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -13.26%E -10.95%K -63.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-26 16:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-05-26 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-26 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-05-26 16:40
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-05-26 16:40
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%3.1%2026-05-26 16:40
Novig3.47I 28.82%NM 25.22%1.17I 85.47%NM 74.78%14.3%2026-05-26 16:40